Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Virginia Cavaliers vs. SMU Mustangs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4551b6c64a42d3feef54a23bc3d19d5dc8bf9361084ade4ca39d782d6dde478
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virginia Cavaliersof Virginia Cavaliers, SMU Mustangs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $185,526
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $214,730
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $185,526 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9249…4f16backed SMU Mustangs | 44c | 40,000$17,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,600 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Virginia Cavaliers | 56c | 37,842$21,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,650.3 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Virginia Cavaliers | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,600 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked SMU Mustangs | 41c | 8,150$3,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,352.18 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked SMU Mustangs | 48c | 6,034$2,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,896.32 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Virginia Cavaliers | 55c | 5,722$3,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,555.98 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed SMU Mustangs | 44c | 5,664$2,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,501.81 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Virginia Cavaliers | 56c | 4,286$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,885.71 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed SMU Mustangs | 43c | 4,267$1,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840.86 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40e2…b0a7backed SMU Mustangs | 43c | 3,694$1,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,591.17 | 79 | 65.8%52 W · 27 L | +8.9wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf569…36a6backed Virginia Cavaliers | 55c | 3,549$1,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,594.99 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed SMU Mustangs | 36c | 2,729$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.47 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0f…f3e6backed Virginia Cavaliers | 56c | 2,268$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.09 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Virginia Cavaliers | 62c | 2,174$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.1 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Virginia Cavaliers | 56c | 2,137$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.8 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed SMU Mustangs | 35c | 2,030$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ee…5cf0backed Virginia Cavaliers | 48c | 1,817$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.06 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed SMU Mustangs | 40c | 1,781$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.12 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked SMU Mustangs | 45c | 1,757$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.56 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked SMU Mustangs | 30c | 1,142$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.02 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Virginia Cavaliers | 50c | 1,053$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.96 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed SMU Mustangs | 48c | 1,049$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.23 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd10e…8404backed SMU Mustangs | 45c | 971$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf825…c866backed Virginia Cavaliers | 55c | 970.99$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28b9…9719backed SMU Mustangs | 46c | 908.43$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.88 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed SMU Mustangs | 38c | 874.47$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.54 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Virginia Cavaliers | 56c | 853.88$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.88 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed SMU Mustangs | 45c | 813.99$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.56 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Virginia Cavaliers | 55c | 799.98$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.99 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed SMU Mustangs | 45c | 730.98$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.94 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…182fbacked SMU Mustangs | 46c | 700$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e7…cbeebacked Virginia Cavaliers | 54c | 699.99$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked SMU Mustangs | 44c | 683.5$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.65 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Virginia Cavaliers | 55c | 662$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.99 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…55f7backed SMU Mustangs | 47c | 638.94$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed SMU Mustangs | 41c | 605.76$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.9 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked SMU Mustangs | 38c | 589.06$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.4 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed SMU Mustangs | 45c | 533.35$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.01 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked SMU Mustangs | 45c | 533$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.85 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked SMU Mustangs | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Virginia Cavaliers | 79c | 504.37$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.37 | 453 | 51.4%233 W · 220 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53c0…3f90backed Virginia Cavaliers | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked SMU Mustangs | 43c | 495.93$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.25 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Virginia Cavaliers | 51c | 486.51$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.88 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…c054backed SMU Mustangs | 46c | 444.78$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.6 | 190 | 57.4%109 W · 81 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked SMU Mustangs | 46c | 436$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.47 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bda…4282backed Virginia Cavaliers | 56c | 401.91$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.95 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3be6…05b1backed Virginia Cavaliers | 50c | 400.89$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.89 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +6.1wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed SMU Mustangs | 36c | 393.88$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.8 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Virginia Cavaliers | 54c | 373.55$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.84 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Virginia Cavaliers | 57c | 320$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.13 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed SMU Mustangs | 44c | 235.17$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.99 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…7c36backed SMU Mustangs | 13c | 233.15$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed Virginia Cavaliers | 55c | 222.22$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked SMU Mustangs | 46c | 218.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +14.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed SMU Mustangs | 46c | 217.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 255 | 44.3%113 W · 142 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf82…de11backed SMU Mustangs | 46c | 207$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5afc…1550backed SMU Mustangs | 47c | 207$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7912…18c4backed Virginia Cavaliers | 53c | 205$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb06…d1d0backed Virginia Cavaliers | 54c | 204$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf274…5024backed Virginia Cavaliers | 54c | 202$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked SMU Mustangs | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed SMU Mustangs | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa505…85f4backed SMU Mustangs | 46c | 199$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d4c…141abacked Virginia Cavaliers | 54c | 198$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d18…f58abacked SMU Mustangs | 47c | 196$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee28…8266backed Virginia Cavaliers | 51c | 192$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.69 | 164 | 36%59 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked SMU Mustangs | 54c | 184.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 402 | 52.7%212 W · 190 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed SMU Mustangs | 47c | 184$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.48 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed SMU Mustangs | 48c | 177.52$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.62 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Virginia Cavaliers | 59c | 171$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.74 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4f…6678backed Virginia Cavaliers | 75c | 132.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.75 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 70cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed SMU Mustangs | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed SMU Mustangs | 45c | 102.31$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.04 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Virginia Cavaliers | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed SMU Mustangs | 44c | 99.38$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.46 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed SMU Mustangs | 35c | 91$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed SMU Mustangs | 34c | 84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed SMU Mustangs | 47c | 82$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b96…f098backed SMU Mustangs | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Virginia Cavaliers | 54c | 77$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.42 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c0…e43ebacked Virginia Cavaliers | 55c | 72.6$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.6 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked SMU Mustangs | 48c | 72.07$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 193 | 32.1%62 W · 131 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Virginia Cavaliers | 55c | 70.26$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.64 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Virginia Cavaliers | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Virginia Cavaliers | 54c | 69.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5305…57e8backed Virginia Cavaliers | 47c | 67.79$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.08 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed SMU Mustangs | 46c | 65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa26…564fbacked SMU Mustangs | 47c | 64.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b9…0a9bbacked Virginia Cavaliers | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9a…3487backed Virginia Cavaliers | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 73cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc186…ad81backed SMU Mustangs | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ad…44febacked SMU Mustangs | 44c | 54.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Virginia Cavaliers | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked SMU Mustangs | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked SMU Mustangs | 46c | 48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e3…c8dcbacked Virginia Cavaliers | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Virginia Cavaliers | 62c | 45.38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…5cc6backed SMU Mustangs | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb75…ad3cbacked SMU Mustangs | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Virginia Cavaliers vs. SMU Mustangsthis page
- Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-1.5)Virginia Cavaliers won
- Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-2.5)Virginia Cavaliers won
- Virginia Cavaliers vs. SMU Mustangs: O/U 152.5Under won
- Virginia Cavaliers vs. SMU Mustangs: O/U 153.5Under won
- Virginia Cavaliers vs. SMU Mustangs: O/U 154.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.