TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7ab3…1576

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
39
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NFL, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 57 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST1926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-42.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colorado State Rams vs. Boise State Broncosbacked Colorado State Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Baylor Bears vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Baylor Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs. Bakersfield Roadrunnersbacked Bakersfield Roadrunners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Colorado Buffaloes vs. Cincinnati Bearcatsbacked Colorado Buffaloes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Army Black Knights vs. Holy Cross Crusadersbacked Army Black Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Virginia Cavaliers vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+156.4%+$17.21
Villanova Wildcats vs. Providence Friarsbacked Villanova Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+69.5%+$8.34
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Texas Southern Tigersbacked Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Houston Christian Huskies vs. Lamar Cardinalsbacked Houston Christian Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks vs. Norfolk State Spartansbacked Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+214.7%+$30.05
Buffalo Bulls vs. Ohio Bobcatsbacked Buffalo Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Wofford Terriers vs. Mercer Bearsbacked Wofford Terriers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Maine Black Bears vs. NJIT Highlandersbacked NJIT Highlanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$12
LSU Tigers vs. Vanderbilt Commodoresbacked LSU Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Toledo Rocketsbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+96.1%+$10.57
UNCW Seahawks vs. Northeastern Huskiesbacked UNCW Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+55%+$6.6
LSU Tigers vs. Texas A&M Aggiesbacked LSU Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.16
Oral Roberts Golden Eagles vs. Missouri State Bearsbacked Oral Roberts Golden Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$12.5
UCLA Bruins vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$11
All 19 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST1338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-18.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Pacersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Trail Blazers vs. Warriorsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Nuggets vs. Pelicansbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+81.8%+$9.82
Bulls vs. Rocketsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$10.6
Heat vs. Thunderbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Hornets vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+49.3%+$5.91
Jazz vs. Clippersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Grizzlies vs. Clippersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+167.9%+$20.14
Knicks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+176.3%+$46.14
Nets vs. Mavericksbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 13 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.46per pick29cpaid+179.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$15
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+234.9%+$32.89
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+344.9%+$48.28
Vikings vs. Cowboysbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+238.5%+$28.62
All 4 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kraken vs. Utahbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chelsea FC vs. Everton FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.