TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Spread: Wright State Raiders (-5.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Wright State Raidersof Wright State Raiders, Youngstown State Penguins
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$468,115
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$467,982

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $468,115 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Youngstown State Penguins55c417,283$228,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228,273.0135945.1%162 W · 197 L-24.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Wright State Raiders46c188,399$85,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102,503.6421754.8%119 W · 98 L+15.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Wright State Raiders45c144,413$64,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79,427.3169142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Wright State Raiders45c20,000$9,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,00090645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Wright State Raiders45c19,977$8,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,987.4613649.3%67 W · 69 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Wright State Raiders45c14,044$6,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,678.9812,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Wright State Raiders45c11,111$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,111.0513154.2%71 W · 60 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked Wright State Raiders45c10,000$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,5007353.4%39 W · 34 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed Wright State Raiders48c8,934$4,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,681.925759.6%34 W · 23 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Youngstown State Penguins55c5,000$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,75030139.2%118 W · 183 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Wright State Raiders45c4,800$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6405143.1%22 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Wright State Raiders46c4,000$1,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,16011555.7%64 W · 51 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Wright State Raiders46c3,261$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,760.8721248.1%102 W · 110 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Wright State Raiders46c3,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,62016954.4%92 W · 77 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Wright State Raiders46c3,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,62017050.6%86 W · 84 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Youngstown State Penguins52c2,798$1,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,455.2114647.9%70 W · 76 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Wright State Raiders45c2,253$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,238.724,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Wright State Raiders46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,08042246.2%195 W · 227 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Wright State Raiders46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54041752.5%219 W · 198 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Wright State Raiders46c857$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.218747.1%41 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Youngstown State Penguins51c800$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40855749.2%274 W · 283 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Wright State Raiders47c638.3$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.325556.1%143 W · 112 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Wright State Raiders46c491.87$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.6112358.5%72 W · 51 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf74a…a91cbacked Wright State Raiders47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.531353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x740b…1d47backed Wright State Raiders46c347.83$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.834045%18 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d48…48e0backed Wright State Raiders47c339.6$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.1318046.7%84 W · 96 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x664b…00b3backed Wright State Raiders47c330.89$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.4311159.5%66 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4fb0…3182backed Wright State Raiders47c319.41$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.4341354%223 W · 190 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Wright State Raiders47c319.15$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.1579448.9%388 W · 406 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75da…fc93backed Wright State Raiders47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.772259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+25.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc29d…3352backed Wright State Raiders46c193.57$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.534372.1%31 W · 12 L+6.6wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+29.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Wright State Raiders48c180.47$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.5819657.1%112 W · 84 L+14.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe00f…c254backed Wright State Raiders48c180.47$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.589056.7%51 W · 39 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x04f2…bc84backed Wright State Raiders47c175.19$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.196654.5%36 W · 30 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x187b…f545backed Wright State Raiders46c159.39$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.0710049%49 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3888…0755backed Wright State Raiders47c153.19$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.195147.1%24 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79df…277ebacked Wright State Raiders46c151.25$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.256154.1%33 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d58…8accbacked Wright State Raiders46c140$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.64353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked Wright State Raiders48c115.04$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.0418656.5%105 W · 81 L+12.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe008…8ff5backed Wright State Raiders46c110.97$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.054055%22 W · 18 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Wright State Raiders46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5417258.7%101 W · 71 L+14.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf11e…eb4fbacked Wright State Raiders46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa15…95e3backed Wright State Raiders47c96.01$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.995339.6%21 W · 32 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-24.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe7ea…066ebacked Wright State Raiders46c94$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.767957%45 W · 34 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9aea…5590backed Wright State Raiders46c93.86$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.6815844.3%70 W · 88 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Wright State Raiders47c88.07$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6818646.2%86 W · 100 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef34…86b2backed Wright State Raiders47c85.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.114047.5%19 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Wright State Raiders50c83.04$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.524,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc82…6421backed Wright State Raiders48c80$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.611147.7%53 W · 58 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc119…7d4dbacked Wright State Raiders46c76.09$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.098452.4%44 W · 40 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x181e…1dfcbacked Wright State Raiders46c73.57$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.73366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abc…935ebacked Wright State Raiders46c65.13$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.171050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65b6…2108backed Wright State Raiders47c63.83$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.835650%28 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5ea…52dbbacked Wright State Raiders47c61.53$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.613053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf861…1d14backed Wright State Raiders47c60.3$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.736755.2%37 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb2ca…0ac2backed Wright State Raiders50c56.81$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.411888.9%16 W · 2 L+6.9wins+0.38per pick50cpaid+106.1%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x08cf…f0ccbacked Wright State Raiders48c55.97$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.334360.5%26 W · 17 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Wright State Raiders49c55$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.189146.2%412 W · 479 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3ed…e29fbacked Wright State Raiders48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.083951.3%20 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Youngstown State Penguins51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.561,16255.2%641 W · 521 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Wright State Raiders48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.871,12446.4%521 W · 603 L-25.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbab6…f845backed Wright State Raiders46c47.93$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.883554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd902…d076backed Wright State Raiders46c47$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.235657.1%32 W · 24 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc27f…12a9backed Wright State Raiders46c47$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.337252.8%38 W · 34 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3d8…2a94backed Wright State Raiders47c47$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.913745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5a8…8a9dbacked Wright State Raiders46c42.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.087251.4%37 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Wright State Raiders46c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.662753%332 W · 295 L+13.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fe0…323bbacked Wright State Raiders35c38.5$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.036450%32 W · 32 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Youngstown State Penguins55c34.88$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1816755.7%93 W · 74 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2aee…51a8backed Wright State Raiders46c32.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.613554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56d2…7afcbacked Wright State Raiders47c31.09$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.482948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Wright State Raiders49c30.83$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.735,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9487…54bbbacked Wright State Raiders49c30.62$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6236248.6%176 W · 186 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc3a…e1f0backed Wright State Raiders46c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.226848.1%129 W · 139 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Wright State Raiders47c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.934952.1%182 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1aa…071abacked Wright State Raiders52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.45149%25 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865a…901bbacked Wright State Raiders48c28.75$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9512560%75 W · 50 L+12.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0bdf…7f09backed Wright State Raiders48c24.79$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9911858.5%69 W · 49 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdca6…9a97backed Wright State Raiders45c24.4$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.423663.9%23 W · 13 L+5.6wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+33.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2816…6ad7backed Wright State Raiders47c22.31$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.839257.6%53 W · 39 L+8.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x666f…9ddfbacked Wright State Raiders47c22.22$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.782040%8 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8fbb…a77bbacked Wright State Raiders48c21.73$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.35356.6%30 W · 23 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x47ba…a503backed Wright State Raiders47c21.28$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2811841.5%49 W · 69 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.