Movies · resolved market

Will F1 be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72a21be2f581699c5f495286eeabd7863b488d40975bc05533ee647f9f5cdd33

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 22, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $73,401
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $71,181

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,401 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Movies
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7a61…af24backed No	1c	10,000$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	+5.1wins	+0.20per pick	23cpaid	+335.6%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9648…6825backed Yes	26c	4,534$1,199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,335.05	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	14cpaid	-68.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69e7…d3b0backed No	73c	4,245$3,116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,115.52	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94d9…870ebacked Yes	7c	1,988$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,856.08	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	+50%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Yes	26c	1,249$328 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$921.37	71	25.4%18 W · 53 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-50.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4041…6f52backed Yes	13c	1,190$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,036.51	170	17.1%29 W · 141 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77aa…5e60backed Yes	20c	1,046$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$836.34	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.34per pick	16cpaid	+149.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x270e…2930backed Yes	25c	1,001$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$750.53	48	29.2%14 W · 34 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	24cpaid	-13%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6335…ca2bbacked No	75c	997.46$743 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$743.45	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-2.7wins	-0.12per pick	49cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x252b…b46cbacked Yes	13c	961$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$836.12	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	+3.6wins	+0.12per pick	30cpaid	+77.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb86e…8cfdbacked No	77c	871.19$668 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$667.55	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-14%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4aae…d563backed No	75c	832.7$625 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$624.81	42	50%21 W · 21 L	-3.2wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f3d…9ef2backed Yes	16c	790$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$665.97	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+1.2wins	+0.11per pick	44cpaid	+62.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6cb…bbf0backed No	69c	746.97$518 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$517.82	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x177a…aa8ebacked Yes	16c	718$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$605.27	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-2.5wins	-0.16per pick	41cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes	31c	700$216 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$483.7	28	57.1%16 W · 12 L	+2.2wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd347…5205backed Yes	10c	656$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$590.4	45	40%18 W · 27 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa749…6a65backed Yes	13c	633.45$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$548.57	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+2.4wins	+0.15per pick	35cpaid	+23.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaef9…0acbbacked Yes	16c	622$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$524.35	18	66.7%12 W · 6 L	+4.7wins	+0.26per pick	41cpaid	+123%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes	20c	602.4$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$482.58	506	33.4%169 W · 337 L	-30.0wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x73df…ba67backed Yes	16c	568$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$478.82	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.09per pick	36cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5529…e5b9backed Yes	8c	548.25$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$507.09	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+2.2wins	+0.73per pick	27cpaid	+523.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8151…3421backed Yes	16c	548$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$461.96	30	63.3%19 W · 11 L	+4.8wins	+0.16per pick	47cpaid	+33.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb7d4…5735backed Yes	16c	545$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$459.44	32	53.1%17 W · 15 L	+3.6wins	+0.11per pick	42cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes	13c	518.94$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$451.82	482	36.3%175 W · 307 L	+8.4wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28c8…a94dbacked Yes	16c	512$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$431.1	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+52%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04d7…b035backed No	69c	507.27$351 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350.52	178	21.3%38 W · 140 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes	23c	501.62$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$387.57	55	5.5%3 W · 52 L	-3.4wins	-0.06per pick	12cpaid	-86.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	19c	500.78$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$406.2	1,393	8%111 W · 1,282 L	-47.9wins	-0.03per pick	11cpaid	-50%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4489…2452backed No	76c	500$379 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$379	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1617…ec98backed Yes	16c	475$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400.43	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	-1.9wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4028…7de4backed Yes	11c	426.68$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$381.68	21	14.3%3 W · 18 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	11cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd40d…b2fabacked Yes	16c	421$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$354.06	39	46.2%18 W · 21 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4e2…4c8bbacked Yes	12c	393$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$345.45	25	44%11 W · 14 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed No	76c	381.25$289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288.78	130	40%52 W · 78 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x4d17…1e5ebacked Yes	16c	368$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$309.86	32	56.3%18 W · 14 L	+3.7wins	+0.12per pick	45cpaid	+29.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x10d8…9f12backed Yes	11c	366.58$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$325.16	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6181…ad60backed Yes	25c	341.1$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$255.16	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes	8c	337$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$310.04	71	36.6%26 W · 45 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23e9…109fbacked Yes	6c	333.33$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$313.33	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+31.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72dd…8be4backed Yes	16c	266.08$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$224.04	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ea0…c785backed No	76c	263.89$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.8wins	-0.76per pick	76cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed No	65c	258.85$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.69	208	41.8%87 W · 121 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ae0…4590backed Yes	18c	255$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210.38	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ea1…6487backed Yes	16c	250$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210.75	40	25%10 W · 30 L	-6.1wins	-0.15per pick	40cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfd45…c05ebacked Yes	10c	248.38$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$224.67	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	+2.3wins	+0.14per pick	16cpaid	+28.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4346…2241backed Yes	16c	243$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$204.36	32	50%16 W · 16 L	+2.3wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f52…a35abacked Yes	16c	236$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$198.95	21	71.4%15 W · 6 L	+5.7wins	+0.27per pick	44cpaid	+90.5%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0x5b86…17e0backed No	74c	225.26$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.69	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.74per pick	74cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef49…932fbacked Yes	23c	217.83$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$167.83	25	36%9 W · 16 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	31cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed Yes	18c	209.15$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$171.02	1,218	17.8%217 W · 1,001 L	-124.0wins	-0.10per pick	28cpaid	-50.