Movies · resolved market

Will Wicked: For Good be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbecc06b429097dda67002c05b36f84b6767d9ec7fd437668d7b4ce190aac780c

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 22, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $99,260
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $103,423

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,260 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Movies
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9648…6825backed Yes	9c	4,868$419 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$418.65	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	14cpaid	-68.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No	80c	4,628$3,685 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$942.44	482	36.3%175 W · 307 L	+8.4wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Yes	10c	3,044$317 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$317.36	71	25.4%18 W · 53 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-50.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x68c2…1711backed Yes	14c	2,555$358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$357.7	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d84…1344backed No	61c	2,070$1,264 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$805.95	129	23.3%30 W · 99 L	-7.3wins	-0.06per pick	29cpaid	-57.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x04d7…b035backed Yes	54c	1,966$1,064 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,064.29	178	21.3%38 W · 140 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd347…5205backed Yes	69c	1,568$1,074 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,074.1	45	40%18 W · 27 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0495…c68fbacked Yes	24c	1,555$373 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$373.2	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.8wins	+0.11per pick	27cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca36…bb1dbacked Yes	36c	1,448$521 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$521.28	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc981…a75dbacked Yes	34c	1,387$478 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$477.69	57	26.3%15 W · 42 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes	35c	1,250$436 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$436.46	130	40%52 W · 78 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes	8c	1,133$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.34	89	4.5%4 W · 85 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a79…1ccbbacked Yes	37c	1,120$410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$410.1	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.14per pick	47cpaid	-50.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe87e…4f70backed Yes	35c	1,061$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370.47	36	52.8%19 W · 17 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x671a…ee5abacked Yes	38c	1,059$402 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$402.42	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x252b…b46cbacked No	34c	1,043$352 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$690.91	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	+3.6wins	+0.12per pick	30cpaid	+77.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x26a9…f6b7backed No	53c	1,028$549 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$478.89	44	34.1%15 W · 29 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+51.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6578…ba32backed No	65c	999$649 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$349.65	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-2.9wins	-0.14per pick	42cpaid	-42.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d24…a2e9backed No	63c	877.35$553 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$324.62	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x36b0…f5bebacked No	63c	870$552 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$317.78	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	+2.8wins	+0.13per pick	49cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9ed7…b0a5backed No	65c	866$567 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$299.16	36	41.7%15 W · 21 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6348…0fafbacked Yes	21c	858$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.08	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.10per pick	30cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe36c…a6f0backed Yes	36c	837$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$301.32	25	40%10 W · 15 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	+23.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes	8c	836.33$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.26	55	5.5%3 W · 52 L	-3.4wins	-0.06per pick	12cpaid	-86.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8132…a491backed No	64c	814$521 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$293.04	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeee4…9964backed Yes	37c	812$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.44	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+37.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb338…1ff0backed No	64c	741$475 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$265.98	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5383…88f0backed Yes	34c	712$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.08	35	28.6%10 W · 25 L	-5.2wins	-0.15per pick	43cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes	36c	703.65$257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.75	71	36.6%26 W · 45 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54d5…b5cebacked Yes	36c	663$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.68	24	50%12 W · 12 L	+1.7wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+26.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9b2…9ae2backed No	63c	652$414 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$238.34	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6558…e485backed No	62c	642$398 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$243.96	34	32.4%11 W · 23 L	-3.2wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f5c…91bfbacked Yes	37c	640$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.8	32	56.3%18 W · 14 L	+2.9wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+24.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7fae…6853backed No	63c	639$403 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$236.43	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf465…0153backed Yes	6c	600$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.8	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f3e…f9d4backed No	67c	600$403 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$197.46	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	+1.4wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6034…b5fdbacked No	65c	581$378 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$203.35	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.16per pick	56cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x31a8…1f07backed Yes	37c	581$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.09	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda64…9bc5backed Yes	35c	581$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.35	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+1.9wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c0c…6825backed Yes	20c	570$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.3	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	37cpaid	-55.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x502b…a7a9backed Yes	37c	548$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.76	25	52%13 W · 12 L	+2.6wins	+0.11per pick	41cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ead…6c75backed No	65c	526$342 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.1	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-1.4wins	-0.11per pick	36cpaid	-44%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x19cd…f7ffbacked No	62c	522$324 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$198.36	25	40%10 W · 15 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1220…741abacked Yes	37c	505$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.85	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f2…1a94backed No	66c	500$330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+1.9wins	+0.14per pick	43cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb34…b639backed Yes	7c	500$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x520d…babebacked No	64c	499.73$320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$179.23	113	52.2%59 W · 54 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…9a60backed No	64c	495$317 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$178.2	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+1.2wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+24.