TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

VCU Rams vs. Rhode Island Rams: O/U 147.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$826,667
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$829,446

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $826,667 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Under51c674,381$343,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343,761.2635945.1%162 W · 197 L-24.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x006c…16eabacked Over49c500,000$245,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255,0009652.1%50 W · 46 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Over49c200,000$98,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101,999.9889645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Under51c96,000$48,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,9605347.2%25 W · 28 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Over49c39,235$19,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,009.9321754.8%119 W · 98 L+15.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over50c14,094$7,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,068.841,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Over49c12,222$5,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,233.2213154.2%71 W · 60 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under50c9,902$4,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,914.169142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over49c6,519$3,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,330.2912,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Over50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00021248.1%102 W · 110 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Over49c3,129$1,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,595.647237.5%27 W · 45 L-6.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Under56c3,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,68039744.8%178 W · 219 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Over50c2,800$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,40014647.9%70 W · 76 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under51c2,755$1,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4082,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over52c2,658$1,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,287.685,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Over50c2,200$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,10089850%449 W · 449 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00041752.5%219 W · 198 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07bc…393abacked Over49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0208351.8%43 W · 40 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed Over50c1,898$949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949.155759.6%34 W · 23 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5009856.1%55 W · 43 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+52.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Over50c936.6$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.728747.1%41 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Over49c721.65$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.228843.2%38 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14fa…73f0backed Over50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over49c413$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.694,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Over50c381.21$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.6116954.4%92 W · 77 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e7d…d07abacked Over50c282.91$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.39250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Over51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9813851.4%71 W · 67 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38fc…33e2backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+44.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10050546.9%237 W · 268 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10023948.1%115 W · 124 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2107…8f4cbacked Over51c196.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.423043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under48c148.08$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.935,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb0a0…d84fbacked Over51c112.59$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.176144.3%27 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under51c102.5$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.283,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501,07046.9%502 W · 568 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5880…b6a3backed Over50c97.94$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x187b…f545backed Over50c91.04$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.5210049%49 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe405…d969backed Over50c88.98$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.49475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+47.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x664b…00b3backed Over50c87.52$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.7611159.5%66 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3a72…fc7abacked Over50c85.8$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.91258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under51c82$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8260548.9%296 W · 309 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e0f…a96bbacked Under51c78.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4fb0…3182backed Over50c77.52$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.7641354%223 W · 190 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82d1…663fbacked Over50c77.01$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.391172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+50.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd562…b6d1backed Over50c73.44$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.725763.2%36 W · 21 L+8.4wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+28.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3bec…6997backed Under54c67$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.184052.5%21 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d48…48e0backed Over50c65.44$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7218046.7%84 W · 96 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x085d…5302backed Under65c64.99$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5613550.4%68 W · 67 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed Over52c62.34$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.179151.6%47 W · 44 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe008…8ff5backed Over50c61.68$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.844055%22 W · 18 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Over51c60.05$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.281,12446.4%521 W · 603 L-25.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under49c53.83$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5757335.6%204 W · 369 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec71…70ebbacked Under50c52$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under43c51$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.913,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x513e…a330backed Over52c48.31$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.31742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9aea…5590backed Over50c44.89$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4515844.3%70 W · 88 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Over52c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.262753%332 W · 295 L+13.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3888…0755backed Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205147.1%24 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65b6…2108backed Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205650%28 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x460d…9d5fbacked Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Under51c39.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2023754.9%130 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf67…be5bbacked Under51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-29.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe33c…6006backed Over51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.225648.2%27 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Over50c37.98$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9919657.1%112 W · 84 L+14.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked Over50c37.98$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9918656.5%105 W · 81 L+12.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe00f…c254backed Over50c37.98$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.999056.7%51 W · 39 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbbe8…9262backed Over51c37.92$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.582100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Over50c37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.518646.2%86 W · 100 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under48c35.57$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.014,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08cf…f0ccbacked Over50c34.66$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.314360.5%26 W · 17 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Over56c33.47$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.735731.6%18 W · 39 L-7.8wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-44%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd8a3…61debacked Over52c30.77$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.771764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+25.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9eae…98a5backed Over50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ea…066ebacked Over48c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.67957%45 W · 34 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7e9…0f30backed Over51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Under49c29.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.818241.2%75 W · 107 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6cfd…a4b9backed Over52c28.84$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.84728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-46.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x666f…9ddfbacked Under54c28.65$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.472040%8 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x08b6…7db6backed Under51c27.57$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9812245.9%56 W · 66 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd7e7…fef1backed Over51c24.12$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.826238.7%24 W · 38 L-7.4wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-23.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf837…8b61backed Over50c24.1$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.051573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+33.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbc3a…e1f0backed Over49c22.87$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6626848.1%129 W · 139 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47ba…a503backed Under53c18.87$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011841.5%49 W · 69 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over54c18.65$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.581,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.