Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Army Black Knights vs. Holy Cross Crusaders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1bde599abb8aef18970110278f5052cc3c87b39fae4bcb3a66a332472ee2ad89
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Holy Cross Crusadersof Army Black Knights, Holy Cross Crusaders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,212
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,097
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,212 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Army Black Knights | 35c | 21,431$7,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,416.1 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 65c | 11,111$7,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,888.85 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Holy Cross Crusaders | 68c | 7,963$5,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,560.78 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee1…9bc3backed Army Black Knights | 16c | 5,181$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 65c | 3,000$1,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.99 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Holy Cross Crusaders | 78c | 2,149$1,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.17 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe390…73ffbacked Army Black Knights | 33c | 2,031$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked Holy Cross Crusaders | 71c | 2,026$1,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.02 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Army Black Knights | 32c | 1,580$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.59 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Army Black Knights | 26c | 1,326$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.97 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a7…5314backed Army Black Knights | 20c | 1,154$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked Army Black Knights | 53c | 866.79$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.74 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +5.1wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +20%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Holy Cross Crusaders | 70c | 584.11$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.29 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 69c | 551.99$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.15 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Army Black Knights | 21c | 549.81$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.34 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Army Black Knights | 20c | 478.44$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.32 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Holy Cross Crusaders | 77c | 463.13$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Army Black Knights | 19c | 446.63$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.3 | 114 | 39.5%45 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…aeb0backed Army Black Knights | 17c | 412.43$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.14 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Holy Cross Crusaders | 78c | 321$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.8 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 76c | 316.4$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.87 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Army Black Knights | 29c | 301.94$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.63 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Army Black Knights | 28c | 269.26$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.02 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 52c | 247.23$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.3 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Holy Cross Crusaders | 55c | 239$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.55 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Army Black Knights | 15c | 232.16$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 235 | 44.7%105 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Army Black Knights | 24c | 226$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.84 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Army Black Knights | 24c | 220$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 230 | 28.3%65 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd098…8c03backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 72c | 210$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38d0…899bbacked Holy Cross Crusaders | 68c | 205.88$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.88 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 70c | 173.77$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.13 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 68c | 166.62$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.94 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d65…961cbacked Holy Cross Crusaders | 80c | 154.7$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Army Black Knights | 34c | 151.58$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.08 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 64c | 138.95$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe2…e4d2backed Army Black Knights | 48c | 98.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Army Black Knights | 28c | 91.72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ab…361bbacked Army Black Knights | 21c | 85.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 98 | 21.4%21 W · 77 L | -17.7wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Holy Cross Crusaders | 68c | 82.05$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.41 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Army Black Knights | 29c | 75.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Army Black Knights | 28c | 70.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x602a…6b4cbacked Army Black Knights | 20c | 65.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 78c | 63.01$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 61c | 55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.61 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Army Black Knights | 35c | 49.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 216 | 46.8%101 W · 115 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 78c | 45.79$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ad…44febacked Army Black Knights | 32c | 39.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ef…18a5backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 77c | 37.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 79cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 76c | 36.35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Army Black Knights | 34c | 34.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc16…8505backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 67c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…c8c3backed Army Black Knights | 33c | 32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab3…1576backed Army Black Knights | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb849…64abbacked Army Black Knights | 33c | 31.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcf…23fabacked Holy Cross Crusaders | 67c | 31.16$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f91…8065backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 65c | 30.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee5e…e619backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 75c | 26.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f7…c7fabacked Army Black Knights | 48c | 24.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x857a…bcbbbacked Army Black Knights | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6460…84efbacked Holy Cross Crusaders | 75c | 22.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f3…2749backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 66c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19c6…42a6backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 77c | 13.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5650…4cd8backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 79c | 13.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.81 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…efbbbacked Holy Cross Crusaders | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 78cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Army Black Knights vs. Holy Cross Crusadersthis page
- Army Black Knights vs. Holy Cross Crusaders: O/U 140.5Over won
- Army Black Knights vs. Holy Cross Crusaders: O/U 141.5Over won
- Army Black Knights vs. Holy Cross Crusaders: O/U 142.5Over won
- Army Black Knights vs. Holy Cross Crusaders: O/U 143.5Over won
- Spread: Holy Cross Crusaders (-4.5)Holy Cross Crusaders won
- Spread: Holy Cross Crusaders (-5.5)Holy Cross Crusaders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.