TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Virginia Cavaliers vs. Louisville Cardinals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Virginia Cavaliersof Virginia Cavaliers, Louisville Cardinals
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$98,371
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$123,228

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,371 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Louisville Cardinals33c6,852$2,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,234.175,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Virginia Cavaliers36c4,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,56039744.8%178 W · 219 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Louisville Cardinals64c3,537$2,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,263.6860548.9%296 W · 309 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Louisville Cardinals30c3,489$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040.942,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Louisville Cardinals11c3,314$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.712,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc31…4a51backed Louisville Cardinals62c3,097$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9205450%27 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Virginia Cavaliers37c3,000$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,89024451.2%125 W · 119 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Virginia Cavaliers37c2,800$1,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,759.213342.1%56 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Louisville Cardinals45c2,066$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926.795,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Louisville Cardinals60c1,771$1,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,063.634,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Virginia Cavaliers37c1,696$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,073.322,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Virginia Cavaliers39c1,590$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969.71,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Virginia Cavaliers36c1,500$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96020026%52 W · 148 L+0.2wins0.00per pick26cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Louisville Cardinals64c1,473$943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942.8919950.3%100 W · 99 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5165…175bbacked Louisville Cardinals22c1,420$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.169849%48 W · 50 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Louisville Cardinals63c1,368$857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.61,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Louisville Cardinals11c1,317$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.151,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked Louisville Cardinals17c1,294$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22027450%137 W · 137 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Louisville Cardinals63c1,223$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.3712,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Virginia Cavaliers39c1,117$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.52,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80ee…5cf0backed Virginia Cavaliers49c1,018$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.462853.6%15 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Louisville Cardinals15c973.21$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.385534.5%19 W · 36 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-31.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Louisville Cardinals65c878$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.181,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Louisville Cardinals46c828.5$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.7972248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xad2e…d9bdbacked Virginia Cavaliers62c800.13$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3010…a27cbacked Louisville Cardinals17c797.53$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.3514021.4%30 W · 110 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3be6…05b1backed Virginia Cavaliers65c771.56$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.564257.1%24 W · 18 L+6.1wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+34.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9161…622ebacked Louisville Cardinals6c714.25$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.834522.2%10 W · 35 L+5.2wins+0.11per pick11cpaid+51.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Virginia Cavaliers35c659.47$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.311,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Louisville Cardinals63c657.05$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.0535243.2%152 W · 200 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Louisville Cardinals63c621$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.2374152.6%390 W · 351 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Louisville Cardinals61c584.03$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.53,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Virginia Cavaliers39c538.46$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.4679448.9%388 W · 406 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Louisville Cardinals39c495$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.062,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Virginia Cavaliers38c483.26$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.627727.3%21 W · 56 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Virginia Cavaliers38c478.48$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.6611250%56 W · 56 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Louisville Cardinals12c464.47$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.2294036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Virginia Cavaliers36c461$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.421,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Louisville Cardinals58c458.96$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.781,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Louisville Cardinals39c443.86$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.619037.8%34 W · 56 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Louisville Cardinals64c409.31$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.1841554.2%225 W · 190 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Virginia Cavaliers41c396.52$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.137451.4%38 W · 36 L+8.3wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+39.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Louisville Cardinals20c334.02$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.0836942.3%156 W · 213 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Louisville Cardinals26c327.08$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.173549.1%361 W · 374 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf43d…1e75backed Louisville Cardinals31c325.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.756931.9%22 W · 47 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Louisville Cardinals35c320.71$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.061,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b2e…7f7fbacked Louisville Cardinals64c300$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Virginia Cavaliers36c300$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1921,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f71…700cbacked Virginia Cavaliers39c257$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.77250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a45…41f6backed Virginia Cavaliers39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.4111444.7%51 W · 63 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Virginia Cavaliers39c256$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.141,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Louisville Cardinals55c218$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.910448.1%50 W · 54 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad13…d3abbacked Louisville Cardinals13c209.87$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2820234.2%69 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Louisville Cardinals63c206.35$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13049849.6%247 W · 251 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Virginia Cavaliers62c202.67$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.551,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x47cb…dfdabacked Louisville Cardinals38c183.81$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7036535.9%131 W · 234 L+1.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe361…bf48backed Louisville Cardinals22c171.01$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-61.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Louisville Cardinals46c160.4$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.7957335.6%204 W · 369 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1802…d00fbacked Louisville Cardinals37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.745942.4%25 W · 34 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Louisville Cardinals27c98.3$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2932343%139 W · 184 L-18.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked Virginia Cavaliers38c91.02$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4310652.8%56 W · 50 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Virginia Cavaliers58c85.71$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2248051%245 W · 235 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x08c1…7fbebacked Virginia Cavaliers61c81.74$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.7415240.1%61 W · 91 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d55…7cbabacked Louisville Cardinals30c80$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247149.3%35 W · 36 L+19.3wins+0.27per pick22cpaid+92.7%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x2884…3e06backed Virginia Cavaliers70c80$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8eeb…3a88backed Virginia Cavaliers41c80$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.471127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-34.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Louisville Cardinals65c76.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018851.6%97 W · 91 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed Louisville Cardinals65c76.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017950.8%91 W · 88 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21df…fdbcbacked Louisville Cardinals49c65.3$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.915750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Louisville Cardinals63c62$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.252,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fa7…089dbacked Virginia Cavaliers37c60$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.89851%50 W · 48 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Virginia Cavaliers37c55.67$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.899045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Virginia Cavaliers41c55.56$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.84,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Louisville Cardinals60c55$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0522552.9%119 W · 106 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Louisville Cardinals62c54.6$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9814846.6%69 W · 79 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Louisville Cardinals41c54.1$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1318241.2%75 W · 107 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Louisville Cardinals60c53.33$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3226254.2%142 W · 120 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c34…c8b8backed Virginia Cavaliers39c51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1114339.9%57 W · 86 L-0.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Louisville Cardinals38c50.57$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3745644.5%203 W · 253 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6de0…af02backed Virginia Cavaliers38c47.87$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.68742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9050…0a7abacked Virginia Cavaliers54c45.79$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.25955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Virginia Cavaliers36c45$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.6535050.3%176 W · 174 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Louisville Cardinals63c43$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2349043.1%211 W · 279 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x666f…9ddfbacked Virginia Cavaliers36c42.84$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.422040%8 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Virginia Cavaliers37c40$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.420254.5%110 W · 92 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Virginia Cavaliers35c38$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5944955.2%248 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78df…85ecbacked Virginia Cavaliers38c37.63$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5db0…73f1backed Virginia Cavaliers55c36.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.561163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+35.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf1dc…1068backed Virginia Cavaliers63c34.7$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+24%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ef0…7adebacked Virginia Cavaliers59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.97361.6%45 W · 28 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5e2…3703backed Louisville Cardinals62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203860.5%23 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Virginia Cavaliers41c32$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8818147%85 W · 96 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe122…90ebbacked Louisville Cardinals63c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd05a…bf53backed Louisville Cardinals37c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.13339.4%13 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d19…e2fdbacked Louisville Cardinals61c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd121…b0a5backed Virginia Cavaliers61c29.51$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.511540%6 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ab3…1576backed Virginia Cavaliers39c28.21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.211926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-42.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2df5…51acbacked Virginia Cavaliers55c27.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick69cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x434a…c03ebacked Louisville Cardinals60c25.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.31250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b7c…2b55backed Virginia Cavaliers40c25.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.32166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.