Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Maine Black Bears vs. NJIT Highlanders: O/U 130.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x048f52bdbf00272bb78ec160f6b881abe5c7901a45ebacd67013baaea187f938
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $685,286
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $685,918
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $685,286 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 51c | 633,084$322,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310,230.45 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Under | 49c | 500,000$245,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245,000 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Under | 49c | 93,337$45,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,735.13 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…b85dbacked Over | 51c | 47,827$24,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,453.91 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Under | 49c | 46,236$22,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,655.63 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 49c | 21,500$10,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,535 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a65…15b1backed Under | 49c | 15,000$7,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,350 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…9109backed Under | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 51c | 1,565$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.17 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Under | 52c | 1,520$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.93 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Over | 51c | 630.6$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.36 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 440.34$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.03 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked Under | 49c | 430$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.7 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 46c | 290.93$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.51 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 49c | 250$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d56…0ba5backed Under | 51c | 180$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 48c | 97.33$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.89 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…f75cbacked Under | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.4 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa96d…aa92backed Under | 51c | 39.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 217 | 46.1%100 W · 117 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Maine Black Bears vs. NJIT Highlanders: O/U 130.5this page
- Maine Black Bears vs. NJIT HighlandersMaine Black Bears won
- Maine Black Bears vs. NJIT Highlanders: O/U 129.5Over won
- Maine Black Bears vs. NJIT Highlanders: O/U 131.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.