NBA · resolved market
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdaaced27a2cf419587f7668f6855141455a7c6bb4c37edcf22a53443e31050b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hornetsof Hornets, Jazz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,401
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,219
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,401 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hornets | 50c | 30,726$15,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,388.99 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Jazz | 50c | 23,072$11,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,536 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Hornets | 50c | 14,799$7,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,389.27 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Jazz | 50c | 14,000$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Hornets | 50c | 7,312$3,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,669.12 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Jazz | 48c | 5,403$2,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,593.4 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Jazz | 54c | 3,892$2,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,101.87 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Hornets | 51c | 3,695$1,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,808.38 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Jazz | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Jazz | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 400 | 41.5%166 W · 234 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Jazz | 48c | 1,888$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.24 | 236 | 30.1%71 W · 165 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Jazz | 49c | 1,030$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.8 | 221 | 38%84 W · 137 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Hornets | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.26 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Hornets | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Jazz | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Jazz | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked Jazz | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hornets | 51c | 860.93$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.29 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Jazz | 9c | 700$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | +12.3wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Hornets | 48c | 638.08$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.58 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Hornets | 49c | 514.95$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.62 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9501…a052backed Jazz | 49c | 477.21$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Jazz | 50c | 470$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…35b6backed Jazz | 51c | 444.27$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.58 | 153 | 48.4%74 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Jazz | 51c | 444.27$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.58 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Hornets | 50c | 325.24$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.14 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Hornets | 50c | 314.93$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.47 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad44…db14backed Jazz | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Jazz | 48c | 260.42$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Hornets | 49c | 220.02$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.21 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Hornets | 46c | 208.01$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.33 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Jazz | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Jazz | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 312 | 49.4%154 W · 158 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Hornets | 47c | 186.87$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.17 | 323 | 46.4%150 W · 173 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Hornets | 48c | 135.8$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.09 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf9…c291backed Hornets | 50c | 105.68$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.84 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.26per pick | 49cpaid | -55%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Hornets | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Hornets | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9549…b936backed Jazz | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 244 | 52.5%128 W · 116 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Jazz | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7f…8c81backed Jazz | 52c | 85.31$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.07 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Hornets | 46c | 75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c88…d85dbacked Jazz | 51c | 71.75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.59 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +7.5wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x97b8…0f5dbacked Jazz | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…b5a5backed Jazz | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 332 | 46.1%153 W · 179 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bba…5b50backed Hornets | 52c | 53.85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0104…530ebacked Jazz | 44c | 53.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42b…45d2backed Hornets | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…76e9backed Jazz | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…dfcebacked Jazz | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 236 | 44.1%104 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2440…4f7ebacked Jazz | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Hornets | 49c | 36.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 659 | 50.8%335 W · 324 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234c…b85fbacked Jazz | 49c | 28.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb771…e3fbbacked Hornets | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Hornets | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d1…4cb7backed Jazz | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee0…e158backed Jazz | 51c | 19.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Jazz | 51c | 19.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 336 | 53.9%181 W · 155 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hornets (-5.5)this page
- Hornets vs. JazzHornets won
- Hornets vs. Jazz: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Hornets vs. Jazz: O/U 235.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Jazz: O/U 236.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Jazz: O/U 237.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Jazz: O/U 238.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Jazz: O/U 239.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Jazz: O/U 240.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Jazz: O/U 241.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Jazz: O/U 243.5Over won
- Spread: Hornets (-2.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-3.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-4.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.