TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

LSU Tigers vs. Texas A&M Aggies

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Texas A&M Aggiesof LSU Tigers, Texas A&M Aggies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$35,752
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$36,395

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,752 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1624…bf63backed LSU Tigers10c3,594$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.81,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Texas A&M Aggies73c3,140$2,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.364,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Texas A&M Aggies70c3,123$2,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.145,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24d8…e8a8backed Texas A&M Aggies79c2,328$1,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.2912354.5%67 W · 56 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed LSU Tigers30c2,212$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.592,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8307…ad90backed LSU Tigers3c1,300$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451048.7%9 W · 95 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick6cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked LSU Tigers26c1,138$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.751,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Texas A&M Aggies75c875.62$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.633,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbcb9…4734backed LSU Tigers5c859.59$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.632334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f19…f012backed LSU Tigers13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004652.2%24 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed LSU Tigers15c745.41$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.12,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed LSU Tigers32c662.53$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.0116135.4%57 W · 104 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ae…f107backed LSU Tigers30c652.39$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.142327.2%115 W · 308 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x11c1…7fe5backed LSU Tigers48c618.92$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x004e…90f8backed LSU Tigers18c598.92$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10819237%71 W · 121 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed LSU Tigers21c553.82$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.372,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked LSU Tigers25c479$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.6761446.1%283 W · 331 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf41…5562backed LSU Tigers48c460$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.6944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked LSU Tigers13c450$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked LSU Tigers30c386.04$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.8152928.4%150 W · 379 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed LSU Tigers20c383.87$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.7873549.1%361 W · 374 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked LSU Tigers23c321.37$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.084,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a45…41f6backed LSU Tigers32c315.05$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011444.7%51 W · 63 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked LSU Tigers30c311.84$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.5512,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked LSU Tigers26c310$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.61,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed LSU Tigers17c268.44$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.838343.6%167 W · 216 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked LSU Tigers31c267.63$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.972,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc76a…700bbacked LSU Tigers27c239.27$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed Texas A&M Aggies69c239.13$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.1319554.9%107 W · 88 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed LSU Tigers20c232.89$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.13,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83c8…26f0backed LSU Tigers12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2413313.5%18 W · 115 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e80…f17abacked LSU Tigers10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201608.1%13 W · 147 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-42.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df1…2da7backed LSU Tigers17c179.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.978930.3%27 W · 62 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fa1…df77backed Texas A&M Aggies77c177.93$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.591650%8 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14dc…ffa1backed Texas A&M Aggies74c154$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.37366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ad7…86bfbacked LSU Tigers14c144.29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2080%0 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed LSU Tigers51c141$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.9119050.5%96 W · 94 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed LSU Tigers25c138.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353737.8%14 W · 23 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-23.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked LSU Tigers14c111.46$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.159412.8%12 W · 82 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-44.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3673…79f6backed LSU Tigers25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251533.3%5 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked LSU Tigers25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Texas A&M Aggies57c68.2$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.582,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Texas A&M Aggies70c64.33$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.191,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Texas A&M Aggies65c48.53$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.011,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Texas A&M Aggies68c48$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.541,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed LSU Tigers34c44.05$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.982,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ab3…1576backed LSU Tigers25c40.91$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.161926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-42.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Texas A&M Aggies66c37.76$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.766162.3%38 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed LSU Tigers34c30.03$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.211,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbed7…50f6backed Texas A&M Aggies68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Texas A&M Aggies69c27.08$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.43,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed LSU Tigers40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1053635.6%191 W · 345 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a08…0910backed Texas A&M Aggies69c15.86$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.86666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.