TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

American Eagles vs. Army Black Knights: O/U 146.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$795,772
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$801,214

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $795,772 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over52c563,715$295,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295,622.135945.1%162 W · 197 L-24.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x006c…16eabacked Under47c281,356$132,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149,118.639652.1%50 W · 46 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Under47c200,000$94,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105,999.979050%45 W · 45 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under49c150,000$73,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76,5008246.3%38 W · 44 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Over53c115,943$61,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61,434.5421754.8%119 W · 98 L+15.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Over53c50,000$26,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,5004047.5%19 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under47c37,747$17,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,033.2990645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under47c20,000$9,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,6001,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Under47c13,900$6,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,40642246.2%195 W · 227 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked Under47c11,500$5,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,080.937353.4%39 W · 34 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xccdb…ffa9backed Under47c10,647$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,647.252055%11 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Over52c7,500$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,899.994339.5%17 W · 26 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Under48c7,493$3,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,896.368747.1%41 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Under45c6,116$2,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,342.4439744.8%178 W · 219 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Under47c5,555$2,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,944.1513154.2%71 W · 60 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ba4…8a89backed Under45c5,000$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7502030%6 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under49c4,891$2,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,485.455,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Over53c4,541$2,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,404.269142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Over55c3,803$2,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,091.4641752.5%219 W · 198 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Over53c3,000$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,59017050.6%86 W · 84 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Over54c2,732$1,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,472.2828539.6%113 W · 172 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x35cb…318abacked Over55c2,338$1,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,286.02450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Over54c2,222$1,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,196.6416954.4%92 W · 77 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2f…3531backed Over53c2,115$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,110.453348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Over22c1,919$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.1136942.3%156 W · 213 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under48c1,845$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$956.334,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Under52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7203941%16 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under47c1,477$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.912,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over48c1,039$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.714,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Under47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53089850%449 W · 449 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Over54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5409856.1%55 W · 43 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+52.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Over53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53011555.7%64 W · 51 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Over55c909.09$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50025556.1%143 W · 112 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under46c900$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48682048.2%395 W · 425 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under45c760$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41840147.6%191 W · 210 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4008…2942backed Under50c674.14$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.392755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Under46c660$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.41163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick46cpaid+30.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over49c641.2$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.622,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2d0…6078backed Under49c550$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.51947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f52…c525backed Over55c545.45$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005949.2%29 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over48c520.83$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d0f…f3e6backed Over55c454.55$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25011946.2%55 W · 64 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over33c435.91$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.563,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Under46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.7827045.2%122 W · 148 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over48c427.96$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.322,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf48c…e4dabacked Under48c413.95$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.711080%8 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+32.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Over54c370$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.813851.4%71 W · 67 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Over6c287.37$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1215356.2%86 W · 67 L+14.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+27.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over34c281.33$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.312,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under48c265.87$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.621,29645.1%584 W · 712 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Over16c262.71$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.72,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under45c250$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.549746.5%231 W · 266 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe025…102fbacked Under45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2219555.4%108 W · 87 L+14.4wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under48c222.17$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.6489146.2%412 W · 479 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd730…1948backed Under52c216.77$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.8219653.1%104 W · 92 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d48…48e0backed Over51c216.65$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.8718046.7%84 W · 96 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9277…2aedbacked Under50c215.8$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.91450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8307…ad90backed Over6c204.94$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.251048.7%9 W · 95 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick6cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7721…e537backed Over11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+41.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8104…3128backed Under48c200$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.62560%15 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3ed…e29fbacked Over53c192.85$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.593951.3%20 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Under49c191.84$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.848140.7%33 W · 48 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x284e…ddb2backed Under48c186.31$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.883033.3%10 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-42.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5cc6…241dbacked Under54c185$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.11560%9 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+23.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x997c…7c81backed Over46c185$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.11241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5271…f692backed Under54c185$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.11346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29ad…29b8backed Over46c185$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.1933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x664b…00b3backed Over54c178.11$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.0811159.5%66 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6dbc…18a0backed Under46c130.43$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.434656.5%26 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+21.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd7e7…fef1backed Under51c128.47$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.956238.7%24 W · 38 L-7.4wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-23.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb0a0…d84fbacked Under51c117.68$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.666144.3%27 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Over54c113.68$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.4219657.1%112 W · 84 L+14.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Over52c112.7$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.68750.6%44 W · 43 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fb0…3182backed Over52c111.94$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2141354%223 W · 190 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Under46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541,07046.9%502 W · 568 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5517258.7%101 W · 71 L+14.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3eb6…2abbbacked Over15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157017.1%12 W · 58 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick9cpaid+32.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked Over54c95.7$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7118656.5%105 W · 81 L+12.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9a9a…989abacked Over56c88.73$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ba5…26febacked Over53c87.52$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.525950.8%30 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc27f…12a9backed Under46c82$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.887252.8%38 W · 34 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c37…947cbacked Under57c80.26$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.185100%5 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x27b4…a2dcbacked Under62c80.26$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.55100%5 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+37%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ec5…65ecbacked Under50c74.96$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.482839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xac7a…414fbacked Under45c66.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.671618.8%3 W · 13 L-4.7wins-0.29per pick48cpaid-57%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x6312…f94ebacked Under46c65.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.224740.4%19 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid+16.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9371…3aecbacked Under49c65.15$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.15666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+47.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd0b…00d8backed Under80c62.27$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.45785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick77cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5a8…8a9dbacked Over53c61.41$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.537251.4%37 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a58…149dbacked Under46c61.3$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa966…208bbacked Over55c60$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3315156.3%85 W · 66 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc981…a53dbacked Under50c58.44$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.052540%10 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5193…2328backed Under57c57.94$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.91875%6 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8212…2b8bbacked Under49c57.43$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.291258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Over54c55.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309045.6%41 W · 49 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa26f…4b98backed Over54c55.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Over54c55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.735050.3%176 W · 174 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9786…f797backed Under57c53.02$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8850%4 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-26%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x86b6…da83backed Under59c53.02$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.74540%2 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick69cpaid-41.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.