Movies · resolved market

Will Frankenstein be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22ebefd1cba27c5419e6a15cfb72e9d1fc603f4e46b1dfcb55d1f72df3ab8e18

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 22, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $68,735
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $53,568

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,735 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Movies
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9d84…1344backed No	8c	6,188$491 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$491.03	129	23.3%30 W · 99 L	-7.3wins	-0.06per pick	29cpaid	-57.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c5b…0584backed No	3c	3,452$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	18cpaid	-57.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0232…2646backed No	31c	3,326$1,023 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,022.8	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-68.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc981…a75dbacked No	6c	2,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	57	26.3%15 W · 42 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd6b…68f5backed No	1c	2,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb410…7736backed No	20c	1,446$289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$289.14	102	44.1%45 W · 57 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaee1…77fcbacked No	10c	1,030$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	+50%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3903…e027backed No	4c	1,000$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	12	25%3 W · 9 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	18cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x454e…62b9backed Yes	55c	1,000$550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$450	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04d7…b035backed No	6c	999.99$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	178	21.3%38 W · 140 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked No	5c	937.62$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.86	89	4.5%4 W · 85 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bef…f04ebacked No	4c	869.84$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.15	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	9cpaid	+60.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No	9c	742.65$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.15	1,394	8%111 W · 1,283 L	-47.9wins	-0.03per pick	11cpaid	-50%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0218…52c0backed No	2c	704.95$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.9	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	10cpaid	-87.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe01…24b4backed No	4c	660.01$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9e6…19f5backed No	3c	605.1$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-1.5wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	30c	573.26$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.49	365	38.1%139 W · 226 L	-19.8wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed No	3c	502.02$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.92	278	1.8%5 W · 273 L	-9.2wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-72.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb728…fc92backed Yes	29c	500.02$143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$357.07	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+2.0wins	+0.16per pick	17cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e7d…d07abacked No	6c	497$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.82	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes	64c	475$304 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170.89	130	40%52 W · 78 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x1ecc…53a9backed Yes	59c	447.42$266 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$181.64	237	41.4%98 W · 139 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbe7c…8356backed No	7c	420$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.07	30	13.3%4 W · 26 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-48.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f46…01b1backed No	36c	406$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.16	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed No	6c	398.49$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.02	204	2.9%6 W · 198 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-51.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x245c…2486backed Yes	29c	386.94$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$275.01	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-1.8wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8af…325ebacked No	6c	385$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.1	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	+106.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x282e…3eaabacked No	23c	358$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.34	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.8wins	+0.25per pick	32cpaid	+53.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x03a3…fdf4backed No	22c	358$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.76	29	55.2%16 W · 13 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4745…5916backed No	7c	348$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.36	74	31.1%23 W · 51 L	-7.1wins	-0.10per pick	41cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6bcc…f8b2backed Yes	29c	347.97$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$247.97	157	39.5%62 W · 95 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22eb…ad17backed Yes	31c	320.01$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$220.01	69	55.1%38 W · 31 L	+5.8wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+34%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed No	28c	311.97$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.04	131	35.1%46 W · 85 L	-14.0wins	-0.11per pick	46cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5b96…5fbdbacked No	5c	308.41$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No	5c	300$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	220	30.5%67 W · 153 L	-13.6wins	-0.06per pick	37cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xec92…1214backed Yes	78c	288$225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.36	46	45.7%21 W · 25 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe17a…c6fbbacked No	47c	283$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.01	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x607b…f9b5backed No	4c	252.46$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.16per pick	4cpaid	+151.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6149…8a58backed No	23c	250$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.84	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+35.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd11f…2d2cbacked Yes	78c	245$191 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.9	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-36%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6cb…ac3dbacked Yes	76c	235$179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.4	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+1.4wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ed7…b0a5backed No	25c	232$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.26	36	41.7%15 W · 21 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ae…73ddbacked No	8c	228.14$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.87	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-20%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d24…a2e9backed No	27c	223$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.21	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd493…7f04backed No	7c	222$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.54	93	4.3%4 W · 89 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No	10c	216$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.6	484	14%68 W · 416 L	-39.3wins	-0.08per pick	22cpaid	-43.