World Politics · resolved market
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa28cf7c924a8a1b6a078f9220a813842d8a975fb700bf7037588e82599593ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $173,338
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $161,007
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $173,338 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 11c | 22,288$2,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,413.68 | 253 | 37.2%94 W · 159 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67f7…4881backed Yes | 22c | 11,450$2,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,541.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd18a…98aebacked Yes | 20c | 4,590$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.15 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 26c | 3,820$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.89 | 100 | 37%37 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd900…5d15backed No | 78c | 3,100$2,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8966…9131backed No | 78c | 3,050$2,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc9…553abacked No | 78c | 2,880$2,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2df…b572backed Yes | 3c | 2,482$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.45 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa378…18fabacked No | 78c | 2,420$1,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 20c | 2,110$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.67 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked Yes | 7c | 2,000$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.42 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8be…c8d1backed Yes | 6c | 2,000$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.99 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 13c | 1,985$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.91 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…42c0backed Yes | 4c | 1,745$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.17 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 14c | 1,531$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.46 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7c…51b6backed Yes | 7c | 1,390$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.13 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb851…b35ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,255$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 14c | 1,048$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.32 | 166 | 12.7%21 W · 145 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfad9…627fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,038$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…1c9abacked Yes | 23c | 1,008$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 142 | 40.8%58 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 22c | 987.57$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.42 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 6c | 965.49$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.64 | 302 | 33.8%102 W · 200 L | +19.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda1a…ef06backed Yes | 20c | 798.29$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 16c | 795.69$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.19 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf6…559dbacked Yes | 7c | 793.97$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.1 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 9c | 752.74$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 241 | 10.8%26 W · 215 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 750$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 234 | 4.3%10 W · 224 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 21c | 709.9$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.2 | 284 | 34.2%97 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9e…f0b2backed Yes | 30c | 698.16$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.23 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…dd29backed Yes | 7c | 660.08$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.29 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6da2…ea14backed Yes | 4c | 591.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d3b…7654backed Yes | 8c | 588.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 17c | 575.98$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.49 | 142 | 5.6%8 W · 134 L | -27.2wins | -0.19per pick | 25cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 10c | 535.1$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.33 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 10c | 504$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.32 | 150 | 14%21 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77fd…b6c8backed Yes | 6c | 499.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked Yes | 3c | 498.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 93 | 28%26 W · 67 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26cb…3e56backed Yes | 10c | 497.04$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +110%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 21c | 485.29$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.2 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c2…c6c8backed Yes | 22c | 450.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 13c | 443.05$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.65 | 182 | 16.5%30 W · 152 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0280…b1a0backed Yes | 16c | 431.81$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…c27ebacked Yes | 23c | 416.3$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3576…09debacked No | 79c | 415.38$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.24 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Yes | 6c | 401.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa553…3c98backed Yes | 17c | 396.13$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.74 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -46%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd42…d1c3backed Yes | 13c | 339.62$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.4 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +194.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507c…4166backed Yes | 24c | 313$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.45 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 6c | 300$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 63 | 11.1%7 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +117.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9578…f066backed Yes | 21c | 275.32$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.41 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 6c | 267.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +87.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5254…891bbacked Yes | 24c | 253.19$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06db…5244backed No | 75c | 236$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.26 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf243…5fb4backed No | 78c | 225$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6548…7337backed Yes | 15c | 215.1$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…bb4abacked Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 6c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 211 | 7.1%15 W · 196 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31de…03ffbacked Yes | 19c | 198.07$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 9c | 182.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 16cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8953…7f3abacked Yes | 22c | 178.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 7c | 178.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 220 | 29.5%65 W · 155 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 71c | 169.33$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.36 | 260 | 52.3%136 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3765…18ebbacked No | 76c | 163.78$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1223…d424backed Yes | 18c | 155.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Yes | 14c | 150.66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a40…2d44backed Yes | 21c | 147.62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 67c | 141.09$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.69 | 110 | 69.1%76 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54af…de1ebacked Yes | 7c | 139.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe39e…8961backed Yes | 9c | 132.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe36f…8f51backed Yes | 8c | 129.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b60…fd42backed Yes | 28c | 124.86$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9da…f9debacked Yes | 21c | 121.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.32 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…a8c9backed Yes | 28c | 120$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.51 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb76…5965backed Yes | 16c | 115.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b6…30dabacked Yes | 18c | 106.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x417b…18d3backed No | 77c | 106.03$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8167…c580backed No | 78c | 106$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8143…9698backed Yes | 22c | 106$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf661…c7cabacked Yes | 19c | 105.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727e…8b9dbacked Yes | 18c | 104$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x370b…5f2cbacked Yes | 30c | 100.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0b…b8b2backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf56…ee5fbacked No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b30…6c12backed Yes | 22c | 89.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7211…86b6backed Yes | 21c | 86.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddc…4276backed Yes | 31c | 81.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…b395backed Yes | 15c | 80.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf30b…66b8backed Yes | 24c | 79.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x679c…4eb7backed Yes | 21c | 78.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78c4…8209backed Yes | 20c | 76.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 75c | 76$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.77 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd91…6262backed Yes | 21c | 71.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x037c…686dbacked Yes | 29c | 70.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff20…08d2backed Yes | 33c | 69.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 18c | 69.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0780…8f11backed Yes | 17c | 69.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa11b…f663backed No | 69c | 69.08$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 25c | 67.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 148 | 34.5%51 W · 97 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc0…8100backed Yes | 23c | 61.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 25cpaid | -87.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?this page
- Will André Pestana win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will André Ventura win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes won
- Will António Filipe win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will António José Seguro win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Aristides Teixeira win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Catarina Martins win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Humberto Correia win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Joana Amaral Dias win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Jorge Pinto win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will José Cardoso win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Luís Marques Mendes win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Manuela Magno win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Orlando Cruz win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Paulo Portas win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Pedro Passos Coelho win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Pedro Tinoco de Faria win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Raul Perestrello win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Rui Moreira win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Tim Vieira win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Vitorino Silva win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Ângela Maryah win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.