Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Colorado Buffaloes vs. Cincinnati Bearcats
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0d3da6e3a85daf4ccb6cbd85a4dfae7803674481610c0a7092a01cefaac205e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cincinnati Bearcatsof Colorado Buffaloes, Cincinnati Bearcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,269
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,423
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,269 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 77c | 10,000$7,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Colorado Buffaloes | 23c | 9,704$2,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,231.81 | 211 | 49.3%104 W · 107 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Colorado Buffaloes | 25c | 5,745$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420.38 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 76c | 3,570$2,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.07 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Colorado Buffaloes | 1c | 1,788$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 78c | 1,589$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.28 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 78c | 1,136$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.83 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 25c | 720$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 73c | 700$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 78c | 470$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.03 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 75c | 442.41$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.92 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Colorado Buffaloes | 11c | 439.71$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.62 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 15c | 417.5$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.85 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 25c | 400$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 181 | 29.3%53 W · 128 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7e…f17dbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 4c | 299.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49bb…4d4cbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 27c | 259.26$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Colorado Buffaloes | 26c | 243.67$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.54 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 73c | 207.46$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.01 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 73c | 201.28$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.75 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Colorado Buffaloes | 20c | 199.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 171 | 22.8%39 W · 132 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 77c | 185.69$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.71 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a45…41f6backed Colorado Buffaloes | 25c | 161.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 76c | 160.68$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.56 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4243…35d1backed Colorado Buffaloes | 25c | 160.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Colorado Buffaloes | 23c | 158$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.06 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 76c | 157.52$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 75c | 150.45$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.61 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca6d…492bbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 76c | 150$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 73c | 145.36$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.25 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 76c | 145.18$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.04 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 24c | 143.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1093…d547backed Colorado Buffaloes | 28c | 143.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ab…361bbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 12c | 137.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 98 | 21.4%21 W · 77 L | -17.7wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Colorado Buffaloes | 24c | 129$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb9…7bf4backed Colorado Buffaloes | 11c | 121$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Colorado Buffaloes | 27c | 90$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad4…fdc3backed Colorado Buffaloes | 26c | 86.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e2…3703backed Colorado Buffaloes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 79c | 83$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 75c | 81$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 73c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 202 | 54.5%110 W · 92 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 75c | 77.82$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb180…8905backed Colorado Buffaloes | 27c | 65.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab3…1576backed Colorado Buffaloes | 24c | 58.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2a…f4f7backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Colorado Buffaloes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 225 | 52.9%119 W · 106 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68af…4b9bbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 78c | 43.59$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 73c | 41.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0429…2f01backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 78c | 22.13$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4893…85a3backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 78c | 20.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ad…44febacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 76c | 20.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c50…dc5dbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 78c | 19.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x184f…639ebacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 77c | 18.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.21 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad68…b97cbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 78c | 15.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 75cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x884c…851fbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd098…8c03backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colorado Buffaloes vs. Cincinnati Bearcatsthis page
- Colorado Buffaloes vs. Cincinnati Bearcats: O/U 148.5Under won
- Spread: Cincinnati Bearcats (-7.5)Cincinnati Bearcats won
- Spread: Cincinnati Bearcats (-8.5)Cincinnati Bearcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.