NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. Jazz: O/U 238.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2a683d39be2e862e5604f2e5aa957f89b526485d7883507f9b0a9c0e0c1dd59
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,197
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,124
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,197 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 47c | 7,350$3,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,874.28 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 5,728$2,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,931.74 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 55c | 3,784$2,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,093.92 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Over | 47c | 3,337$1,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,768.5 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…57eebacked Under | 54c | 3,135$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 49c | 2,338$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,192.08 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 52c | 2,200$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 49c | 1,528$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.35 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 38c | 1,405$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.27 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed Under | 52c | 1,228$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.56 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Over | 49c | 1,201$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.44 | 173 | 44.5%77 W · 96 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b7…dbdabacked Under | 46c | 1,078$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 57cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Over | 52c | 1,005$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.45 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 52c | 746.98$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.93 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Under | 50c | 608.98$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.36 | 268 | 39.2%105 W · 163 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 48c | 576.36$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.24 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 49c | 550$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.5 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Over | 50c | 533$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.31 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 50c | 504$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.28 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 44c | 400$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Over | 49c | 328$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.28 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 48c | 259.48$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.89 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Under | 52c | 247.92$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.92 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Over | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Under | 16c | 200$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 85 | 11.8%10 W · 75 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 57c | 182.66$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.66 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 44c | 180$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Under | 62c | 155$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.4 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -18.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 51c | 152.11$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.32 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Under | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 335 | 54.6%183 W · 152 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee33…9a55backed Under | 59c | 150$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.1 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe371…466abacked Under | 64c | 142.78$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 133$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.52 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93c8…61c4backed Over | 52c | 125$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 53c | 111.84$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.46 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 47c | 105$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Over | 48c | 100.91$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.91 | 634 | 27.3%173 W · 461 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Under | 51c | 90$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 170 | 35.9%61 W · 109 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 48c | 74$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.48 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 47c | 56.26$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.94 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Over | 52c | 53.85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 625 | 46.9%293 W · 332 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Over | 47c | 53.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.26 | 323 | 46.4%150 W · 173 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf232…4fc6backed Under | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 127 | 66.9%85 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…6e0abacked Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 175 | 27.4%48 W · 127 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 49c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Under | 33c | 45.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 306 | 16.7%51 W · 255 L | -36.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xea33…ae06backed Under | 64c | 43.09$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234c…b85fbacked Over | 48c | 40.45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Over | 46c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 238 | 45.4%108 W · 130 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac8d…f98cbacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c0…6aa1backed Over | 60c | 36.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.54 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 57cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 49c | 35.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc55…0f11backed Under | 53c | 35.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 44c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 48c | 33.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b71…0e06backed Under | 45c | 29.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 46c | 28.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x884c…851fbacked Under | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -10.7wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Under | 44c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Over | 47c | 22.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 522 | 46.6%243 W · 279 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…fb77backed Under | 48c | 21.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 47 | 74.5%35 W · 12 L | +8.2wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdf03…3f1dbacked Under | 68c | 20.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…1627backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hornets vs. Jazz: O/U 238.5this page
- Hornets vs. JazzHornets won
- Hornets vs. Jazz: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Hornets vs. Jazz: O/U 235.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Jazz: O/U 236.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Jazz: O/U 237.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Jazz: O/U 239.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Jazz: O/U 240.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Jazz: O/U 241.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Jazz: O/U 243.5Over won
- Spread: Hornets (-2.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-3.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-4.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-5.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.