Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Villanova Wildcats vs. Providence Friars: O/U 159.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x098a75fd2ed4a64cc157374d0a0fd3b0b8af91c169477c028b631f2b765dfb8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,640
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,625
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,640 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 54c | 5,542$2,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,978.74 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 54c | 4,174$2,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,258.88 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 50c | 2,274$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.17 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 47c | 2,200$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.17 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 42c | 2,098$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.74 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 41c | 883.01$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.98 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 50c | 676.04$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.02 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 45c | 616.88$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.63 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Over | 48c | 558.86$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.61 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2588…1cfdbacked Over | 45c | 500$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 52c | 458.99$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.07 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 50c | 426$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Over | 47c | 425.18$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.18 | 270 | 45.2%122 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 47c | 356$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.68 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Over | 50c | 296$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 55c | 270.98$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.04 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 44c | 250$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 401 | 47.6%191 W · 210 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 46c | 250$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 200 | 46.5%93 W · 107 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 49c | 211$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.61 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Over | 52c | 209.34$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.09 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 47c | 208.61$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.56 | 138 | 40.6%56 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Over | 46c | 195.65$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.65 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Over | 46c | 173.91$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.91 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 39c | 171.23$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.23 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3d…f8c6backed Under | 77c | 121.95$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 44c | 121$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.76 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 44c | 90$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.22 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Over | 47c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +8.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74c3…d3b3backed Under | 78c | 66.27$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 77cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 55c | 59.65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x666f…9ddfbacked Over | 44c | 59.26$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.19 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 46c | 57.01$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 1,124 | 46.4%521 W · 603 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Over | 45c | 54.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.93 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Under | 23c | 52.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a59…e94cbacked Under | 69c | 49.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 45c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 47c | 41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.57 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 51c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 58c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad2…71f8backed Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4883…98abbacked Under | 80c | 24.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 78cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Over | 48c | 20.92$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Over | 49c | 20.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…ed39backed Over | 77c | 13.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.07 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Villanova Wildcats vs. Providence Friars: O/U 159.5this page
- Spread: Villanova Wildcats (-1.5)Villanova Wildcats won
- Spread: Villanova Wildcats (-2.5)Villanova Wildcats won
- Villanova Wildcats vs. Providence FriarsVillanova Wildcats won
- Villanova Wildcats vs. Providence Friars: O/U 157.5Over won
- Villanova Wildcats vs. Providence Friars: O/U 158.5Over won
- Villanova Wildcats vs. Providence Friars: O/U 160.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.