Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
American Eagles vs. Army Black Knights
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7afa6053f6a4e136bf478ac31e3797331c3f0b12cee9ea5bb63f1571a11670b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- American Eaglesof American Eagles, Army Black Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,064
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,819
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,064 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8796…8015backed Army Black Knights | 28c | 3,600$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Army Black Knights | 16c | 1,813$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.47 | 140 | 21.4%30 W · 110 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Army Black Knights | 8c | 1,463$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.05 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…4418backed American Eagles | 72c | 1,404$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Army Black Knights | 5c | 1,311$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.57 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Army Black Knights | 28c | 1,166$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.66 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Army Black Knights | 29c | 1,097$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Army Black Knights | 30c | 950.96$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.29 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked American Eagles | 73c | 852.41$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.15 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked American Eagles | 70c | 849.96$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.99 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed Army Black Knights | 11c | 831.07$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.56 | 200 | 24%48 W · 152 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x434c…0536backed American Eagles | 72c | 800$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 76cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Army Black Knights | 6c | 782.2$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.81 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x709b…0a2dbacked American Eagles | 73c | 700$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…0faabacked American Eagles | 72c | 700$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Army Black Knights | 17c | 658.02$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.44 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Army Black Knights | 5c | 632.46$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 136 | 3.7%5 W · 131 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80ee…5cf0backed American Eagles | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cd…9b30backed Army Black Knights | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb006…2fcabacked American Eagles | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4521…8102backed Army Black Knights | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbd…b0f0backed American Eagles | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed American Eagles | 76c | 475.42$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.37 | 244 | 44.7%109 W · 135 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked American Eagles | 73c | 474.17$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.19 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Army Black Knights | 29c | 468.57$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed American Eagles | 79c | 351.35$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.23 | 186 | 54.3%101 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Army Black Knights | 25c | 323.2$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.39 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Army Black Knights | 15c | 319.38$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.33 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26e2…1a63backed Army Black Knights | 16c | 285.12$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.73 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed American Eagles | 74c | 259.54$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.86 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked American Eagles | 78c | 197.72$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.05 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Army Black Knights | 18c | 165$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed American Eagles | 77c | 151.78$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.41 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed American Eagles | 72c | 139.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed American Eagles | 72c | 131.29$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.76 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Army Black Knights | 24c | 125.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Army Black Knights | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 235 | 44.7%105 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0b…cdfcbacked Army Black Knights | 29c | 117.24$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked Army Black Knights | 17c | 105.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 365 | 35.9%131 W · 234 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed American Eagles | 69c | 95.28$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.54 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed American Eagles | 66c | 84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Army Black Knights | 20c | 82.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Army Black Knights | 29c | 68.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed American Eagles | 70c | 68.37$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Army Black Knights | 29c | 68.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Army Black Knights | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed American Eagles | 67c | 42.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0110…af5dbacked American Eagles | 75c | 38.17$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked American Eagles | 74c | 32.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x868d…b425backed American Eagles | 72c | 17.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x043d…0e25backed American Eagles | 71c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- American Eagles vs. Army Black Knightsthis page
- American Eagles vs. Army Black Knights: O/U 145.5Under won
- American Eagles vs. Army Black Knights: O/U 146.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.