Bundesliga · resolved market
Will RB Leipzig vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e40671cf97db61f8078547233909b84dc40d949c9107568f4bd68c6c80ac38d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $112,945
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $109,945
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,945 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb784…61d0backed No | 76c | 60,869$46,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,608.53 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 23c | 23,474$5,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,507.94 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 24c | 16,422$3,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,941.22 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 24c | 13,455$3,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,284.31 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 24c | 7,800$1,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,872 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4466…9ad1backed No | 75c | 5,025$3,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb28d…83e4backed Yes | 25c | 4,688$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.94 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -78%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 24c | 3,879$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.14 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 24c | 2,437$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.76 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 76c | 1,859$1,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.82 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x070a…6ec5backed Yes | 1c | 1,699$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 24c | 1,500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 277 | 26.4%73 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 28c | 1,033$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3909…335fbacked No | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 24c | 800$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Yes | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 25c | 600$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 25c | 596.15$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.04 | 228 | 29.4%67 W · 161 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 24c | 417$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.08 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 24c | 394$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.56 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…4e57backed Yes | 25c | 370$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 25c | 369.12$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.28 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4597…272bbacked Yes | 25c | 368$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 24c | 328.51$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.84 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed No | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed No | 76c | 257.88$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.88 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Yes | 24c | 247.93$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54ee…1943backed No | 68c | 233.24$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.64 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes | 24c | 225$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 27cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 74c | 215.17$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.73 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 24c | 209$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79a4…3358backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d55…1e94backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…40febacked Yes | 24c | 188.35$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.2 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +5.4wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Yes | 24c | 179.01$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Yes | 25c | 149.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 24c | 145.87$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.01 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…aeb0backed Yes | 13c | 133.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…1340backed Yes | 25c | 127.44$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.86 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…d978backed Yes | 25c | 126.6$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.65 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf711…db0bbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc598…b4acbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…d58bbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacba…9256backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 74c | 99.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc48…2427backed Yes | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ea…52dbbacked Yes | 25c | 95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1acc…8fe0backed Yes | 25c | 87.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 24c | 80.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1b…c38fbacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…3daebacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Yes | 25c | 70$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 115 | 40.9%47 W · 68 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 67c | 69.7$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.07 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes | 21c | 65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked No | 75c | 62.73$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf6…801cbacked Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450f…9479backed No | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Yes | 25c | 56.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x548c…763bbacked Yes | 25c | 52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabeb…1d14backed No | 76c | 51.97$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 50 | 76%38 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Yes | 24c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2df5…51acbacked Yes | 28c | 43.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 24c | 43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 112 | 81.3%91 W · 21 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 76cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5163…9a4fbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab85…81e6backed No | 75c | 27.97$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53db…480ebacked No | 77c | 25.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32a2…505cbacked No | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c8…7c4cbacked No | 75c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…1bf3backed No | 77c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -74%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 69c | 14.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RB Leipzig vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?this page
- Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-01-14?Yes won
- Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-01-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.