TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x666f…9ddf

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
164
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: College Football, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST10726.2%28 W · 79 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 107 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on February 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$10.07
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$11.67
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on February 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10.07
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on February 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+68.9%+$10.32
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on February 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$14.96
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on February 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+67.5%+$10.1
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 66°F or higher on February 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$21.74
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 29°F or below on February 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$21.04
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 54-55°F on February 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$27.24
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 56°F or higher on February 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+104.1%+$31.21
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 52-53°F on February 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20.52
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 60-61°F on February 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$27.68
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 48-49°F on February 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$12.13
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 46-47°F on February 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$30.55
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 45°F or below on February 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$28.65
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 50-51°F on February 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$29.3
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 54-55°F on February 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$12.65
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 52-53°F on February 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$21.1
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 51°F or below on February 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$14.82
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 44°C or higher on February 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$13.51
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 51°F or below on February 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$21.05
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 52-53°F on February 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+31.6%+$4.03
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 58°F or higher on February 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20.56
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 34°F or higher on February 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$12.34
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 37°C on February 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20.7
Showing 25 of 107 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST2040%8 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs. Georgia Southern Eaglesbacked Georgia Southern Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$24.93
Virginia Cavaliers vs. SMU Mustangsbacked SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$11.9
Spread: Wright State Raiders (-5.5)backed Wright State Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+112.9%+$11.78
Spread: Northern Kentucky Norse (-10.5)backed Detroit Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$10.6
Virginia Tech Hokies vs. SMU Mustangs: O/U 157.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$11.05
Virginia Tech Hokies vs. SMU Mustangsbacked SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+32.2%+$3.9
USC Upstate Spartans vs. Charleston Southern Buccaneersbacked Charleston Southern Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$10.53
Colorado Buffaloes vs. Cincinnati Bearcats: O/U 148.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$10.1
VCU Rams vs. Rhode Island Ramsbacked VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+47.9%+$8.1
VCU Rams vs. Rhode Island Rams: O/U 148.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$10.36
VCU Rams vs. Rhode Island Rams: O/U 147.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15.47
Virginia Cavaliers vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+177.8%+$27.42
Spread: Villanova Wildcats (-2.5)backed Providence Friars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$26.78
Villanova Wildcats vs. Providence Friarsbacked Providence Friars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$16.06
Villanova Wildcats vs. Providence Friars: O/U 159.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+127.3%+$33.19
Villanova Wildcats vs. Providence Friars: O/U 158.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+122.3%+$12.36
Villanova Wildcats vs. Providence Friars: O/U 157.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+100.5%+$26.17
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Buffalo Bulls: O/U 164.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$15.4
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Buffalo Bulls: O/U 163.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$10.1
Boston College Eagles vs. Clemson Tigers: O/U 132.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+137.3%+$20.24
All 20 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST1030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-35.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+96.1%+$21.01
Jazz vs. Bulls: O/U 244.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+104.1%+$10.62
Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$11.51
Spread: Bucks (-2.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$25.2
Suns vs. Heat: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$22.08
Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$10.1
Nuggets vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15.33
Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15.29
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Bulls vs. Rockets: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+142.7%+$15.08
All 10 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sharks vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+56.3%+$8.43
Stars vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+88.7%+$13.73
Flames vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$15.28
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+112.8%+$17.27
Sharks vs. Capitalsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+150%+$22.5
Canucks vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$26.85
All 6 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-32%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+104.1%+$15.93
Spread: Indiana (-8.5)backed Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+92.3%+$14.11
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick39cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Men's: Arthur Fery vs Flavio Cobollibacked Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+177.2%+$42.92
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.