NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. Jazz: O/U 240.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf60d41dddba7d35e4f6ae1e228b84d621b06aa128862aa5a1a0a8fbc485f183
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,375
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,140
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,375 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc617…a854backed Over | 53c | 9,727$5,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,592.91 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 47c | 6,900$3,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,243 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Over | 53c | 6,885$3,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,235.95 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 4,786$2,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,302.22 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Over | 52c | 4,135$2,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,981.83 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 48c | 3,999$1,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,913.51 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Under | 59c | 2,211$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.7 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under | 50c | 2,014$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 47c | 1,812$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.56 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Over | 53c | 1,766$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.04 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Under | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 43c | 1,469$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.5 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Under | 54c | 1,354$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731 | 193 | 59.6%115 W · 78 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 53c | 1,315$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.55 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 46c | 1,221$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.75 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…57eebacked Under | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 769.56$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.41 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Under | 80c | 568$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.4 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Over | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 361 | 43.5%157 W · 204 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 50c | 543.63$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.81 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Under | 56c | 509.22$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.16 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Over | 50c | 464$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Under | 66c | 400$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Under | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Over | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7289…8d16backed Under | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 133 | 54.1%72 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Over | 34c | 323.41$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.45 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Under | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 158 | 7%11 W · 147 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Under | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 95 | 15.8%15 W · 80 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55ac…9955backed Under | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 10cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked Under | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 48c | 228.79$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.08 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 182 | 40.7%74 W · 108 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Under | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 85 | 12.9%11 W · 74 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Under | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 85 | 11.8%10 W · 75 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d86…112cbacked Under | 50c | 192.65$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Under | 54c | 177.22$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.65 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9954…ec72backed Under | 50c | 161.97$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 51c | 150.02$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.1 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 44c | 138.5$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.86 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Under | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf232…4fc6backed Under | 77c | 100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.9 | 127 | 66.9%85 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…bb46backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d2…22fbbacked Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 56c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 397 | 56.7%225 W · 172 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec3…9aa3backed Under | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd207…c366backed Under | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed7…eb18backed Under | 56c | 65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x884c…851fbacked Over | 46c | 55.03$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.72 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -10.7wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 51c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.05 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 51c | 53.31$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Under | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 745 | 47.2%352 W · 393 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 479 | 48.6%233 W · 246 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…84b0backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 193 | 46.6%90 W · 103 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 47c | 43.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 54c | 42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce1…5555backed Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Under | 46c | 39.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d6…36cbbacked Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 245 | 33.9%83 W · 162 L | -19.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 51c | 35.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 44c | 32.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…259dbacked Under | 56c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x722c…1011backed Under | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd60e…a171backed Under | 64c | 28.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x973f…72ccbacked Over | 54c | 23.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234c…b85fbacked Under | 50c | 22.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Under | 56c | 20.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 222 | 47.3%105 W · 117 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…1627backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hornets vs. Jazz: O/U 240.5this page
- Hornets vs. JazzHornets won
- Hornets vs. Jazz: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Hornets vs. Jazz: O/U 235.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Jazz: O/U 236.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Jazz: O/U 237.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Jazz: O/U 238.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Jazz: O/U 239.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Jazz: O/U 241.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Jazz: O/U 243.5Over won
- Spread: Hornets (-2.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-3.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-4.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-5.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.