Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Maine Black Bears vs. NJIT Highlanders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x873b0384c16192d220a5bbc73ff7e2f4eec890f83feffc02833dda7fb271ae77
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maine Black Bearsof Maine Black Bears, NJIT Highlanders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,461
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,774
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,461 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8049…1e6cbacked NJIT Highlanders | 9c | 2,697$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Maine Black Bears | 77c | 840.91$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.86 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91c8…753dbacked NJIT Highlanders | 27c | 502.15$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.97 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +97.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…f8d5backed Maine Black Bears | 49c | 204.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.5 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f29…9d73backed NJIT Highlanders | 51c | 198.18$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.07 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f5…8be3backed NJIT Highlanders | 58c | 171.43$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.43 | 127 | 33.9%43 W · 84 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Maine Black Bears | 47c | 127.34$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.49 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Maine Black Bears | 46c | 126.87$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.24 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe156…d7a6backed NJIT Highlanders | 72c | 120$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b7…304dbacked NJIT Highlanders | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc71d…3f27backed NJIT Highlanders | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Maine Black Bears | 53c | 71.97$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.67 | 459 | 53.8%247 W · 212 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4b…2f7dbacked Maine Black Bears | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…ac49backed NJIT Highlanders | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +125.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed NJIT Highlanders | 52c | 55.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0f…1132backed Maine Black Bears | 73c | 54.42$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 23 | 82.6%19 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked NJIT Highlanders | 50c | 41.07$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b96…f098backed NJIT Highlanders | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Maine Black Bears | 50c | 39.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c34…c8b8backed NJIT Highlanders | 54c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 143 | 39.9%57 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Maine Black Bears | 58c | 35.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2e…d2abbacked NJIT Highlanders | 46c | 34.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed NJIT Highlanders | 40c | 33.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7685…482cbacked NJIT Highlanders | 73c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Maine Black Bears | 61c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Maine Black Bears | 71c | 25.19$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab3…1576backed NJIT Highlanders | 53c | 22.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2f…24babacked Maine Black Bears | 70c | 14.35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Maine Black Bears vs. NJIT Highlandersthis page
- Maine Black Bears vs. NJIT Highlanders: O/U 129.5Over won
- Maine Black Bears vs. NJIT Highlanders: O/U 130.5Over won
- Maine Black Bears vs. NJIT Highlanders: O/U 131.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.