TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Canucks vs. Blue Jackets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Blue Jacketsof Canucks, Blue Jackets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$487,869
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$495,096

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $487,869 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 493 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1222…2aa7backed Blue Jackets60c200,044$119,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80,048.474654.3%25 W · 21 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Canucks40c177,685$70,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70,821.251,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Canucks40c25,182$10,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,069.061,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Blue Jackets59c23,815$14,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,763.958952.8%47 W · 42 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4e6…4a4dbacked Blue Jackets60c10,467$6,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,186.673050%15 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x77bb…d479backed Canucks41c10,100$4,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,140.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Canucks41c9,772$3,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,995.7914753.7%79 W · 68 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Blue Jackets59c8,976$5,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,640.3261748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed Canucks41c8,446$3,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,463.316157.4%35 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Canucks40c7,501$3,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,025.4933243.7%145 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Canucks40c7,500$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00056649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccdb…ffa9backed Canucks41c7,317$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0002846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Canucks41c7,100$2,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,890.9915749.7%78 W · 79 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Canucks40c6,500$2,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,625.251,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb6a…f116backed Canucks41c6,296$2,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6121330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.21per pick52cpaid-42.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Blue Jackets60c6,154$3,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,450.681,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe931…0acabacked Blue Jackets60c6,078$3,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,438.84742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Blue Jackets58c6,000$3,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,519.861,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dfd…0b38backed Blue Jackets59c5,420$3,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,222.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8319…8083backed Blue Jackets59c4,694$2,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,924.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Blue Jackets59c4,616$2,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,892.631,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Blue Jackets59c4,392$2,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,800.648348.2%40 W · 43 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Blue Jackets59c4,000$2,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,64033345.6%152 W · 181 L+0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Canucks40c4,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.9929651.7%153 W · 143 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Canucks40c3,668$1,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,467.226058.8%153 W · 107 L+17.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Canucks41c3,659$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50031550.8%160 W · 155 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Canucks40c3,500$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40027048.1%130 W · 140 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Canucks39c3,481$1,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,357.491,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Canucks1c3,480$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.52504.8%12 W · 238 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick2cpaid+159.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Blue Jackets61c3,112$1,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,218.551,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Blue Jackets60c3,082$1,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,243.191,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Blue Jackets59c3,064$1,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,256.1926955.8%150 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Canucks40c3,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20066951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Canucks40c3,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20048549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Canucks40c3,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.998845.5%40 W · 48 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Canucks14c2,972$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.872,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Blue Jackets59c2,768$1,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,141.672,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Blue Jackets59c2,573$1,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,053.2618345.9%84 W · 99 L-10.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x14f3…0c3dbacked Blue Jackets59c2,520$1,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,033.214848%71 W · 77 L-0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Blue Jackets60c2,500$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00023047.4%109 W · 121 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb973…ff16backed Blue Jackets60c2,500$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00010746.7%50 W · 57 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Blue Jackets59c2,500$1,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.9430447.4%144 W · 160 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1461…30a1backed Canucks41c2,453$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.196139.3%24 W · 37 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-26.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Blue Jackets59c2,334$1,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$956.7422150.2%111 W · 110 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3e3…32c3backed Blue Jackets59c2,300$1,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942.981668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+22.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Canucks1c2,100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Canucks6c2,083$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.9829412.9%38 W · 256 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+45.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Blue Jackets59c2,016$1,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826.561,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17e5…f205backed Canucks1c2,000$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112420.8%2 W · 240 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe008…8ff5backed Canucks41c1,986$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814.084557.8%26 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Blue Jackets59c1,984$1,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.4410158.4%59 W · 42 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Blue Jackets60c1,983$1,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.3311953.8%64 W · 55 L-0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Blue Jackets59c1,928$1,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.0693953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x019e…af1dbacked Blue Jackets60c1,888$1,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.25154.9%28 W · 23 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Blue Jackets60c1,884$1,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.9389249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Canucks41c1,776$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.1517057.1%97 W · 73 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Blue Jackets59c1,754$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.245855.2%32 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Blue Jackets60c1,667$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.6775251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f6d…4ad5backed Blue Jackets60c1,667$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.672147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Canucks1c1,666$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.677450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Canucks9c1,573$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.299638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Blue Jackets58c1,500$877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.491,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Canucks21c1,493$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.3495049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed Canucks41c1,466$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.978347%39 W · 44 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d31…0a23backed Canucks41c1,400$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5741861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Canucks40c1,400$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.591,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90bd…ba9cbacked Blue Jackets59c1,400$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.991553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Blue Jackets60c1,375$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.3963249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Canucks4c1,360$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.397230.6%22 W · 50 L+14.5wins+0.20per pick10cpaid+218.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Blue Jackets59c1,322$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.554047.6%257 W · 283 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf74a…a91cbacked Canucks41c1,300$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53310251%52 W · 50 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Blue Jackets60c1,289$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.461,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Blue Jackets59c1,272$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.5624654.5%134 W · 112 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x71a5…c3eabacked Canucks41c1,220$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001520%3 W · 12 L-4.3wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-64.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed Canucks41c1,220$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014940.9%61 W · 88 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x86bf…6c83backed Canucks41c1,200$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4921030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-46.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b6a…86bbbacked Canucks18c1,190$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.621729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-46.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Canucks17c1,159$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.4238738%147 W · 240 L-13.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6385…e191backed Canucks41c1,103$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.461442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-30.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Blue Jackets59c1,084$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.475155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a4c…e4e9backed Canucks41c1,076$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.24425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-56.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2f2…d9a0backed Canucks41c1,034$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+43.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e09…beafbacked Canucks41c1,026$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.5540%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Canucks40c1,018$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.284953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Canucks41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41042847.2%202 W · 226 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Canucks41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41012947.3%61 W · 68 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Canucks41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41031848.1%153 W · 165 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba9c…d2c1backed Blue Jackets58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4209853.1%52 W · 46 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Canucks41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41012838.3%49 W · 79 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a89…2f26backed Blue Jackets59c999.93$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.9770547.7%336 W · 369 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Blue Jackets59c999.87$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.9597651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcd7…029abacked Canucks41c965.85$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3962055%11 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeea6…135fbacked Canucks23c935.98$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.2120150.2%101 W · 100 L+9.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Blue Jackets59c900$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36931851.9%165 W · 153 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9978…e753backed Canucks41c900$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick46cpaid-57.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Canucks7c866.18$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.0289636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Blue Jackets60c853.33$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.3328152%146 W · 135 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x765c…0779backed Canucks41c832.38$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.1140049.3%197 W · 203 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07bc…393abacked Canucks40c828.41$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.363043.3%13 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2538…b975backed Canucks41c782.2$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.931020%2 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-61.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.