Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Men's: Arthur Fery vs Flavio Cobolli
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1f805adf33749779778c60e5263e6232f7c408594daf9a63d0a59fb76a9fb38
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Feryof Fery, Cobolli
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $175,570
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $181,362
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $175,570 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Fery | 36c | 20,524$7,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,100.13 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x779a…ca34backed Fery | 36c | 19,829$7,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,659.3 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Cobolli | 64c | 14,115$9,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,057.89 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe8…3549backed Fery | 35c | 10,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,499.96 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Fery | 62c | 8,969$5,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,374.24 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Cobolli | 26c | 7,707$2,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,035.86 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Cobolli | 42c | 7,706$3,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,204.21 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Cobolli | 65c | 6,276$4,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,079.4 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Cobolli | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,150 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b7…bfe9backed Cobolli | 71c | 3,265$2,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,315.62 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Fery | 35c | 3,210$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,101.06 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Fery | 32c | 3,001$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040.7 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Fery | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3905…82fcbacked Cobolli | 68c | 2,941$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked Cobolli | 69c | 2,903$2,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002.67 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Fery | 30c | 2,884$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,019.92 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Cobolli | 64c | 2,789$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,785.08 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…bc98backed Cobolli | 48c | 2,601$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.38 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Cobolli | 65c | 2,588$1,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,672.2 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Cobolli | 63c | 2,333$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff36…e757backed Fery | 48c | 2,333$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.15 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Cobolli | 43c | 2,080$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.32 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4064…5f1ebacked Cobolli | 55c | 2,078$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.53 | 280 | 39.3%110 W · 170 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1909…a2c9backed Cobolli | 70c | 1,977$1,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Cobolli | 66c | 1,800$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.32 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Fery | 39c | 1,712$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.29 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Fery | 30c | 1,458$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.66 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a5…398fbacked Cobolli | 71c | 1,271$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.28 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef42…5d27backed Cobolli | 58c | 1,158$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd320…097ebacked Cobolli | 50c | 1,099$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.56 | 88 | 25%22 W · 66 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cobolli | 65c | 1,014$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.68 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed Fery | 45c | 999.99$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 375 | 40.8%153 W · 222 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…e2c1backed Cobolli | 47c | 990.98$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.44 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3b…be48backed Fery | 29c | 965.2$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.09 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Fery | 29c | 952.57$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.85 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…585abacked Cobolli | 65c | 941.4$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…0ec8backed Fery | 50c | 937.97$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.99 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc3…c0eabacked Cobolli | 67c | 895.92$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.27 | 133 | 63.9%85 W · 48 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cobolli | 23c | 798.1$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.07 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Cobolli | 56c | 780.3$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.69 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde69…e82ebacked Cobolli | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Fery | 63c | 749.55$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.61 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Cobolli | 65c | 723.08$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Cobolli | 68c | 700.24$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.16 | 287 | 26.8%77 W · 210 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Cobolli | 66c | 700$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Cobolli | 50c | 674.25$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.94 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Cobolli | 21c | 648.03$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.96 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x064a…9c2fbacked Cobolli | 68c | 622.19$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.75 | 76 | 64.5%49 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Cobolli | 65c | 615.38$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Fery | 28c | 571.76$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.32 | 190 | 23.2%44 W · 146 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d8…1496backed Cobolli | 7c | 571.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Fery | 36c | 540$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.8 | 430 | 42.8%184 W · 246 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Cobolli | 63c | 507.94$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ed…09dabacked Cobolli | 66c | 500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Fery | 59c | 499.99$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.18 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab5c…3fbdbacked Cobolli | 45c | 497$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.65 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Cobolli | 66c | 476.17$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.26 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88d5…4af2backed Cobolli | 68c | 467.22$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.71 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Fery | 28c | 446$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.12 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Cobolli | 47c | 439.57$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.53 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca39…4ed7backed Cobolli | 70c | 427.11$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Cobolli | 68c | 365.5$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 142 | 59.2%84 W · 58 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb8…5466backed Fery | 55c | 345.46$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.46 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Cobolli | 61c | 336.85$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.05 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked Cobolli | 13c | 336.07$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.11 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3a…df40backed Fery | 44c | 333.98$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.08 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Fery | 57c | 333.28$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.49 | 222 | 36.9%82 W · 140 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…4c60backed Cobolli | 70c | 329.28$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Fery | 47c | 319.77$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.78 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e64…7308backed Cobolli | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Fery | 30c | 312.33$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.63 | 301 | 31.9%96 W · 205 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Cobolli | 64c | 300$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -5.2wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7802…d5b4backed Cobolli | 68c | 300$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Fery | 43c | 299$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.35 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -8.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf5fe…e23dbacked Fery | 31c | 296.68$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.71 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf463…8e9dbacked Cobolli | 67c | 295$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.65 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…2ec1backed Cobolli | 69c | 289.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0283…e7d3backed Cobolli | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 202 | 57.4%116 W · 86 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…86bebacked Cobolli | 44c | 282.7$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.48 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Fery | 61c | 275.78$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.91 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Fery | 31c | 258$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.2 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Fery | 57c | 251.61$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.66 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Cobolli | 78c | 249.99$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.99 | 591 | 65.3%386 W · 205 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…fd02backed Cobolli | 64c | 233.36$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 389 | 51.9%202 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65d2…8320backed Cobolli | 70c | 221.04$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.73 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…ba33backed Fery | 50c | 210.96$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.48 | 106 | 40.6%43 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cobolli | 41c | 209$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.54 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Cobolli | 43c | 207.42$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.19 | 223 | 44.8%100 W · 123 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5593…a484backed Cobolli | 67c | 203.49$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Cobolli | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Cobolli | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca8…db1fbacked Fery | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2e…b2e7backed Cobolli | 52c | 199.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…63fcbacked Cobolli | 65c | 198.08$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.75 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Cobolli | 64c | 191.92$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.83 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Cobolli | 51c | 186.31$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 128 | 46.9%60 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ad…6b4cbacked Cobolli | 65c | 184.62$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…67f5backed Cobolli | 60c | 180.83$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.38 | 182 | 47.3%86 W · 96 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb75d…9d01backed Cobolli | 71c | 177.92$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.32 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7d…dacabacked Cobolli | 72c | 175$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Men's: Arthur Fery vs Flavio Cobollithis page
- Fery vs. Cobolli: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Fery vs. Cobolli: Total Sets O/U 3.5Under 3.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Fery vs CobolliFery won
- Set Handicap: Cobolli (-2.5) vs Fery (+2.5)Fery won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.