TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Hornets (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Hornetsof Hornets, Jazz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$14,535
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$16,128

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,535 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Hornets56c4,180$2,320 inWon+$1,859.729,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jazz40c2,741$1,086 inLost-$1,086.148,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Hornets58c2,538$1,472 inWon+$1,066.072,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Jazz42c1,800$756 inLost-$7561,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Jazz45c1,665$746 inLost-$746.466,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84df…e3b8backed Jazz45c1,530$688 inLost-$688.51963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+24.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Hornets55c1,460$803 inWon+$65749938.9%194 W · 305 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x10ba…b202backed Hornets54c1,290$697 inWon+$593.42360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Jazz46c826.09$380 inLost-$38051753.8%278 W · 239 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0e2…8e9ebacked Jazz46c652.17$300 inLost-$3009659.4%57 W · 39 L+8.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Hornets58c300$174 inWon+$1262,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Hornets56c289.25$162 inWon+$127.272,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed Jazz43c275$119 inLost-$118.520353.7%109 W · 94 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fb1…cc29backed Hornets55c240$132 inWon+$108.192356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Hornets57c148.53$85 inWon+$63.5382440.4%333 W · 491 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Hornets53c119$63 inWon+$55.9392753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf4…6817backed Jazz43c100$43 inLost-$438426.2%22 W · 62 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick27cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Hornets57c88.07$50 inWon+$38.071,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Hornets58c75.47$44 inWon+$31.72,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a09…76e9backed Jazz46c54.35$25 inLost-$257450%37 W · 37 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Hornets55c40$22 inWon+$1823348.9%114 W · 119 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Jazz43c40$17 inLost-$17.266143.4%287 W · 374 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Jazz42c37.4$16 inLost-$15.7139756.7%225 W · 172 L+21.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked Hornets57c35.09$20 inWon+$15.099957.6%57 W · 42 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Hornets55c25$14 inWon+$11.2968940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.