Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Cincinnati Bearcats (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d05499a3faabbc2d549b94eeda7ab01b6609ee048d2f5573cc559064c610bf0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cincinnati Bearcatsof Cincinnati Bearcats, Colorado Buffaloes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $793,040
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $793,367
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $793,040 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 51c | 775,425$394,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380,630.64 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 50c | 400,000$200,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200,000 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Colorado Buffaloes | 48c | 200,000$96,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96,000 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Colorado Buffaloes | 48c | 149,737$71,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,873.97 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Colorado Buffaloes | 50c | 11,111$5,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,555.5 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 50c | 7,358$3,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,656.27 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 52c | 2,889$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.42 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Colorado Buffaloes | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Colorado Buffaloes | 52c | 2,336$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.85 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Colorado Buffaloes | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 50c | 1,088$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.97 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Colorado Buffaloes | 50c | 847.4$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.7 | 222 | 50.9%113 W · 109 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Colorado Buffaloes | 49c | 780$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.48 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Colorado Buffaloes | 51c | 627.45$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 50c | 535.1$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.55 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…08f5backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 5c | 416.29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.8 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 6cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Colorado Buffaloes | 50c | 312.5$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.25 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Colorado Buffaloes | 48c | 237.1$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.81 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +15.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Colorado Buffaloes | 51c | 137.73$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 237 | 54.9%130 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked Colorado Buffaloes | 48c | 129.43$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.12 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 52c | 128.98$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.07 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Colorado Buffaloes | 49c | 120.82$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 48c | 100.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.26 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed85…bfacbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 51c | 98.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Colorado Buffaloes | 49c | 77.05$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.75 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Colorado Buffaloes | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Colorado Buffaloes | 49c | 57.69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.27 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ea…52dbbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 51c | 57.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e7d…d07abacked Colorado Buffaloes | 50c | 52.24$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f7…db44backed Colorado Buffaloes | 50c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e68…3215backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe33c…6006backed Colorado Buffaloes | 51c | 39.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…95d8backed Colorado Buffaloes | 51c | 39.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…5302backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 52c | 38.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 50c | 38.27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 50c | 34.12$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.06 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7825…89a0backed Colorado Buffaloes | 50c | 29.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba2…8f7cbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 49c | 21.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…9262backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 51c | 20.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4192…722fbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e92…18c4backed Colorado Buffaloes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -6.7wins | -0.26per pick | 53cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cincinnati Bearcats (-8.5)this page
- Colorado Buffaloes vs. Cincinnati BearcatsCincinnati Bearcats won
- Colorado Buffaloes vs. Cincinnati Bearcats: O/U 148.5Under won
- Spread: Cincinnati Bearcats (-7.5)Cincinnati Bearcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.