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd1d7…8c45backed Yes	77c	211$162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.53	25	40%10 W · 15 L	-1.8wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1dfd…946bbacked Yes	64c	209$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.24	28	60.7%17 W · 11 L	+2.6wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…7523backed Yes	53c	208$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.76	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d58…34e0backed Yes	78c	207$161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.54	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x358d…7602backed No	15c	206$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.9	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No	9c	204.01$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.92	30	3.3%1 W · 29 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-34%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xfc94…efd5backed No	22c	202$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.44	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-36.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x520d…babebacked Yes	55c	200.61$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.61	113	52.2%59 W · 54 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dc2…0727backed No	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	67	4.5%3 W · 64 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec3c…d68ebacked No	9c	200$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	66	6.1%4 W · 62 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8624…b484backed No	57c	192$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.16	45	42.2%19 W · 26 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x964c…44acbacked Yes	78c	190$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.8	31	54.8%17 W · 14 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b63…52cfbacked Yes	78c	181$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.82	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf79d…4350backed No	11c	177.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28d6…f54ebacked No	22c	174$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.28	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.12per pick	42cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0676…3b27backed No	17c	170$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.2	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb704…dc1ebacked No	7c	155.29$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.87	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed No	29c	153.1$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.65	1,218	17.8%217 W · 1,001 L	-124.0wins	-0.10per pick	28cpaid	-50.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x82aa…2393backed No	22c	152$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.44	37	51.4%19 W · 18 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x28ca…5d19backed Yes	74c	146$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.44	194	40.2%78 W · 116 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc80…2bc1backed Yes	16c	143.78$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.89	27	11.1%3 W · 24 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	7cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23e9…109fbacked No	11c	136.36$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+31.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fae…6853backed Yes	77c	128$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.44	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x78ec…2d07backed Yes	64c	125$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-60.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a7…4d86backed No	18c	124$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.56	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	+3.1wins	+0.14per pick	41cpaid	+48.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe43b…3497backed No	22c	121$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.62	25	48%12 W · 13 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b0e…e3eabacked No	23c	116$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.23	140	15%21 W · 119 L	-6.2wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes	45c	115$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.25	49	30.6%15 W · 34 L	-2.6wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x91af…95c8backed Yes	78c	114$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.08	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+2.3wins	+0.19per pick	39cpaid	+48.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f2f…a8aabacked No	15c	112$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.8	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes	30c	110$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77	506	33.4%169 W · 337 L	-30.0wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes	70c	110$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.54	237	51.9%123 W · 114 L	+16.9wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed No	72c	108$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.68	184	44%81 W · 103 L	+7.4wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x91be…2641backed No	38c	107$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.24	29	31%9 W · 20 L	-2.6wins	-0.09per pick	40cpaid	-38%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf6c7…f199backed Yes	64c	106$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.16	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac4…53c9backed Yes	27c	105$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.6	20	10%2 W · 18 L	-2.8wins	-0.14per pick	24cpaid	-64.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f58…e29abacked No	22c	104$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.88	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-3.2wins	-0.21per pick	48cpaid	-61%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x367b…48dabacked Yes	75c	103.34$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.83	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked Yes	75c	100$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	28	57.1%16 W · 12 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdcef…7388backed No	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	34	8.8%3 W · 31 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	5cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97ed…28e1backed No	36c	99$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.64	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe627…e145backed No	22c	93.34$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.63	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbae0…5cd6backed No	41c	92$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.72	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-1.6wins	-0.10per pick	30cpaid	-67%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d05…305bbacked Yes	64c	90$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.4	37	48.6%18 W · 19 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x02ee…5adebacked Yes	62c	90$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.2	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb132…6943backed Yes	78c	88$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.36	24	50%12 W · 12 L	+2.2wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+39.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x210c…2edabacked Yes	28c	86.71$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.3	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-1.8wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x03b2…567cbacked No	22c	86$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.92	30	56.7%17 W · 13 L	+2.0wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a55…1272backed No	47c	83$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.01	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26ad…990ebacked No	38c	82$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.16	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a45…9d4abacked No	26c	81$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.2	65	41.5%27 W · 38 L	+8.8wins	+0.13per pick	28cpaid	+68.6%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc877…05b4backed No	32c	80$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.2	43	46.5%20 W · 23 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f0…669dbacked No	32c	80$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.6	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4346…2241backed Yes	73c	78$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.06	32	50%16 W · 16 L	+2.3wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Frankenstein be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event