TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

VCU Rams vs. Rhode Island Rams

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
VCU Ramsof VCU Rams, Rhode Island Rams
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$76,812
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$85,832

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,812 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Rhode Island Rams37c20,552$7,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,559.285,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed VCU Rams64c11,810$7,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,201.612,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked VCU Rams64c4,653$2,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,669.561,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x17f0…add7backed VCU Rams67c3,028$2,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.242100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+76.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Rhode Island Rams36c3,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08039744.8%178 W · 219 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed VCU Rams65c2,749$1,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$956.971,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x677e…fc62backed VCU Rams67c2,449$1,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.172100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+76.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked VCU Rams62c2,169$1,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.941,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4e2…0f82backed Rhode Island Rams38c1,970$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748.236149.2%30 W · 31 L+6.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+26.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked VCU Rams65c1,615$1,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.974,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Rhode Island Rams36c1,455$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.812,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked VCU Rams64c1,426$913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.785,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6255…d51abacked Rhode Island Rams38c1,295$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.1475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+26.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed VCU Rams62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3802,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Rhode Island Rams33c958.18$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.71,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed VCU Rams61c950.82$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.829037.8%34 W · 56 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x991c…5f1bbacked Rhode Island Rams38c785$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0121…2fccbacked VCU Rams62c769$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.22475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fab…ab3ebacked Rhode Island Rams33c750$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d13…a448backed Rhode Island Rams38c746$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.4820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked VCU Rams62c733.5$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.942,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0771…dd66backed Rhode Island Rams33c721$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.93250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed VCU Rams67c707.95$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.2173549.1%361 W · 374 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e4e…05ccbacked Rhode Island Rams38c694$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.7220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe731…4391backed Rhode Island Rams33c693$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.69250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62ad…02b0backed Rhode Island Rams35c687.75$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24150%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe0b6…accbbacked VCU Rams65c679.97$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.97366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+44.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9062…0b9abacked Rhode Island Rams38c677$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b5…abc1backed Rhode Island Rams33c664$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.12250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a4…f9debacked Rhode Island Rams33c636$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.8820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fc7…64febacked Rhode Island Rams33c607$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.3120%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Rhode Island Rams37c600$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22235243.2%152 W · 200 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09dc…567bbacked Rhode Island Rams33c579$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.07250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x243c…ff84backed Rhode Island Rams33c550$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3010…a27cbacked Rhode Island Rams17c529.16$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.9614021.4%30 W · 110 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf00f…4682backed VCU Rams62c526$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.882100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+147.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xffc4…39ebbacked Rhode Island Rams36c513.99$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.0320%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Rhode Island Rams37c498.38$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.141,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x281f…b7b5backed VCU Rams62c481$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.78475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick61cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d5a…5199backed VCU Rams62c460$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+80.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked VCU Rams73c449.44$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.4245351.4%233 W · 220 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcff2…9ef0backed VCU Rams62c442$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.963100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Rhode Island Rams34c377.36$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.754,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd03…a537backed VCU Rams62c373$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.742100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+43.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee28…8266backed VCU Rams63c350.13$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.8916436%59 W · 105 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-12.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked Rhode Island Rams35c344.14$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.8910652.8%56 W · 50 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd902…d076backed Rhode Island Rams37c342$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.165657.1%32 W · 24 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Rhode Island Rams37c336.33$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.5114846.6%69 W · 79 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9408…effcbacked VCU Rams62c304$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2ae…412ebacked VCU Rams62c304$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.523100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Rhode Island Rams36c303.05$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.592,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83f4…f91ebacked VCU Rams62c286$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.68250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed VCU Rams79c284$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.2972248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8544…78abbacked VCU Rams64c273$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.283100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+45%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed VCU Rams66c262.55$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.571,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x563e…3392backed VCU Rams62c252$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.762100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick64cpaid+57.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed VCU Rams64c245.08$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.4299045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9c6…5791backed VCU Rams64c222$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.92250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38d0…899bbacked VCU Rams65c215.38$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.38580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+22.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked VCU Rams69c203.52$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.7732343%139 W · 184 L-18.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9380…a275backed VCU Rams61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed VCU Rams70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6036845.7%168 W · 200 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Rhode Island Rams32c198$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.361,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked VCU Rams62c194.8$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.022,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Rhode Island Rams28c161.18$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9645644.5%203 W · 253 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x936f…7f75backed VCU Rams77c160$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Rhode Island Rams17c147.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2523544.7%105 W · 130 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9ad…44febacked Rhode Island Rams37c146.54$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.9510151.5%52 W · 49 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b9a…b04fbacked Rhode Island Rams37c135.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Rhode Island Rams27c133.9$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.457335.6%204 W · 369 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x70fa…07f3backed Rhode Island Rams19c127.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.52450%12 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Rhode Island Rams39c121.12$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.248843.2%38 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc48…2427backed Rhode Island Rams17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed VCU Rams73c113.23$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4648051%245 W · 235 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Rhode Island Rams32c112.66$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.483,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1a9…d58bbacked Rhode Island Rams18c112.39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a45…41f6backed Rhode Island Rams38c105.26$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011444.7%51 W · 63 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Rhode Island Rams36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3689146.2%412 W · 479 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bd8…5c53backed VCU Rams61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392250%11 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x043f…1b07backed Rhode Island Rams21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-67.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed VCU Rams66c90.9$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.9129442.9%126 W · 168 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c07…aeb0backed Rhode Island Rams22c89.08$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.763948.7%19 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed VCU Rams72c85.45$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.81,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Rhode Island Rams37c79$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2360548.9%296 W · 309 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed VCU Rams71c78.91$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.962,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Rhode Island Rams37c71.65$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.630746.3%142 W · 165 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdca6…9a97backed Rhode Island Rams37c67.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253663.9%23 W · 13 L+5.6wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+33.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x85f7…fb66backed Rhode Island Rams17c66.47$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.33613.9%5 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c10…4e76backed Rhode Island Rams38c65.79$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520024%48 W · 152 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Rhode Island Rams35c65.06$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.773262.5%20 W · 12 L+5.6wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+37.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked VCU Rams67c64.28$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.211,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Rhode Island Rams38c59.63$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5221342.3%90 W · 123 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6eaa…9baebacked Rhode Island Rams37c56.76$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2110458.7%61 W · 43 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xedfd…1432backed Rhode Island Rams41c50.9$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.872751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ab…361bbacked Rhode Island Rams29c50.15$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.399821.4%21 W · 77 L-17.7wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-55.5%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Rhode Island Rams36c49.91$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1742246.2%195 W · 227 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c16…8f87backed Rhode Island Rams35c45.19$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Rhode Island Rams37c43.4$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0521646.8%101 W · 115 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8c8…7c4cbacked VCU Rams63c41.98$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.369061.1%55 W · 35 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x44a8…b872backed Rhode Island Rams36c41.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-28.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.