Bundesliga · resolved market
Will VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC St. Pauli 1910 end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x688cc85a09bda25ca01d5ad61d24e4688e013a802841a48d2a9ee82bf8080e65
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,046
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,033
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,046 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 26c | 7,302$1,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.31 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 27c | 5,560$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.6 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 45c | 3,489$1,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,577.09 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Yes | 27c | 3,000$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 2,826$2,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.2 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 2,074$1,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.72 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Yes | 28c | 2,054$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.99 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 26c | 1,888$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 42c | 1,836$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.83 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked No | 74c | 1,610$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.06 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 73c | 1,500$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 73c | 1,300$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 41c | 1,262$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…8015backed Yes | 65c | 1,072$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed No | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes | 26c | 896.15$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 27cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0146…5ddebacked Yes | 26c | 799.72$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.9 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 66c | 656.12$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.87 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 26c | 631$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.06 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed No | 74c | 599.99$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed No | 73c | 599.97$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.99 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…2b01backed Yes | 45c | 575.56$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3344…9175backed Yes | 38c | 528.95$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ec…351fbacked Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 26c | 421.54$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.6 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46e7…c9e4backed Yes | 17c | 416.01$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 27c | 400$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +9.8wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xacba…9256backed Yes | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Yes | 65c | 400$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 63 | 66.7%42 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1d…820cbacked Yes | 75c | 397.62$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 76cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…4e57backed Yes | 26c | 376.92$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4597…272bbacked Yes | 26c | 369.23$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed No | 74c | 366.22$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.22 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 73c | 323.99$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.46 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Yes | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 74c | 299.99$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b97…3f54backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72e2…1d2abacked Yes | 20c | 260.68$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked No | 55c | 230.83$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.3 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 21c | 201.71$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.18 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…1340backed No | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed No | 53c | 197.8$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.21 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 34c | 192.84$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.13 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 57c | 186.95$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.56 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 26c | 151$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Yes | 27c | 150$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 59c | 135.84$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.89 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked No | 74c | 135.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.13 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 61c | 131.58$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.34 | 395 | 58.7%232 W · 163 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 61c | 128.05$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.15 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…d58bbacked Yes | 28c | 117.86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53b1…5de8backed Yes | 75c | 105.79$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a59…a364backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6e…e9e3backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed No | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf67…fc18backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 67c | 97.8$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Yes | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc48…2427backed Yes | 26c | 94.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes | 26c | 83.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…0a4abacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…c966backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce11…4a49backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…3daebacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Yes | 26c | 69.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 115 | 40.9%47 W · 68 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe4…3f12backed Yes | 26c | 69.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes | 22c | 68.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 26c | 62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd902…d076backed Yes | 26c | 57.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked No | 73c | 54.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 26c | 51.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 25c | 50.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 237 | 45.6%108 W · 129 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe0…e3e0backed No | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…8045backed Yes | 78c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb311…2b64backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d5…37e6backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x548c…763bbacked Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…b6abbacked Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 258 | 55.4%143 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed No | 45c | 44.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Yes | 27c | 44.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Yes | 27c | 42.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed No | 74c | 41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 50 | 76%38 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0879…4d2fbacked Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11fa…ebf3backed Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 74c | 39.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 73c | 37.04$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 73c | 34.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 112 | 81.3%91 W · 21 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 76cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…5cddbacked No | 75c | 32.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked Yes | 32c | 31.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC St. Pauli 1910 end in a draw?this page
- Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-01-14?No won
- Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-01-14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.