Movies · resolved market

Will The Testament of Ann Lee be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8c522fbbec7e7a01d40bb179ac3401170dec03aafb466e979711c8888fb7973

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 22, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $40,745
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $33,917

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,745 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Movies
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes	0c	3,153$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.82	111	4.5%5 W · 106 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x188a…de60backed Yes	4c	2,271$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.67	34	11.8%4 W · 30 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes	7c	984$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.57	71	36.6%26 W · 45 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes	9c	832.81$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.18	130	40%52 W · 78 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x7fae…6853backed No	75c	706$529 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$176.84	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes	13c	699.24$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.93	55	5.5%3 W · 52 L	-3.4wins	-0.06per pick	12cpaid	-86.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x28ca…5d19backed Yes	2c	662$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.49	194	40.2%78 W · 116 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed No	75c	513.18$384 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.95	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-1.5wins	-0.15per pick	35cpaid	-73.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes	25c	465$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.7	237	51.9%123 W · 114 L	+16.9wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	10c	462.33$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.58	1,394	8%111 W · 1,283 L	-47.9wins	-0.03per pick	11cpaid	-50%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe367…47d4backed Yes	22c	445.7$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd45…c05ebacked Yes	6c	442.34$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.55	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	+2.3wins	+0.14per pick	16cpaid	+28.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2375…691fbacked Yes	4c	435$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.6	246	34.6%85 W · 161 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7233…f0eabacked No	76c	374$284 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.66	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x04dc…2387backed Yes	7c	363.42$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.63	125	39.2%49 W · 76 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7534…d51bbacked Yes	25c	358$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.5	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-1.7wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd347…5205backed No	77c	341.73$263 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.86	45	40%18 W · 27 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x159f…333fbacked No	75c	330$247 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.67	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+1.8wins	+0.14per pick	40cpaid	+65.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf416…6ec9backed Yes	13c	312.92$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.35	137	40.1%55 W · 82 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x04da…dc10backed No	74c	312$230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.12	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-2.9wins	-0.17per pick	40cpaid	-63.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7feb…6bc2backed No	75c	289$217 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.25	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d17…1e5ebacked Yes	13c	268$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.84	32	56.3%18 W · 14 L	+3.7wins	+0.12per pick	45cpaid	+29.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf51b…bf74backed Yes	25c	261$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.54	27	25.9%7 W · 20 L	-3.3wins	-0.12per pick	38cpaid	-38%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfc1…5fa3backed Yes	6c	259$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.87	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdfec…09a7backed Yes	24c	252$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.48	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f33…81f6backed No	73c	245$178 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.15	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fc7…1a35backed No	79c	244$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.44	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c0…c4c9backed Yes	25c	228$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	+1.7wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x848d…76c1backed Yes	28c	227$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.56	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	+2.0wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x22ea…8422backed Yes	7c	215.95$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.85	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84d6…bca9backed No	76c	209$159 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.16	28	57.1%16 W · 12 L	+2.7wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec92…1214backed Yes	25c	201$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.25	46	45.7%21 W · 25 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes	22c	200$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	64	34.4%22 W · 42 L	+3.1wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x245c…2486backed Yes	22c	199.48$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.61	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-1.8wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x26ad…990ebacked No	76c	193$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.55	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06cd…e124backed Yes	20c	192$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.68	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-2.6wins	-0.18per pick	40cpaid	-64.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5518…1211backed Yes	23c	190$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.85	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x667f…8c3ebacked No	75c	174$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.5	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb5f…f3dcbacked Yes	30c	170$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	37	27%10 W · 27 L	-5.2wins	-0.14per pick	41cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5884…3191backed Yes	24c	161$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.64	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	-2.6wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb85b…77dbbacked No	70c	160$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4346…2241backed Yes	24c	153$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.72	32	50%16 W · 16 L	+2.3wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6587…4f63backed No	72c	149$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.72	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	+2.5wins	+0.11per pick	48cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes	19c	146.2$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.48	198	36.4%72 W · 126 L	-11.1wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc5cf…90e6backed No	72c	144$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.32	37	40.5%15 W · 22 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae18…1132backed Yes	25c	143$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.75	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x293b…09a9backed No	76c	142$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.44	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+1.8wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes	19c	140$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.6	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	+1.4wins	+0.08per pick	15cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ff7…a220backed Yes	16c	133$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.28	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-1.4wins	-0.08per pick	40cpaid	-42.