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b79…360fbacked No	66c	495$327 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168.3	14	71.4%10 W · 4 L	+2.7wins	+0.19per pick	52cpaid	+42.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x245c…75e7backed Yes	37c	485$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.45	25	24%6 W · 19 L	-5.3wins	-0.21per pick	45cpaid	-61.9%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4653…65c5backed Yes	35c	470$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.5	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-45.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1832…af9ebacked No	65c	470$306 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$164.5	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-21%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d69…7919backed Yes	6c	447.38$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.95	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ea1…6487backed Yes	37c	446$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.02	40	25%10 W · 30 L	-6.1wins	-0.15per pick	40cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xaefa…f98ebacked Yes	35c	441$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.35	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	-1.8wins	-0.08per pick	40cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb5f…f3dcbacked Yes	35c	428$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.8	37	27%10 W · 27 L	-5.2wins	-0.14per pick	41cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x79c1…497dbacked Yes	29c	420.7$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.08	131	30.5%40 W · 91 L	-7.2wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb2e…7c01backed No	64c	419$268 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.84	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-2.3wins	-0.12per pick	42cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e35…1a6cbacked No	48c	408.43$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210.9	105	37.1%39 W · 66 L	+6.0wins	+0.06per pick	31cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5884…3191backed No	64c	408$261 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.88	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	-2.6wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf416…6ec9backed Yes	28c	404.84$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.54	137	40.1%55 W · 82 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x49a3…2ecebacked Yes	9c	400$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.92	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2426…d3e5backed No	59c	400$236 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$164	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.41per pick	59cpaid	+69.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa05d…3e96backed Yes	36c	395$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.2	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bc0…fab9backed Yes	37c	355$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.35	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+38.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x75d3…de26backed No	68c	352.99$239 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.5	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.26per pick	49cpaid	+40.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4984…69d2backed Yes	39c	321$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.68	36	38.9%14 W · 22 L	-2.9wins	-0.08per pick	47cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x168e…aa56backed Yes	37c	314$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.18	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+63.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b2f…c453backed No	60c	310$185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.02	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7170…ed44backed No	66c	306$202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.04	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+2.1wins	+0.10per pick	42cpaid	+13%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa2df…0ef8backed Yes	7c	300$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x451a…a0c9backed No	63c	300$189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111	36	41.7%15 W · 21 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61e3…7827backed No	67c	298.61$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.61	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3bb2…b9b6backed Yes	10c	293.96$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.51	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bcc…f8b2backed Yes	34c	293.78$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	157	39.5%62 W · 95 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f51…09adbacked Yes	35c	291$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.85	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+23.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f46…01b1backed No	63c	289$182 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.93	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab72…b70dbacked Yes	73c	273.33$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	29	31%9 W · 20 L	-2.1wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes	36c	255$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.08	237	51.9%123 W · 114 L	+16.9wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6149…8a58backed Yes	27c	254.45$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.4	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+35.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	25c	251.25$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.93	1,394	8%111 W · 1,283 L	-47.9wins	-0.03per pick	11cpaid	-50%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x354c…b301backed No	62c	250$155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8151…3421backed No	63c	245$154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.65	30	63.3%19 W · 11 L	+4.8wins	+0.16per pick	47cpaid	+33.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdb63…0401backed Yes	11c	238.94$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.28	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x81ba…b311backed No	63c	235.99$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.32	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5567…aeedbacked No	49c	235$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119.8	36	44.4%16 W · 20 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d17…1e5ebacked No	71c	235$167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.15	32	56.3%18 W · 14 L	+3.7wins	+0.12per pick	45cpaid	+29.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa44b…eb27backed No	62c	228$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.87	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x188a…de60backed Yes	14c	220$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.92	34	11.8%4 W · 30 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8143…9698backed Yes	9c	218$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.04	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.20per pick	30cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes	54c	205.9$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.9	365	38.1%139 W · 226 L	-19.8wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8304…f086backed Yes	60c	204$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.81	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x0845…c4edbacked No	30c	201$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.7	28	32.1%9 W · 19 L	-1.9wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes	7c	200$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	90	1.1%1 W · 89 L	-4.3wins	-0.05per pick	6cpaid	-51.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6800…b86bbacked Yes	6c	200$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.6	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d75…78b9backed Yes	79c	200$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158	29	79.3%23 W · 6 L	+5.9wins	+0.20per pick	59cpaid	+36.4%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xbe7c…8356backed Yes	9c	190$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.1	30	13.3%4 W · 26 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-48.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58e1…a5cdbacked No	64c	187$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.02	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-1.7wins	-0.10per pick	42cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3734…01a3backed Yes	34c	176$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.84	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a40…904bbacked No	59c	176$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.72	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+0.9wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Wicked: For Good be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event