Bundesliga · resolved market
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-01-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde7c950cecf0287e75532e97a56d883264d70a03da3011419b0b704055b5f390
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $407,954
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $456,632
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $407,954 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 336 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 45c | 26,461$11,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,935.47 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 43c | 21,545$9,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,264.34 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 43c | 20,228$8,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,697.86 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,400 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x827f…7f59backed Yes | 54c | 20,000$10,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,200 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 55c | 15,634$8,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,048.99 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 56c | 13,492$7,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,938.54 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b46…8438backed Yes | 57c | 12,782$7,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,486.89 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 45c | 12,157$5,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,470.62 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Yes | 57c | 12,000$6,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,160 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…6655backed No | 44c | 11,442$5,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,034.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 57c | 9,999$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,299.63 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 45c | 9,299$4,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,207.36 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 47c | 7,961$3,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,707.72 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 1c | 7,174$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.22 | 60 | 10%6 W · 54 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed No | 43c | 7,000$3,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,010 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 55c | 6,349$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,848.71 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 46c | 5,858$2,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,673.33 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked No | 45c | 5,700$2,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,574 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed No | 46c | 5,459$2,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,511.3 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 45c | 5,322$2,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,389.55 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed No | 44c | 4,482$1,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,972 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 46c | 4,031$1,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,866.12 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked No | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked No | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,759.99 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…2a44backed No | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,759.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 34c | 3,751$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.45 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked No | 44c | 3,409$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…ec6fbacked Yes | 60c | 3,331$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,332.32 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed Yes | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed No | 46c | 2,865$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 54c | 2,778$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.78 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Yes | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63df…36c4backed Yes | 54c | 2,407$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.41 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 43c | 2,140$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.8 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.99 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked No | 44c | 1,800$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.99 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed No | 44c | 1,770$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed No | 45c | 1,752$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.36 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -6.0wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 56c | 1,734$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.71 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95d8…2922backed Yes | 55c | 1,700$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 45c | 1,651$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.77 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked No | 45c | 1,540$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.84 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 45c | 1,520$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.66 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.2 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 277 | 26.4%73 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb28d…83e4backed No | 46c | 1,474$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.01 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -78%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b49…d0dfbacked No | 42c | 1,389$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 55c | 1,285$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.45 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 56c | 1,200$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.99 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed No | 44c | 1,135$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.18 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked Yes | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.11 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed No | 45c | 1,100$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 44c | 1,086$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.44 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.52 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3909…335fbacked No | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…41b5backed Yes | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 15c | 993.45$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.07 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 53c | 970.71$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.23 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a24…328abacked Yes | 55c | 901.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.09 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked No | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 1c | 847$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed No | 46c | 828.56$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.6 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 55c | 800$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.62 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 51c | 768.63$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.63 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…bca3backed Yes | 55c | 724.64$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.68 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7643…fb95backed No | 44c | 699.99$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.99 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 54c | 657.41$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.41 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed No | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed No | 46c | 650$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 22 | 90.9%20 W · 2 L | +4.5wins | +0.21per pick | 70cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 44c | 634$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.96 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Yes | 57c | 626.32$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.32 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 55c | 625.1$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.23 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 45c | 601$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.45 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f84…80ebbacked No | 46c | 599.98$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x678b…beafbacked Yes | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 45c | 581.46$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.18 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…0febbacked Yes | 57c | 557.82$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.86 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed Yes | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 45c | 520$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Yes | 54c | 502.35$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.08 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed No | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…92c8backed No | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Yes | 58c | 497.05$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.43 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed No | 45c | 475.76$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.41 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 57c | 468$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.24 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…7cf6backed Yes | 54c | 437$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.02 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 45c | 420.98$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.15 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d56…0ba5backed No | 47c | 410$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.7 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 57c | 400$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacba…9256backed No | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked No | 46c | 396.51$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.69 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed Yes | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…4e57backed Yes | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-01-14?this page
- Will RB Leipzig vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?No won
- Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-01-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.