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x54af…415ebacked Yes	25c	132$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed Yes	31c	130$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.11	1,218	17.8%217 W · 1,001 L	-124.0wins	-0.10per pick	28cpaid	-50.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x33dc…a539backed No	76c	125$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	16	75%12 W · 4 L	+3.1wins	+0.19per pick	56cpaid	+22.5%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xfa71…9767backed Yes	26c	123$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.98	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7170…ed44backed Yes	25c	122$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.5	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+2.1wins	+0.10per pick	42cpaid	+13%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6558…e485backed No	75c	122$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.5	34	32.4%11 W · 23 L	-3.2wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf6c7…f199backed Yes	25c	121$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.25	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d82…3d02backed No	75c	120$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa990…84bebacked No	80c	119$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.8	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes	18c	117.67$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.69	140	15%21 W · 119 L	-6.2wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6149…8a58backed No	74c	110$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.6	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+35.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c6e…ccc7backed Yes	26c	110$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.6	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.18per pick	30cpaid	-79.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x10d8…9f12backed No	73c	106$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.62	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc80…7bd2backed Yes	25c	102$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.5	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1c1e…bfe7backed Yes	23c	100$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	41	12.2%5 W · 36 L	-2.4wins	-0.06per pick	18cpaid	-43.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa7ee…421bbacked No	78c	100$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	64cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x520d…babebacked No	80c	100$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	113	52.2%59 W · 54 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf25d…8b1ebacked Yes	26c	99$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.74	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64c9…6bdebacked Yes	25c	97$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.25	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	-3.8wins	-0.14per pick	44cpaid	-50.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d2b…fd2cbacked No	74c	95$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.03	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	+2.5wins	+0.12per pick	50cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e46…e68dbacked Yes	26c	93$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.18	25	44%11 W · 14 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd5a7…4d86backed Yes	25c	93$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.25	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	+3.1wins	+0.14per pick	41cpaid	+48.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6317…e864backed Yes	18c	92$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.56	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ae9…2923backed Yes	25c	92$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes	20c	90$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	162	37.7%61 W · 101 L	+6.5wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x54d5…b5cebacked No	76c	90$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.6	24	50%12 W · 12 L	+1.7wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+26.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca67…2648backed No	75c	86$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.5	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c57…c2e0backed Yes	25c	84.66$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.17	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe747…bcacbacked Yes	22c	82.57$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.86	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.08per pick	12cpaid	+35.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb25c…6d89backed Yes	26c	82$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.32	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	49c	82$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.18	870	33.3%290 W · 580 L	-77.0wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x88c4…758bbacked Yes	27c	81$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.87	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1018…7264backed Yes	20c	80$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	41	36.6%15 W · 26 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4916…f56fbacked Yes	22c	80$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.74	92	44.6%41 W · 51 L	-3.6wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x210c…2edabacked Yes	23c	78$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.2	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-1.8wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c55…8adebacked Yes	24c	75$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27f4…0430backed No	74c	73$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.98	24	50%12 W · 12 L	+1.7wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+24.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9ab…d0a0backed No	76c	72$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.28	25	40%10 W · 15 L	-2.1wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-42.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f0…669dbacked Yes	24c	71$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.04	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	17c	70$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.9	672	32%215 W · 457 L	+14.4wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-30%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac4…53c9backed Yes	22c	70$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.11	20	10%2 W · 18 L	-2.8wins	-0.14per pick	24cpaid	-64.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3c4c…be9fbacked Yes	27c	69$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.63	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-3.3wins	-0.19per pick	37cpaid	-65.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa232…175fbacked No	76c	69$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.56	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-2.1wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-42%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e55…59d2backed Yes	25c	67$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.75	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa18…7693backed Yes	26c	66$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.16	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+24.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb338…1ff0backed No	74c	61$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.86	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xed45…929dbacked Yes	25c	53$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.25	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes	20c	50$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	80	30%24 W · 56 L	-9.2wins	-0.12per pick	42cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5927…672bbacked Yes	22c	46$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.03	33	66.7%22 W · 11 L	+3.1wins	+0.09per pick	57cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f8d…8ad4backed Yes	25c	45$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.25	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5056…f991backed Yes	25c	40$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will The Testament of Ann Lee be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event