Bundesliga · resolved market

Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-01-14?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c55e3ef426b79f61fef8516aa5f3320eb703fa5928425a2a086e3e8c45735d0

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 14, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $125,742
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $118,296

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,742 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes	22c	8,116$1,789 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,789.14	151	34.4%52 W · 99 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed Yes	21c	4,036$848 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$847.65	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes	19c	3,314$641 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$640.57	3,284	42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L	-74.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b62…2e59backed Yes	22c	3,000$660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$660	42	52.4%22 W · 20 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Yes	23c	3,000$690 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$690	95	49.5%47 W · 48 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5543…e1f5backed Yes	22c	3,000$660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$660	37	21.6%8 W · 29 L	-6.0wins	-0.16per pick	38cpaid	-64.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No	78c	2,841$2,227 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$614.37	1,681	45.2%759 W · 922 L	+6.8wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes	18c	2,799$509 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$509.22	751	42.5%319 W · 432 L	-26.7wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No	78c	2,200$1,716 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$484	565	47.8%270 W · 295 L	+6.8wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed Yes	22c	2,200$482 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$482	61	26.2%16 W · 45 L	-7.8wins	-0.13per pick	39cpaid	-52.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes	14c	2,164$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$292.41	2,538	39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L	-8.1wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb28d…83e4backed Yes	20c	1,857$371 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$371.43	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.4wins	-0.19per pick	34cpaid	-78%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes	23c	1,508$342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$342.3	109	45.9%50 W · 59 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes	20c	1,500$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	277	26.4%73 W · 204 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ad8…9bc1backed Yes	23c	1,428$325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$325.14	51	37.3%19 W · 32 L	-4.3wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1649…7d8abacked Yes	22c	1,364$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.9wins	-0.18per pick	45cpaid	-50.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes	22c	1,249$272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$272.44	82	24.4%20 W · 62 L	-6.7wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Yes	22c	1,164$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+2.9wins	+0.16per pick	39cpaid	+45.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc4ec…351fbacked Yes	9c	1,153$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.9	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.10per pick	20cpaid	-80.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked Yes	13c	1,000$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	36	44.4%16 W · 20 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde6c…c5d8backed Yes	22c	1,000$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+1.2wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Yes	22c	909.09$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes	22c	817.83$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.92	343	42%144 W · 199 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed No	80c	625$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+1.3wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed No	78c	618.19$482 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136	97	46.4%45 W · 52 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes	22c	614.13$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.55	228	29.4%67 W · 161 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes	22c	540.91$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119	38	34.2%13 W · 25 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa42b…41cfbacked Yes	20c	500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+1.7wins	+0.11per pick	36cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed No	78c	500$388 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.14	54	57.4%31 W · 23 L	+2.6wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x48f9…cd95backed No	79c	500$395 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105	11	81.8%9 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.08per pick	74cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed No	78c	448.72$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.72	23	78.3%18 W · 5 L	+3.2wins	+0.14per pick	64cpaid	+25.9%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No	78c	419.43$325 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.02	194	46.4%90 W · 104 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0da5…cf4bbacked Yes	15c	400$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.19per pick	21cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes	18c	400$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	511	36.8%188 W · 323 L	-28.0wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes	21c	398.07$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.59	341	44.6%152 W · 189 L	-8.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes	29c	342.8$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.98	395	58.7%232 W · 163 L	+27.4wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xabd6…ca90backed No	79c	333$263 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.93	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	73cpaid	+9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3909…335fbacked Yes	22c	312.18$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.68	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No	77c	309.65$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.13	698	51.9%362 W · 336 L	+22.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No	77c	300$232 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.9	282	41.5%117 W · 165 L	-7.9wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes	21c	280.09$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.97	98	31.6%31 W · 67 L	-6.5wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-26%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x79a4…3358backed Yes	18c	277.78$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.4wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes	15c	276.73$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.67	116	44%51 W · 65 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72e2…1d2abacked Yes	19c	266.23$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes	21c	260$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.6	300	54%162 W · 138 L	+10.2wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa7f…3223backed No	77c	259.74$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.74	34	67.6%23 W · 11 L	+2.7wins	+0.08per pick	60cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes	22c	256$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.98	339	45.7%155 W · 184 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd6…686fbacked No	80c	251.25$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.25	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.1wins	+0.18per pick	65cpaid	+26.