Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Virginia Tech Hokies vs. SMU Mustangs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b25f5127f0add7dadbf94944a03288f83a75badeed0bf656a34d5fbcf06d7fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SMU Mustangsof Virginia Tech Hokies, SMU Mustangs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,461
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,844
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,461 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked SMU Mustangs | 60c | 4,324$2,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,731.49 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed SMU Mustangs | 76c | 1,203$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.01 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…ad90backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 3c | 1,000$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 104 | 8.7%9 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked SMU Mustangs | 76c | 971.73$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.41 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked SMU Mustangs | 26c | 929.25$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.2 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…08f5backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 3c | 900$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 6cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79d1…68b3backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 8c | 853.81$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.45 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed SMU Mustangs | 25c | 773.63$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.06 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 24c | 751.63$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.39 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed SMU Mustangs | 33c | 743.09$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.52 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 2c | 726$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed SMU Mustangs | 26c | 714.77$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.87 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 62c | 558.24$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.06 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked SMU Mustangs | 62c | 477.14$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.08 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 49c | 466$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.77 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked SMU Mustangs | 32c | 393.96$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.54 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 5c | 350$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 147 | 8.8%13 W · 134 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 32c | 333$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.69 | 149 | 25.5%38 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked SMU Mustangs | 24c | 290.63$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.73 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…a26fbacked SMU Mustangs | 44c | 230$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed SMU Mustangs | 58c | 225.38$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.66 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 48c | 206.3$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.11 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 9c | 200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 133 | 13.5%18 W · 115 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 70 | 17.1%12 W · 58 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed SMU Mustangs | 22c | 162.17$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.1 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 24c | 148.75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a45…41f6backed SMU Mustangs | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed SMU Mustangs | 79c | 119.39$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.24 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed SMU Mustangs | 73c | 114$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 61c | 100.62$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.87 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked SMU Mustangs | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.4 | 365 | 35.9%131 W · 234 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked SMU Mustangs | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 58c | 92.57$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.46 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5650…4cd8backed SMU Mustangs | 21c | 91.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.74 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed SMU Mustangs | 77c | 85$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 23c | 74.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 202 | 54.5%110 W · 92 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked SMU Mustangs | 74c | 67.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x600b…3695backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed SMU Mustangs | 27c | 48.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked SMU Mustangs | 49c | 48.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 459 | 53.8%247 W · 212 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 26c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 65c | 32.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed SMU Mustangs | 61c | 31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.97 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223e…fc48backed SMU Mustangs | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked SMU Mustangs | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x666f…9ddfbacked SMU Mustangs | 76c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad68…b97cbacked SMU Mustangs | 78c | 15.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 75cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Virginia Tech Hokies vs. SMU Mustangsthis page
- Virginia Tech Hokies vs. SMU Mustangs: O/U 157.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.