NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. Jazz: O/U 237.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04972cbc6fb441eea82b0182ce6e4f487bf679a9851121d2a969aaffdf6f56cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,444
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,193
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,444 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5cae…a00abacked Over | 52c | 22,495$11,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,769.15 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 17,840$8,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,744.19 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Over | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,500 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Over | 50c | 11,057$5,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,559.33 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 47c | 10,711$5,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,629.52 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 49c | 9,427$4,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,622.75 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 50c | 5,225$2,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,593.65 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Under | 53c | 2,214$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.62 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 50c | 2,208$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.06 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 2,010$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.8 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Under | 49c | 1,878$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 301 | 57.1%172 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…57eebacked Under | 50c | 1,624$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Under | 50c | 791.6$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.4 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 773.01$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.74 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Under | 43c | 739.95$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.68 | 221 | 38%84 W · 137 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 51c | 644.02$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.77 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9876…e0cabacked Under | 47c | 641.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Over | 52c | 530$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.25 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 48c | 500$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.43 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Over | 51c | 433.55$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.44 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Under | 49c | 386.02$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.15 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 53c | 378.79$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Under | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x890a…093cbacked Over | 52c | 299.81$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.91 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 52c | 299$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.48 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 51c | 219.99$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.2 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed Under | 46c | 215.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 89 | 70.8%63 W · 26 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b87…f42dbacked Under | 47c | 214.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a4…d70cbacked Over | 54c | 199.99$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 52c | 186.57$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.77 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Under | 46c | 169.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.2 | 641 | 39%250 W · 391 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 50c | 141$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.17 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 47c | 136.64$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.22 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over | 47c | 127.79$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.54 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb932…af11backed Over | 55c | 125.45$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 46c | 125$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f4…5bc0backed Over | 54c | 125$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Under | 49c | 121.39$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 555 | 33.5%186 W · 369 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 49c | 115.77$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.26 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2386…1a2dbacked Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 137 | 35.8%49 W · 88 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Under | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 45c | 96.66$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.89 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce65…6759backed Under | 41c | 92.81$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.05 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -16.1wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -30%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 52c | 72.04$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 397 | 56.7%225 W · 172 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…c55fbacked Under | 49c | 70.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.75 | 147 | 54.4%80 W · 67 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 62c | 65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.95 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Under | 49c | 61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed7…eb18backed Over | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Under | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…c76ebacked Over | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 487 | 40.7%198 W · 289 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9050…0a7abacked Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 183 | 54.1%99 W · 84 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x110d…cd01backed Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 345 | 56.2%194 W · 151 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x234c…b85fbacked Under | 52c | 42.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x130c…782cbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 144 | 20.1%29 W · 115 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…95aabacked Over | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Under | 49c | 37.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 45c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 421 | 46.1%194 W · 227 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9b…d8afbacked Over | 48c | 28.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9c…aab4backed Under | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd501…826abacked Over | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Under | 45c | 22.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 238 | 45.4%108 W · 130 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Over | 50c | 21.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 522 | 46.6%243 W · 279 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hornets vs. Jazz: O/U 237.5this page
- Hornets vs. JazzHornets won
- Hornets vs. Jazz: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Hornets vs. Jazz: O/U 235.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Jazz: O/U 236.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Jazz: O/U 238.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Jazz: O/U 239.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Jazz: O/U 240.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Jazz: O/U 241.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Jazz: O/U 243.5Over won
- Spread: Hornets (-2.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-3.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-4.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-5.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.