Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
VCU Rams vs. Rhode Island Rams: O/U 149.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x066b371f0d4b46bfd49ad079dd98f78655a274cb7d014e823593d0953eb5b0c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,862
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,198
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,862 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1cf6…e703backed Over | 49c | 3,756$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,915.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16a2…eb67backed Over | 49c | 3,752$1,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,913.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Under | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78a5…c635backed Under | 51c | 1,527$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3591…7033backed Under | 51c | 1,467$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0060…2900backed Under | 51c | 1,462$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2960…3197backed Under | 51c | 1,428$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 44c | 932.41$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.24 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…1bb6backed Under | 51c | 862$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 44c | 850.25$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.03 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9be5…5e55backed Under | 51c | 762$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Under | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Under | 16c | 275.59$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.43 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 48c | 257.78$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.1 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 56c | 249.12$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.65 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Over | 42c | 198.82$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.32 | 222 | 50.9%113 W · 109 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 44c | 145.11$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.04 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3d…f8c6backed Over | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 106.46$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.27 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 46c | 100.87$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.61 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 46c | 75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.64 | 1,124 | 46.4%521 W · 603 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 58c | 68$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.44 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 24c | 66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 56c | 62.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.97 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3b…72acbacked Over | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ef…18a5backed Over | 80c | 38.46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 79cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Over | 44c | 38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- VCU Rams vs. Rhode Island Rams: O/U 149.5this page
- Spread: VCU Rams (-3.5)VCU Rams won
- Spread: VCU Rams (-4.5)VCU Rams won
- VCU Rams vs. Rhode Island RamsVCU Rams won
- VCU Rams vs. Rhode Island Rams: O/U 144.5Over won
- VCU Rams vs. Rhode Island Rams: O/U 145.5Over won
- VCU Rams vs. Rhode Island Rams: O/U 146.5Over won
- VCU Rams vs. Rhode Island Rams: O/U 147.5Over won
- VCU Rams vs. Rhode Island Rams: O/U 148.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.