Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Villanova Wildcats (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34644942c223978157647a8a0f276ec7278ce2e948cee1460b46418a00e50609
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Villanova Wildcatsof Villanova Wildcats, Providence Friars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,933
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,360
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,933 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Villanova Wildcats | 47c | 57,278$26,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,357.26 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Providence Friars | 53c | 24,961$13,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,207.82 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Providence Friars | 50c | 13,117$6,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,608.93 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Providence Friars | 49c | 6,716$3,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,273.33 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Villanova Wildcats | 49c | 6,049$2,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,064.51 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Villanova Wildcats | 50c | 6,017$3,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,988.14 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Providence Friars | 51c | 4,855$2,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,478.89 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Providence Friars | 53c | 4,372$2,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,316.16 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Providence Friars | 53c | 4,320$2,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,289.6 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa51…a910backed Providence Friars | 53c | 2,830$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Providence Friars | 50c | 2,400$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked Providence Friars | 53c | 2,162$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Providence Friars | 52c | 1,000$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe97f…8060backed Providence Friars | 49c | 960$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Providence Friars | 53c | 846$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.38 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Providence Friars | 49c | 831.95$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.78 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Providence Friars | 49c | 598.72$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.37 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -4.9wins | -0.26per pick | 47cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Providence Friars | 42c | 558.23$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.12 | 138 | 40.6%56 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Villanova Wildcats | 50c | 425$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.6 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f03…aee3backed Villanova Wildcats | 51c | 380$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ab…5ef5backed Villanova Wildcats | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d5…60b4backed Villanova Wildcats | 51c | 280$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Providence Friars | 52c | 252.93$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.52 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Villanova Wildcats | 51c | 235.59$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.59 | 150 | 55.3%83 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Villanova Wildcats | 47c | 232.46$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.21 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Providence Friars | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Villanova Wildcats | 79c | 191.26$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Providence Friars | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 200 | 46.5%93 W · 107 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Villanova Wildcats | 55c | 131.51$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.61 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Providence Friars | 43c | 129$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.47 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Providence Friars | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Providence Friars | 46c | 83.95$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.41 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Providence Friars | 44c | 68.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Providence Friars | 51c | 56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 1,124 | 46.4%521 W · 603 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x666f…9ddfbacked Providence Friars | 51c | 52.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Villanova Wildcats | 51c | 49.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.35 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Providence Friars | 48c | 49.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa96b…7d92backed Providence Friars | 53c | 43.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Providence Friars | 51c | 41.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…cf94backed Villanova Wildcats | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb9…84babacked Villanova Wildcats | 51c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Providence Friars | 48c | 31.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Providence Friars | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Providence Friars | 49c | 29.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Villanova Wildcats | 49c | 26.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Providence Friars | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6637…6700backed Villanova Wildcats | 50c | 22.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Villanova Wildcats (-2.5)this page
- Spread: Villanova Wildcats (-1.5)Villanova Wildcats won
- Villanova Wildcats vs. Providence FriarsVillanova Wildcats won
- Villanova Wildcats vs. Providence Friars: O/U 157.5Over won
- Villanova Wildcats vs. Providence Friars: O/U 158.5Over won
- Villanova Wildcats vs. Providence Friars: O/U 159.5Over won
- Villanova Wildcats vs. Providence Friars: O/U 160.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.