TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Canucks vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$139,662
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$139,848

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,662 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x03e8…1697backed Over52c66,764$34,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,404.8767051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Under47c34,926$16,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,459.821,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf90e…0b56backed Under49c21,961$10,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,200.3613449.3%66 W · 68 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over54c13,050$7,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,0471,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Under47c8,000$3,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,24021036.2%76 W · 134 L-14.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Over52c6,401$3,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,328.5528251.8%146 W · 136 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Under49c5,789$2,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,952.3933243.7%145 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Over50c4,000$2,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,003.0422546.2%104 W · 121 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49d1…2a44backed Under48c4,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0805152.9%27 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Under49c3,797$1,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,936.2217057.6%98 W · 72 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+25.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under50c3,623$1,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,811.562951.2%322 W · 307 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Under49c3,061$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,561.221,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4466…9ad1backed Under51c2,050$1,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0051100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under47c2,001$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.5361953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14f3…0c3dbacked Under49c1,854$908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$945.5414848%71 W · 77 L-0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3ad…45f9backed Over54c1,556$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8403735.1%13 W · 24 L-5.8wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-30%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under46c1,522$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.382,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3725…4516backed Under51c1,440$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc941…557fbacked Under51c1,440$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb2c…ef1ebacked Over49c1,440$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81dc…48d0backed Under51c1,440$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e4f…f2b0backed Under51c1,440$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47fd…0b2fbacked Over49c1,440$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f75…9724backed Under51c1,440$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a5b…f06cbacked Under51c1,440$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x159a…9c6ebacked Under51c1,440$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf9e…4920backed Over49c1,440$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc350…92c9backed Under51c1,440$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0beb…b61fbacked Under51c1,440$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb24…61e1backed Under51c1,440$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b0a…8fecbacked Over49c1,440$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88b9…6c22backed Under51c1,440$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x318c…1f77backed Under51c1,440$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e32…5902backed Under51c1,440$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d68…b92fbacked Over49c1,440$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4a3…2ba5backed Over49c1,440$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x833d…a864backed Over49c1,440$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a8c…75e9backed Over49c1,440$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8596…f0f4backed Over49c1,440$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a6b…82e8backed Under51c1,440$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2f6…3b5ebacked Over49c1,440$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9407…589bbacked Over49c1,440$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68d7…21c8backed Under51c1,440$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf01…0652backed Over49c1,440$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13a6…1894backed Over49c1,440$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4990…6c95backed Under51c1,440$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60e4…8420backed Under51c1,440$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1445…952ebacked Over49c1,440$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe9f…2034backed Over49c1,440$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf21…a6a9backed Under51c1,440$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ed8…4e27backed Over49c1,440$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bd6…a11cbacked Under51c1,440$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d77…412ebacked Under51c1,440$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb61…6ddabacked Under51c1,440$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61c0…54c4backed Over49c1,440$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf278…cc56backed Under51c1,440$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b56…9fa6backed Over49c1,440$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc978…50d4backed Under51c1,440$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7d7…f63dbacked Over49c1,440$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa239…17c1backed Under51c1,440$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38b1…521ebacked Over49c1,440$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7270…1d4fbacked Over49c1,440$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48d0…5883backed Under51c1,440$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc500…bd81backed Over49c1,440$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04b2…3f9abacked Over49c1,440$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0b3…c8d4backed Over49c1,440$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c77…c417backed Over49c1,440$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Under49c1,176$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.5121549.3%106 W · 109 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over54c1,087$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.9886852.4%455 W · 413 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa70b…7a8abacked Over54c870.37$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4708046.3%37 W · 43 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under49c796.51$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.193953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Under47c700$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37131848.1%153 W · 165 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over55c500.6$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.3330855.5%171 W · 137 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf629…bda0backed Over52c480$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.62839.3%11 W · 17 L-4.1wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-24.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Over49c475.88$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.188837.5%33 W · 55 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Over51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20048552.2%253 W · 232 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Under49c316$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.1612548.8%61 W · 64 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under47c300.02$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.011,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Under46c300$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16220444.6%91 W · 113 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa558…1b44backed Under67c295$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.354240.5%17 W · 25 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4842…b2f4backed Over40c244.98$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.691844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Under50c225$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.542847.2%202 W · 226 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Under47c223.4$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.419353.9%104 W · 89 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Over54c222.22$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1209654.2%52 W · 44 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under49c213.85$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.231,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49ff…b00abacked Under56c209.89$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.352466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+18.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x38dd…c20abacked Under46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10830952.4%162 W · 147 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861668.8%11 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick70cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over54c190$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.662447.3%295 W · 329 L+0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf133…928dbacked Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10070%0 W · 7 L-3.9wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x877a…7de2backed Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004953.1%26 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over60c172.55$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.952,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8ca…cccbbacked Over43c169$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.674560%27 W · 18 L+6.1wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+35%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under48c165.21$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.742,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Under47c160.69$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.6915257.2%87 W · 65 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under48c150$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.063148.4%15 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Under47c150$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.548046.9%225 W · 255 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6460…84efbacked Over49c130.16$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.363132.3%10 W · 21 L-5.3wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-25.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Under47c113$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.8910858.3%63 W · 45 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.