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes	8c	248.65$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.7	149	34.9%52 W · 97 L	-7.2wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes	17c	244.21$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.8	204	36.3%74 W · 130 L	-5.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-13%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x566e…1340backed No	78c	230.83$179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.85	52	50%26 W · 26 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f4e…19e9backed Yes	22c	228$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.16	34	26.5%9 W · 25 L	-2.5wins	-0.07per pick	34cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x50a2…5152backed Yes	22c	227.27$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46e7…c9e4backed Yes	22c	227.27$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	34	26.5%9 W · 25 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked No	78c	208.39$162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.57	49	38.8%19 W · 30 L	-3.7wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Yes	21c	200.02$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.47	110	56.4%62 W · 48 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Yes	22c	200$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	53	26.4%14 W · 39 L	-3.3wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No	78c	200$155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45	160	45%72 W · 88 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc598…b4acbacked Yes	22c	200$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc556…958dbacked Yes	13c	200$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x604d…4608backed Yes	22c	195.45$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	27	37%10 W · 17 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Yes	23c	192.2$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.33	95	51.6%49 W · 46 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a59…a364backed Yes	24c	175$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Yes	15c	167.28$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.93	89	46.1%41 W · 48 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Yes	25c	165.72$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.17	45	37.8%17 W · 28 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes	22c	163$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.28	447	49.4%221 W · 226 L	+13.2wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb32e…a46abacked Yes	13c	160$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.8	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	+3.7wins	+0.12per pick	35cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6068…aa5cbacked Yes	18c	141.45$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	19cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Yes	22c	138.95$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.57	373	44.5%166 W · 207 L	-15.1wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes	23c	134.5$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.94	29	24.1%7 W · 22 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked Yes	22c	127.27$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	100	51%51 W · 49 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes	16c	122.49$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.3	110	45.5%50 W · 60 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes	23c	109$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.07	151	60.9%92 W · 59 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	59cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Yes	16c	108.95$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.91	165	42.4%70 W · 95 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Yes	20c	100.27$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.07	30	56.7%17 W · 13 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed No	78c	100$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.5	214	50%107 W · 107 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf711…db0bbacked No	78c	100$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.5	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-4.1wins	-0.19per pick	48cpaid	-57.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked Yes	22c	100$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	73	35.6%26 W · 47 L	-6.2wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xacba…9256backed No	78c	100$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22	35	48.6%17 W · 18 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed No	78c	99.99$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22	77	59.7%46 W · 31 L	+5.4wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1fe4…3f12backed Yes	22c	95.45$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-1.8wins	-0.15per pick	40cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Yes	13c	87.56$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.48	85	51.8%44 W · 41 L	+4.5wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes	23c	79.45$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	42	42.9%18 W · 24 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3ec8…397bbacked Yes	14c	78$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.92	41	43.9%18 W · 23 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No	77c	77.86$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.81	258	55.4%143 W · 115 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x666f…9ddfbacked Yes	22c	76.8$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.9	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b94…315bbacked No	79c	75.95$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.95	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No	75c	69.04$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.26	1,355	50.9%690 W · 665 L	+12.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Yes	22c	68.18$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	115	40.9%47 W · 68 L	-4.8wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x857b…8eeebacked Yes	20c	58$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.6	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.16per pick	29cpaid	-76.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Yes	22c	55$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.1	86	36%31 W · 55 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes	21c	54.99$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.55	61	44.3%27 W · 34 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b1c…dc02backed Yes	21c	52$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.92	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-33.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a26…05b7backed No	78c	51$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.22	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.17per pick	58cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee75…f23abacked Yes	20c	50$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-2.0wins	-0.20per pick	30cpaid	-68.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xee9b…491abacked Yes	22c	50$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd551…ae9dbacked Yes	20c	50$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-56.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e6f…eb72backed No	79c	45.57$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.57	13	92.3%12 W · 1 L	+2.3wins	+0.17per pick	75cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x985d…e14fbacked Yes	24c	44.12$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.59	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	-2.7wins	-0.08per pick	40cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked No	78c	40$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.8	138	52.2%72 W · 66 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-01-14?this page
Will VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC St. Pauli 1910 end in a draw?No won
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-01-14?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-01-14?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event