World Politics · resolved market
Will André Ventura win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9366d008d26035d67229a004978ac5df2737ff6d2de2ce1ae4d663f9de88667a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $117,157
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $139,065
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,157 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 80c | 3,599$2,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.32 | 100 | 37%37 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 45c | 3,031$1,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355.76 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd18a…98aebacked No | 57c | 2,631$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495.25 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked No | 59c | 2,412$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.87 | 199 | 57.3%114 W · 85 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59ff…c1ffbacked Yes | 56c | 2,141$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…cb10backed Yes | 36c | 2,106$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.08 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…31abbacked Yes | 36c | 1,584$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.26 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 11c | 1,565$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.49 | 150 | 14%21 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c0…7a87backed Yes | 38c | 1,548$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 67c | 1,414$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.69 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dbb…7946backed Yes | 40c | 1,357$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.91 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4333…1f57backed No | 32c | 1,296$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.23 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x048e…6e41backed Yes | 57c | 1,209$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.05 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4c…1739backed Yes | 68c | 1,143$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1223…d424backed Yes | 34c | 1,119$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.93 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa212…827fbacked Yes | 42c | 1,068$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 56c | 1,008$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.18 | 284 | 34.2%97 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6da2…ea14backed Yes | 50c | 886.34$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 65c | 872.05$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.31 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 74c | 856.45$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.31 | 152 | 30.3%46 W · 106 L | -18.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3b…a2b6backed No | 1c | 827.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 38 | 0%0 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe9…8308backed Yes | 22c | 821.2$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.74 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d4…d3aabacked Yes | 24c | 737.4$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.61 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 25cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85e5…eea3backed Yes | 62c | 720.13$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +102.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d60…03d8backed No | 56c | 720$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.2 | 101 | 22.8%23 W · 78 L | -9.5wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked No | 2c | 699.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 77 | 2.6%2 W · 75 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 38c | 695.97$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.55 | 166 | 12.7%21 W · 145 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf523…edb2backed Yes | 56c | 664.59$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +97.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9e…f0b2backed Yes | 34c | 618.8$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…32fbbacked Yes | 21c | 604.9$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.32 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6548…7337backed Yes | 41c | 602.94$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.43 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 49c | 557.53$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.34 | 367 | 42.5%156 W · 211 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf6…559dbacked Yes | 54c | 544$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.47 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 73c | 537.51$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.93 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Yes | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.82 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd28f…23cabacked Yes | 39c | 478.69$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b2…8abdbacked No | 25c | 455.37$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.85 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 40c | 410.92$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.42 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…072dbacked Yes | 43c | 407.76$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.83 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c87…3b59backed Yes | 41c | 382.23$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.68 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 65c | 362.54$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.51 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdfa…4a1cbacked Yes | 33c | 359.85$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3576…09debacked No | 44c | 353.99$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.44 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x075f…5eb5backed Yes | 56c | 353.96$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.36 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +191.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3f…313bbacked Yes | 31c | 320.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.26 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf84…3035backed Yes | 36c | 303.97$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 38c | 299.41$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.07 | 449 | 21.2%95 W · 354 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bd…1906backed Yes | 45c | 298.27$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 29c | 293.66$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.87 | 182 | 16.5%30 W · 152 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 38c | 290.66$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.92 | 371 | 17.8%66 W · 305 L | -18.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x410c…5887backed Yes | 38c | 290.26$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Yes | 34c | 287.19$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.59 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58bb…d337backed No | 4c | 270.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8953…7f3abacked Yes | 57c | 245.11$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.11 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 37c | 241.43$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.43 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 63c | 224.87$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.68 | 260 | 52.3%136 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3e…cd54backed Yes | 42c | 212.79$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.42 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd388…add7backed Yes | 42c | 208.12$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9578…f066backed Yes | 27c | 201$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.79 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd482…355dbacked No | 60c | 200$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd399…d13ebacked Yes | 44c | 200$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82ed…b788backed Yes | 25c | 199$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.96 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde78…ac57backed Yes | 41c | 195.98$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +141.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…a8c9backed Yes | 71c | 190$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4d…8ab0backed Yes | 22c | 185.68$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf25…b223backed Yes | 27c | 179.81$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf58…8cccbacked Yes | 38c | 173.95$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcde5…bc0abacked Yes | 40c | 155.75$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f71…b80ebacked Yes | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d8b…9ce9backed Yes | 44c | 150$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f84…0458backed Yes | 26c | 145.51$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.81 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…dd29backed Yes | 24c | 144.59$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.09 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf00…0c1abacked Yes | 32c | 144.54$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.23 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x049b…ebb2backed Yes | 36c | 140.32$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde02…1402backed Yes | 23c | 138.71$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.24 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd1…7040backed Yes | 45c | 136.62$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.62 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 21c | 134.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | +28.4wins | +0.25per pick | 24cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x90fa…d7f0backed Yes | 75c | 133.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.98 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7c…51b6backed Yes | 35c | 130$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.5 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d50…a4c1backed No | 55c | 128.43$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.26 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca2…27d1backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +113.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e9b…c802backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +103.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc37b…9b85backed Yes | 23c | 116.72$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.99 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…982cbacked Yes | 43c | 116$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b8…58debacked Yes | 36c | 112.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf4d…ab44backed Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x875e…e6b5backed No | 17c | 108.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0371…ce75backed Yes | 38c | 104.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.22 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +208.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd0…9a54backed Yes | 44c | 102.75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2dc…e9ebbacked No | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0291…ab78backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69a1…d5abbacked Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7a…0f0ebacked Yes | 30c | 99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3359…2273backed Yes | 29c | 95$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.45 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x293b…09a9backed No | 71c | 93$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.03 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 38c | 91$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.98 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2faf…d59dbacked Yes | 25c | 88.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.95 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +34%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x117b…9c17backed Yes | 36c | 86.05$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9b…553fbacked Yes | 48c | 78.65$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x784f…5df9backed No | 52c | 78.65$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.9 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will André Ventura win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?this page
- Will André Pestana win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will António Filipe win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will António José Seguro win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Aristides Teixeira win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Catarina Martins win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Humberto Correia win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Joana Amaral Dias win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Jorge Pinto win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will José Cardoso win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Luís Marques Mendes win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Manuela Magno win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Orlando Cruz win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Paulo Portas win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Pedro Passos Coelho win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Pedro Tinoco de Faria win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Raul Perestrello win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Rui Moreira win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Tim Vieira win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Vitorino Silva win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Ângela Maryah win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.