Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs. Bakersfield Roadrunners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x827fd367d86ea11c47a609977205c652a3796926911664e33522d131abea5c34
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UC Santa Barbara Gauchosof UC Santa Barbara Gauchos, Bakersfield Roadrunners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,783
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,917
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,783 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 79c | 2,265$1,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.78 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 18c | 1,548$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.11 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 72c | 1,097$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.75 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 27c | 763.92$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.26 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Bakersfield Roadrunners | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 30c | 433.31$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.92 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 25c | 429.78$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.48 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 6c | 419$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.63 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 13c | 410.58$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.85 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 73c | 335$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.64 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 21c | 257$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.34 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 72c | 190.47$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.4 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Bakersfield Roadrunners | 23c | 178.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.21 | 279 | 55.2%154 W · 125 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bakersfield Roadrunners | 18c | 129.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 28c | 125$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 73c | 113$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.51 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked Bakersfield Roadrunners | 27c | 91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 20c | 87.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 290 | 12.1%35 W · 255 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ba…a503backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 21c | 86.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Bakersfield Roadrunners | 15c | 85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f41…5cb3backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 73c | 64$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 23c | 53.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 140 | 35%49 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 27c | 49.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 24c | 48.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 378 | 35.7%135 W · 243 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22c8…819bbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab3…1576backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 28c | 39.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 73c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 71c | 26.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…921dbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ad…44febacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 72c | 18.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad68…b97cbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 74c | 16.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 75cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd902…d076backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 73c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.