World Politics · resolved market
Will Luís Marques Mendes win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ce0725c5c80296b8d139b8952cba5fbc12a76bbcf134b58650829b73ea1bc2d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,225
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,550
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,225 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 23c | 5,238$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.27 | 253 | 37.2%94 W · 159 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…32fbbacked Yes | 3c | 3,850$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.9 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6452…616dbacked Yes | 35c | 2,201$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.34 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2df…b572backed Yes | 10c | 2,200$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.24 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…01babacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -89.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd18a…98aebacked Yes | 19c | 1,965$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.13 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c5…119dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,628$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.41 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 77c | 1,547$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.92 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked No | 65c | 1,402$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.15 | 199 | 57.3%114 W · 85 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…cb10backed Yes | 41c | 1,350$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.5 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1223…d424backed Yes | 20c | 1,202$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.23 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fd…b6c8backed No | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6967…84bfbacked Yes | 40c | 999.97$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 24c | 942.77$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.6 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed No | 60c | 804.83$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.03 | 142 | 40.8%58 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 763.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 234 | 4.3%10 W · 224 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 16c | 691.86$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.03 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 71c | 674.79$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.05 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 3c | 669.06$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 115 | 2.6%3 W · 112 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -47%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…5536backed No | 68c | 652$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.98 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaad…aa81backed Yes | 2c | 646.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 2c | 610.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 77 | 2.6%2 W · 75 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 5c | 593.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 148 | 34.5%51 W · 97 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 28c | 555$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.9 | 150 | 26%39 W · 111 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…31abbacked Yes | 41c | 525$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.86 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 32c | 506.73$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.13 | 182 | 16.5%30 W · 152 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b3…87b8backed Yes | 38c | 488.67$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.46 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 18c | 469.77$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.06 | 449 | 21.2%95 W · 354 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x713a…c808backed Yes | 27c | 365.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 26c | 353.64$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.82 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Yes | 39c | 348.52$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.97 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeee8…79dfbacked Yes | 34c | 340.93$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.52 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 3c | 332.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 166 | 4.2%7 W · 159 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507c…4166backed Yes | 10c | 318$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bce…2a45backed Yes | 32c | 310.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +108.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…568dbacked Yes | 30c | 296.87$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.06 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 60c | 281.95$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.69 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6548…7337backed Yes | 40c | 261.23$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.39 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 25c | 247.4$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.18 | 302 | 33.8%102 W · 200 L | +19.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7057…e59cbacked Yes | 44c | 228.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 60c | 220$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.77 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f02…0b2ebacked Yes | 8c | 210$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 74c | 208.91$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.28 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 68c | 189.04$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.33 | 260 | 52.3%136 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf25…b223backed Yes | 30c | 180$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 24c | 177.78$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.45 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 80c | 163.73$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe8be…84b7backed No | 77c | 159.75$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x875e…e6b5backed Yes | 11c | 153.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7c…51b6backed No | 66c | 149.89$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6e…54cfbacked Yes | 42c | 149$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…982cbacked Yes | 34c | 147$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…3fd1backed Yes | 14c | 142.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…9935backed Yes | 42c | 135.8$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +128.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed Yes | 25c | 121$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c13…6c24backed Yes | 33c | 106.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 78c | 104.7$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb433…f543backed Yes | 29c | 102.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 75c | 100.37$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82ed…b788backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Yes | 22c | 93.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdf69…a982backed No | 80c | 87.5$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd0…23c7backed Yes | 33c | 86.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…3612backed Yes | 12c | 84.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked Yes | 13c | 84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 93 | 28%26 W · 67 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 64c | 80.56$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 152 | 30.3%46 W · 106 L | -18.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x470f…7b77backed No | 77c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60eb…bbf0backed Yes | 28c | 71.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…6959backed Yes | 40c | 69.32$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc46…cbfabacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8092…b8a2backed Yes | 41c | 67.63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe107…eef0backed Yes | 40c | 63.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd0…550abacked No | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5b…12d0backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 62c | 59.29$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.31 | 203 | 28.6%58 W · 145 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…62b3backed Yes | 38c | 57.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +56%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7006…4833backed No | 67c | 57.09$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…5d99backed Yes | 39c | 56.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3de…e227backed Yes | 21c | 56.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 239 | 21.3%51 W · 188 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e4…471abacked Yes | 23c | 55.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 150 | 22.7%34 W · 116 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +43%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked No | 72c | 54.78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 112 | 22.3%25 W · 87 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fa…2cf4backed Yes | 29c | 53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe53d…8ab8backed No | 71c | 53$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5476…a0febacked Yes | 24c | 51.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd7…c5a4backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e23…ac52backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2faf…d59dbacked Yes | 38c | 48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +34%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea3a…c250backed Yes | 39c | 45.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed6f…10abbacked Yes | 41c | 44.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…cbcdbacked Yes | 30c | 41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce60…6705backed Yes | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f2…96cfbacked Yes | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd65e…38ebbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 75c | 37.86$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb761…253abacked Yes | 38c | 36.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e2…dbc6backed Yes | 39c | 30.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +85.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d4…d3aabacked Yes | 36c | 30.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 25cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31ff…98b4backed Yes | 40c | 30.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 367 | 42.5%156 W · 211 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Luís Marques Mendes win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?this page
- Will André Pestana win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will André Ventura win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes won
- Will António Filipe win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will António José Seguro win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Aristides Teixeira win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Catarina Martins win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Humberto Correia win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Joana Amaral Dias win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Jorge Pinto win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will José Cardoso win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Manuela Magno win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Orlando Cruz win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Paulo Portas win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Pedro Passos Coelho win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Pedro Tinoco de Faria win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Raul Perestrello win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Rui Moreira win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Tim Vieira win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Vitorino Silva win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Ângela Maryah win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.