Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Buffalo Bulls: O/U 164.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8a1bb57f9d79a5ca6d570e661cce454a830e153b93d431de124679d7672bb31
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,821
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,970
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,821 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 46c | 2,276$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.44 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 53c | 1,747$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.85 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f4…5bc0backed Under | 54c | 1,366$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.92 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 46c | 879.63$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 50c | 829$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.18 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 51c | 758.7$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.29 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 270 | 45.2%122 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 53c | 392$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.11 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 47c | 364.71$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.3 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 48c | 354.17$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.17 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Over | 47c | 327.98$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.83 | 222 | 50.9%113 W · 109 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 317.82$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.08 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Under | 52c | 279.98$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.42 | 138 | 40.6%56 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 47c | 210$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.3 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 200 | 46.5%93 W · 107 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 48c | 197$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.44 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 53c | 163.11$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.28 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Over | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 48c | 90$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.74 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 14c | 83.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.53 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 46c | 77.02$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.59 | 401 | 47.6%191 W · 210 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Over | 19c | 70.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Under | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Under | 52c | 44.24$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.94 | 1,124 | 46.4%521 W · 603 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 52c | 33.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x666f…9ddfbacked Under | 51c | 30.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Under | 58c | 27.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 279 | 55.2%154 W · 125 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Buffalo Bulls: O/U 164.5this page
- Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Buffalo BullsKent State Golden Flashes won
- Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Buffalo Bulls: O/U 162.5Over won
- Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Buffalo Bulls: O/U 163.5Over won
- Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Buffalo Bulls: O/U 165.5Over won
- Spread: Kent State Golden Flashes (-1.5)Kent State Golden Flashes won
- Spread: Kent State Golden Flashes (-2.5)Kent State Golden Flashes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.