NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. Jazz: O/U 243.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5d558437c66de66e9e01f78051302b2ada859e40280d0e40ab906cb43f401a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,251
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,799
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,251 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc1d7…600bbacked Over | 47c | 3,290$1,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,748.46 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.9wins | -0.35per pick | 44cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Under | 58c | 3,021$1,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,759.16 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…b458backed Under | 56c | 2,950$1,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,660.99 | 119 | 26.1%31 W · 88 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 44c | 2,610$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.24 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 39c | 2,025$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.23 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Over | 10c | 1,801$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620.61 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 46c | 1,758$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.42 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Over | 11c | 1,632$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,458.32 | 390 | 18.2%71 W · 319 L | +27.6wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 44c | 1,558$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.81 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed Under | 53c | 1,490$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.7 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -9.6wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Under | 55c | 1,111$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.05 | 236 | 30.1%71 W · 165 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 34c | 940.43$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.32 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 46c | 800.13$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.83 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 44c | 534.43$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.28 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Over | 34c | 528.39$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.32 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89a7…e7dbbacked Under | 53c | 518.7$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.77 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9876…e0cabacked Under | 55c | 514$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.7 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 44c | 509.16$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.31 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe930…b44dbacked Under | 65c | 469.99$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.49 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 51c | 438.12$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.44 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Under | 55c | 412$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.6 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…77d4backed Under | 57c | 369.99$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.19 | 481 | 46.2%222 W · 259 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Under | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8288…5519backed Under | 80c | 300$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.89 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 10c | 233.71$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.34 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Under | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 158 | 7%11 W · 147 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…259dbacked Under | 55c | 200$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Under | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 312 | 49.4%154 W · 158 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236d…5e45backed Under | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Under | 72c | 157$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.6 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf232…4fc6backed Under | 80c | 130$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 127 | 66.9%85 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaadd…637dbacked Over | 33c | 127.74$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.23 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 32c | 106.94$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.4 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 38c | 105.35$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.92 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Under | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4da7…ff92backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 619 | 57.5%356 W · 263 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb055…1b0bbacked Under | 80c | 75.25$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5d…e82ebacked Under | 57c | 70.09$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d6…36cbbacked Under | 53c | 66.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 245 | 33.9%83 W · 162 L | -19.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Over | 42c | 57.12$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Under | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 379 | 59.4%225 W · 154 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Under | 60c | 49.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -9.4wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 80c | 48.63$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 35c | 43.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 30c | 42.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 306 | 16.7%51 W · 255 L | -36.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 61c | 40.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 61c | 40.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce1…5555backed Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa8…2e0dbacked Under | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x884c…851fbacked Under | 54c | 31.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -10.7wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x97b8…0f5dbacked Under | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 55c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 45c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15e6…5a30backed Under | 59c | 22.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hornets vs. Jazz: O/U 243.5this page
- Hornets vs. JazzHornets won
- Hornets vs. Jazz: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Hornets vs. Jazz: O/U 235.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Jazz: O/U 236.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Jazz: O/U 237.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Jazz: O/U 238.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Jazz: O/U 239.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Jazz: O/U 240.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Jazz: O/U 241.5Over won
- Spread: Hornets (-2.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-3.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-4.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-5.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.