Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Holy Cross Crusaders (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81c229063bef76c98876f934baf31c262f94ba21e0e53c5ca99f2344cf0761a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Holy Cross Crusadersof Holy Cross Crusaders, Army Black Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,656
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,681
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,656 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Army Black Knights | 53c | 46,921$24,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,802.77 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Holy Cross Crusaders | 47c | 16,930$7,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,007.96 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 48c | 11,111$5,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,777.72 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 47c | 8,000$3,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,220 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Holy Cross Crusaders | 47c | 3,735$1,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,986.53 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Holy Cross Crusaders | 47c | 3,250$1,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,737.64 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 47c | 2,771$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,457.39 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Holy Cross Crusaders | 47c | 1,350$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 50c | 280$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Army Black Knights | 50c | 236$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…220cbacked Holy Cross Crusaders | 47c | 174$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.98 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked Holy Cross Crusaders | 47c | 170.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.21 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Army Black Knights | 52c | 64.73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Holy Cross Crusaders | 47c | 36.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdca6…9a97backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 49c | 23.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Army Black Knights | 50c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 1,124 | 46.4%521 W · 603 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 47c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47ba…a503backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Holy Cross Crusaders (-4.5)this page
- Army Black Knights vs. Holy Cross CrusadersHoly Cross Crusaders won
- Army Black Knights vs. Holy Cross Crusaders: O/U 140.5Over won
- Army Black Knights vs. Holy Cross Crusaders: O/U 141.5Over won
- Army Black Knights vs. Holy Cross Crusaders: O/U 142.5Over won
- Army Black Knights vs. Holy Cross Crusaders: O/U 143.5Over won
- Spread: Holy Cross Crusaders (-5.5)Holy Cross Crusaders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.