TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hornets vs. Jazz

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hornetsof Hornets, Jazz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,261,147
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,409,077

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,261,147 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 605 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x060e…2384backed Hornets64c141,128$90,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,805.948037.5%30 W · 50 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Jazz35c89,162$31,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,389.071,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x56e2…4b88backed Hornets65c80,000$52,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,0005253.8%28 W · 24 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+27.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Jazz35c75,536$26,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,293.0327424.5%67 W · 207 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Jazz37c66,969$24,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,654.612,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0aa3…64e9backed Hornets79c46,999$36,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,088.446358.7%37 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfaba…51debacked Jazz5c31,803$1,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,466.9210947.7%52 W · 57 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Hornets66c27,917$18,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,491.931,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Jazz0c26,905$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.18820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Jazz1c25,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25048347.2%228 W · 255 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x239b…964abacked Jazz4c22,487$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010059%59 W · 41 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Jazz36c21,607$7,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,740.6547028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc946…1825backed Jazz36c21,000$7,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,647.415259.6%31 W · 21 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d56…7486backed Jazz38c19,037$7,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,304.5517861.2%109 W · 69 L+11.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd538…cc31backed Hornets63c19,037$11,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,114.1821450%107 W · 107 L-14.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Jazz36c18,260$6,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,573.689050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Jazz38c18,074$6,847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,847.192,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4a4…3117backed Jazz3c15,795$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.4128616.4%47 W · 239 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hornets77c15,757$12,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,659.188,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8980…d4f4backed Jazz36c14,500$5,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,219.9721951.1%112 W · 107 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5993…33a2backed Hornets67c13,495$9,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,453.3838046.6%177 W · 203 L-1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbeef…531dbacked Jazz1c12,749$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Jazz1c11,036$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.191,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7a6…89b2backed Hornets64c11,000$7,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,96014244.4%63 W · 79 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x405d…2bdabacked Jazz3c10,964$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.571040%4 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Jazz37c10,930$3,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,994.735235.8%126 W · 226 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Hornets63c10,791$6,795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,996.142,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17e5…f205backed Jazz0c10,634$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.634200.7%3 W · 417 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-52%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1033…d851backed Jazz2c10,588$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.0127443.1%118 W · 156 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Hornets63c10,487$6,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,929.846,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Jazz35c10,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,50048845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Jazz38c9,664$3,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,647.813,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Jazz35c9,181$3,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,213.321,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Hornets64c8,524$5,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,074.572,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Hornets63c7,937$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,936.5176746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Jazz1c7,085$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.927917.9%50 W · 229 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked Hornets64c7,000$4,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,52031445.2%142 W · 172 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Jazz37c6,100$2,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,236.9538434.9%134 W · 250 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hornets63c5,992$3,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,219.959,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7372…8c10backed Jazz36c5,651$2,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,034.44450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Jazz35c5,369$1,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,879.2931538.1%120 W · 195 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Jazz36c5,122$1,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,832.614,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed Hornets63c5,091$3,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,883.6716370.6%115 W · 48 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x220b…4659backed Jazz2c5,064$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.882030%6 W · 14 L+3.0wins+0.15per pick15cpaid+20.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Jazz37c5,050$1,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,868.51,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Jazz36c4,850$1,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,722.324045.4%109 W · 131 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd334…fcc2backed Jazz3c4,609$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.4724725.9%64 W · 183 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf800…f62dbacked Hornets64c4,172$2,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,501.888347%39 W · 44 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-13.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Hornets64c4,000$2,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4401,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x022a…e316backed Jazz1c4,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9868…6dc4backed Jazz1c3,857$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234736.2%17 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bd6…918ebacked Jazz3c3,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006811.8%8 W · 60 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick9cpaid-25.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Jazz36c3,600$1,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,28461835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcbc…71c1backed Hornets65c3,563$2,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,247.083050%15 W · 15 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-7.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f76…6323backed Jazz3c3,500$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9510119.8%20 W · 81 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick16cpaid-42.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Jazz2c3,304$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.6810841.7%45 W · 63 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Hornets74c3,269$2,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.945,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedb1…819ebacked Hornets65c3,077$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,076.9215855.7%88 W · 70 L-9.8wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc479…e938backed Jazz2c3,023$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6210328.2%29 W · 74 L+8.9wins+0.09per pick19cpaid+3.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x42f7…5b3ebacked Jazz36c3,008$1,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,083.289038.9%35 W · 55 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Jazz3c3,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.661,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Hornets66c2,939$1,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.3930157.1%172 W · 129 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x40c2…b2fcbacked Jazz2c2,917$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.0426548.7%129 W · 136 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed Hornets63c2,888$1,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,065.2314663.7%93 W · 53 L+11.6wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Jazz38c2,817$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,070.2724831.9%79 W · 169 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Jazz36c2,778$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00048448.8%236 W · 248 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x719b…80f2backed Jazz4c2,710$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.183826.3%10 W · 28 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-22%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x87b8…e1a1backed Hornets63c2,698$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.419663.5%61 W · 35 L+7.8wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+4.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe35…d34abacked Jazz10c2,604$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2508823.9%21 W · 67 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Hornets64c2,542$1,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$915.1874748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83e1…b37bbacked Jazz4c2,510$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016550.3%83 W · 82 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca5f…322abacked Jazz38c2,500$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9501450%7 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5798…ab44backed Jazz36c2,500$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90015740.8%64 W · 93 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Jazz36c2,500$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90049142.6%209 W · 282 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Hornets64c2,500$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9001,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Jazz36c2,500$912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911.941,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Jazz36c2,500$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90038649.7%192 W · 194 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Jazz36c2,492$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897.111,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Hornets64c2,393$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.442,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24a4…86dabacked Jazz4c2,380$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.759948.5%48 W · 51 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Hornets64c2,266$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.771,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x72f7…6d94backed Jazz22c2,250$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50218938.1%72 W · 117 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa051…54ebbacked Jazz38c2,105$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80015435.7%55 W · 99 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3657…6cd3backed Jazz34c2,100$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7149256.5%52 W · 40 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1974…bc18backed Jazz2c2,095$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.471936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-30.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Jazz37c2,064$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760.9686641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed Hornets64c2,000$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72016657.2%95 W · 71 L+10.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1658…d875backed Jazz38c2,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7602924.1%7 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-38.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2f19…2eccbacked Hornets63c2,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7402657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+74.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Jazz33c2,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65034524.3%84 W · 261 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dcf…146ebacked Jazz1c1,930$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5818140.3%73 W · 108 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Jazz37c1,892$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70046632.6%152 W · 314 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Hornets63c1,816$1,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.8732450.6%164 W · 160 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Jazz2c1,781$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.681529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Jazz2c1,778$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3081845.7%374 W · 444 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f9…f78ebacked Jazz6c1,763$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013339.1%52 W · 81 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3214…63d6backed Jazz29c1,752$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008331.3%26 W · 57 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Hornets62c1,716$1,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.0838148.6%185 W · 196 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Jazz35c1,700$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59535251.1%180 W · 172 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Jazz2c1,690$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.238239.5%151 W · 231 L+35.9wins+0.09per pick30cpaid+15.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.