World Politics · resolved market
Will António José Seguro win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd902088557232c75bb93061a3969d9ef7d2c33eb4568345ab3bfa23ca53a78fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,092
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,796
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,092 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd18a…98aebacked Yes | 24c | 5,490$1,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,328.67 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785d…0254backed Yes | 2c | 4,196$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1681…4ca8backed Yes | 1c | 2,882$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 12c | 2,269$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.86 | 166 | 12.7%21 W · 145 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa212…827fbacked Yes | 38c | 1,068$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.26 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked No | 70c | 1,049$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.41 | 199 | 57.3%114 W · 85 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd4…325cbacked Yes | 30c | 1,002$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0287…6fdbbacked Yes | 11c | 817$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 22c | 779$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.63 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1223…d424backed Yes | 26c | 739.76$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.14 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x120a…1e2ebacked Yes | 10c | 704$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf6…559dbacked Yes | 18c | 692.49$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.77 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b91…ae77backed Yes | 22c | 674.38$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.25 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26cb…3e56backed Yes | 16c | 589.97$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.32 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +110%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa23d…8eaebacked Yes | 10c | 587.93$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd7…9c85backed No | 67c | 524.89$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.67 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…342bbacked Yes | 26c | 499.96$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.49 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 20c | 496.63$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.52 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…cb10backed Yes | 11c | 465.89$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.71 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 5c | 464.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 302 | 33.8%102 W · 200 L | +19.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 26c | 463.8$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.69 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea72…16a2backed Yes | 11c | 447$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.38 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef5…83cbbacked Yes | 13c | 423$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf2…2d63backed Yes | 10c | 416.54$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 5c | 415$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 150 | 14%21 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3e…cd54backed Yes | 26c | 387.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3576…09debacked No | 72c | 386.61$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.6 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9e…f0b2backed Yes | 38c | 386.23$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…a330backed Yes | 14c | 363.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 35cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7615…ea36backed Yes | 32c | 355.04$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a9…faebbacked No | 77c | 352.34$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.98 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 9c | 331.41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.81 | 241 | 10.8%26 W · 215 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 10c | 315.54$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.77 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 17c | 309.2$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.07 | 182 | 16.5%30 W · 152 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e4…471abacked Yes | 11c | 300.7$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.68 | 150 | 22.7%34 W · 116 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +43%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8c…30bbbacked Yes | 21c | 300$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb276…5e63backed Yes | 34c | 300$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4eb…86b9backed No | 66c | 299.84$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c2…c6c8backed Yes | 35c | 282.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c37…2994backed Yes | 35c | 282.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee43…7f62backed Yes | 11c | 276.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9a…6242backed Yes | 21c | 276.28$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb15a…a1c5backed Yes | 18c | 276.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ae…a705backed Yes | 38c | 267.42$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7665…f332backed Yes | 23c | 262.31$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07f1…9f1cbacked Yes | 13c | 251.58$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6548…7337backed Yes | 38c | 229.96$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.89 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf087…40f5backed Yes | 10c | 220$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +219%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9551…8c45backed No | 65c | 219.69$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.42 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dab…bfa8backed No | 67c | 219$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd7…c5a4backed Yes | 13c | 217.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30b…66b8backed Yes | 43c | 203.73$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd399…d13ebacked Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed No | 68c | 199.99$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.1 | 284 | 34.2%97 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d4…d3aabacked Yes | 22c | 197.35$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.63 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 25cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 13c | 182.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 142 | 5.6%8 W · 134 L | -27.2wins | -0.19per pick | 25cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xcf25…b223backed Yes | 22c | 180$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 77c | 179.83$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.86 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f42…ab62backed Yes | 23c | 171.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Yes | 35c | 170.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 31c | 158.64$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.78 | 316 | 35.1%111 W · 205 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…9a27backed Yes | 39c | 151.4$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.47 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1e…2f5abacked Yes | 34c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29ad…29b8backed No | 66c | 150$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f02…0b2ebacked Yes | 25c | 144$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 75c | 139.57$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.27 | 260 | 52.3%136 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 61c | 137.89$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.24 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c5…119dbacked Yes | 35c | 131.39$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.39 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa553…3c98backed Yes | 19c | 122$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -46%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06ee…eacabacked Yes | 36c | 118.45$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe554…3c40backed Yes | 35c | 113.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 71c | 110.78$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.58 | 110 | 69.1%76 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b9…98a3backed Yes | 29c | 110.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8953…7f3abacked Yes | 37c | 108.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb7…2077backed Yes | 30c | 105.7$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13d8…9a82backed Yes | 37c | 102.74$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 75c | 100.49$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.17 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f71…b80ebacked Yes | 13c | 100.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd482…355dbacked No | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0330…eb8fbacked Yes | 23c | 99.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9578…f066backed Yes | 40c | 98.81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd388…add7backed Yes | 30c | 98.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 25c | 96.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb099…88e9backed Yes | 29c | 96.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…b851backed Yes | 22c | 90.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc46…cbfabacked Yes | 20c | 89.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3240…5d25backed Yes | 35c | 88.62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.57 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf00…0c1abacked No | 62c | 88.07$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.71 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x875e…e6b5backed Yes | 21c | 84.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdafd…807fbacked Yes | 30c | 84.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 37c | 83.83$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.93 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dca…3c13backed Yes | 23c | 83.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +11.4wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc2…0933backed Yes | 21c | 80$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed No | 70c | 73$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d50…a4c1backed Yes | 30c | 72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86cf…a6cdbacked Yes | 37c | 71.02$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde02…1402backed Yes | 18c | 69.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25de…a86cbacked Yes | 33c | 60.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c6…4c2dbacked Yes | 38c | 59.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 20c | 58.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will António José Seguro win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?this page
- Will André Pestana win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will André Ventura win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes won
- Will António Filipe win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Aristides Teixeira win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Catarina Martins win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Humberto Correia win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Joana Amaral Dias win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Jorge Pinto win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will José Cardoso win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Luís Marques Mendes win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Manuela Magno win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Orlando Cruz win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Paulo Portas win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Pedro Passos Coelho win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Pedro Tinoco de Faria win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Raul Perestrello win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Rui Moreira win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Tim Vieira win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Vitorino Silva win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Ângela Maryah win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.