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed No	77c	200$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.9	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-54.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c7d…d6ebbacked Yes	33c	200$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135	329	24%79 W · 250 L	+12.0wins	+0.04per pick	20cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc802…3570backed Yes	27c	188.08$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.08	21	9.5%2 W · 19 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	15cpaid	-71.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8717…f8a1backed Yes	7c	176$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.68	25	40%10 W · 15 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	+37.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes	17c	159.5$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.26	299	26.4%79 W · 220 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x39dd…1bb5backed Yes	16c	159$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.04	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-1.6wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9551…8c45backed No	59c	158.44$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.89	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-3.3wins	-0.24per pick	67cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2280…4ef5backed Yes	13c	153.85$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.85	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43a9…faebbacked No	79c	151.76$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.62	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	72cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes	10c	150.34$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.04	154	9.7%15 W · 139 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-30%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28ca…5d19backed No	77c	150$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.13	194	40.2%78 W · 116 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6291…cc47backed No	67c	149.75$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.29	285	28.8%82 W · 203 L	-8.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc440…e267backed Yes	30c	145.26$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.26	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.33per pick	17cpaid	+68.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No	72c	145$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.05	83	45.8%38 W · 45 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cc6…241dbacked Yes	31c	145$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.76	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.69per pick	31cpaid	+220.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x997c…7c81backed No	69c	145$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.76	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.69per pick	69cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8143…9698backed Yes	31c	145$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.9	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.20per pick	30cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29ad…29b8backed No	69c	145$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.91	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a6e…88adbacked Yes	16c	140$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.74	22	68.2%15 W · 7 L	+3.7wins	+0.17per pick	51cpaid	+46.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaf19…15bfbacked Yes	22c	133$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.14	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.78per pick	22cpaid	+360.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7df6…ac3bbacked No	73c	132.27$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.3	45	44.4%20 W · 25 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c1e…bfe7backed Yes	10c	125$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.5	41	12.2%5 W · 36 L	-2.4wins	-0.06per pick	18cpaid	-43.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0587…1e5bbacked Yes	21c	122$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.01	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.79per pick	21cpaid	+369.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4ae…93ecbacked Yes	20c	116.35$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.6	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.10per pick	23cpaid	+63.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x959f…6137backed Yes	23c	114$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.55	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.77per pick	23cpaid	+331%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x966a…6d73backed Yes	67c	113.65$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.66	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.6wins	+0.20per pick	43cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d97…7d3bbacked Yes	18c	111.11$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.11	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+72.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d24…a2e9backed Yes	16c	108$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.04	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe531…7674backed Yes	21c	103$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.06	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.79per pick	21cpaid	+369.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Yes	38c	102.41$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.13	183	44.3%81 W · 102 L	+7.5wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	0%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5b4…1e3ebacked Yes	28c	100$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.1	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4e1…d80bbacked No	74c	100$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.7	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b71…f1d9backed Yes	12c	96$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.29	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+2.2wins	+0.13per pick	46cpaid	+60.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xffa9…90e5backed No	78c	94$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.6	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.8wins	-0.78per pick	78cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	16c	90.92$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.46	484	14%68 W · 416 L	-39.3wins	-0.08per pick	22cpaid	-43.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6d17…0e2bbacked Yes	12c	88$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.35	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+2.5wins	+0.16per pick	41cpaid	+58.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes	22c	86.16$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.31	170	10%17 W · 153 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a28…00ddbacked Yes	24c	83.33$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.33	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.1wins	+0.53per pick	47cpaid	+179.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x895d…3778backed Yes	32c	82$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.88	55	23.6%13 W · 42 L	+5.8wins	+0.11per pick	13cpaid	+138.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd4fb…3e92backed Yes	31c	79.27$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.97	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8975…ffe6backed No	70c	78.68$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.29	206	68.9%142 W · 64 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	70cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…d95cbacked Yes	17c	78$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.74	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38d4…59d6backed No	65c	76.84$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.65per pick	65cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	18c	70.91$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.19	672	32%215 W · 457 L	+14.4wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-30%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8fb…3fadbacked Yes	22c	70$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.88	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdef9…7d89backed No	76c	65.96$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.13per pick	46cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x15e5…9749backed Yes	32c	63.16$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.16	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.21per pick	29cpaid	+44.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a9a…fdffbacked Yes	24c	61.73$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.73	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.31per pick	19cpaid	+105.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb676…4675backed Yes	21c	54$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.5	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.79per pick	21cpaid	+369.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will F1 be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event