Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Wofford Terriers vs. Mercer Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0de17bd94ec005dde7223daa396087245b7e369338c3cf1ef48ef3012c99f9e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mercer Bearsof Wofford Terriers, Mercer Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,043
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,212
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,043 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mercer Bears | 74c | 4,021$2,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.59 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Wofford Terriers | 38c | 1,780$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.84 | 158 | 61.4%97 W · 61 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Wofford Terriers | 24c | 1,348$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.98 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Mercer Bears | 68c | 1,252$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.96 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mercer Bears | 62c | 1,173$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.12 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Mercer Bears | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8049…1e6cbacked Wofford Terriers | 22c | 907.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Wofford Terriers | 29c | 882.78$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.88 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Wofford Terriers | 33c | 791.45$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.2 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Wofford Terriers | 30c | 790.33$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.33 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Mercer Bears | 65c | 444$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.4 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f5…8be3backed Wofford Terriers | 29c | 345.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.76 | 127 | 33.9%43 W · 84 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Mercer Bears | 65c | 301.93$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.29 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Wofford Terriers | 31c | 284.2$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.02 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Wofford Terriers | 28c | 210.64$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.71 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Wofford Terriers | 29c | 198.02$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.67 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f29…9d73backed Mercer Bears | 65c | 195.59$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.45 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Mercer Bears | 71c | 180$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.66 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b55…01c6backed Wofford Terriers | 29c | 140$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Wofford Terriers | 23c | 104$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7441…cb79backed Wofford Terriers | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.33per pick | 41cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3c34…c8b8backed Wofford Terriers | 34c | 58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 143 | 39.9%57 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Wofford Terriers | 18c | 56.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab3…1576backed Wofford Terriers | 33c | 36.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Mercer Bears | 66c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Wofford Terriers | 35c | 33.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Wofford Terriers | 37c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Mercer Bears | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 225 | 52.9%119 W · 106 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wofford Terriers vs. Mercer Bearsthis page
- Wofford Terriers vs. Mercer Bears: O/U 155.5Over won
- Wofford Terriers vs. Mercer Bears: O/U 156.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.