NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. Jazz: O/U 235.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05afbd6c20c3c08cd05cd8e42a35ac767f7e93580f1ae3f881a339fcefc9e382
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $257,846
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $258,903
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $257,846 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf42…d698backed Under | 47c | 240,533$112,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112,937.24 | 170 | 31.8%54 W · 116 L | -24.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 53c | 212,908$112,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100,066.82 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 53c | 25,000$13,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,650 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Under | 48c | 2,540$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.61 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Under | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 52c | 1,848$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.77 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 54c | 1,691$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.47 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Over | 51c | 1,114$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.86 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 16c | 611.83$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.84 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 62c | 586$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.61 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeef…531dbacked Over | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Over | 60c | 334.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.69 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 10c | 303.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 56c | 276.02$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.46 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Under | 47c | 258$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.26 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 55c | 252.27$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.12 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Over | 54c | 220.52$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.44 | 166 | 58.4%97 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2358…8986backed Over | 68c | 205$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.72 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 37c | 146$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.05 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 35c | 102.97$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.23 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Over | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8985…2e25backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b6a…8071backed Under | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8288…5519backed Over | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 44c | 94.85$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.07 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 40c | 83.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x884c…851fbacked Under | 37c | 79.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -10.7wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 61c | 73.63$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.95 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97b8…0f5dbacked Under | 42c | 68.9$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Over | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 455 | 42.4%193 W · 262 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Over | 54c | 65.94$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.33 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Over | 54c | 62.03$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.53 | 244 | 54.1%132 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked Over | 62c | 57$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 44c | 55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 61c | 51$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96f8…2560backed Under | 67c | 50.19$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 47c | 47.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 43c | 47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20c8…6354backed Over | 54c | 46.73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Under | 32c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x130c…782cbacked Over | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 144 | 20.1%29 W · 115 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0f…1ecdbacked Under | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Under | 36c | 36.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 238 | 45.4%108 W · 130 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 53c | 33.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75c0…dfd2backed Over | 54c | 27.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 48c | 27.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…2bd8backed Over | 61c | 22.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61c6…2e9fbacked Over | 69c | 21.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe09e…5047backed Under | 69c | 16.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hornets vs. Jazz: O/U 235.5this page
- Hornets vs. JazzHornets won
- Hornets vs. Jazz: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Hornets vs. Jazz: O/U 236.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Jazz: O/U 237.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Jazz: O/U 238.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Jazz: O/U 239.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Jazz: O/U 240.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Jazz: O/U 241.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Jazz: O/U 243.5Over won
- Spread: Hornets (-2.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-3.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-4.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-5.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.