Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Hofstra Pride vs. Towson Tigers (W)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9bda40d1fd9e93f0b7a36976d977c75c57da3a2b937914a8bbf0f249845695c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Towson Tigersof Hofstra Pride, Towson Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,977
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,654
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,977 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Towson Tigers | 60c | 3,384$2,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.81 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d4…e1d2backed Hofstra Pride | 50c | 1,720$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 38cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Hofstra Pride | 30c | 1,688$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.61 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4f…6678backed Hofstra Pride | 26c | 1,154$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 70cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbb…39dabacked Hofstra Pride | 50c | 976$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.46 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c64…348fbacked Hofstra Pride | 2c | 939.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 57 | 0%0 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b9…0598backed Towson Tigers | 72c | 692.79$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.79 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.9wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Hofstra Pride | 57c | 471.73$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.72 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Hofstra Pride | 28c | 394.84$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.92 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1e…2f5abacked Hofstra Pride | 11c | 224$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Towson Tigers | 49c | 202$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.43 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…96b5backed Hofstra Pride | 69c | 200.57$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.39 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Hofstra Pride | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8a…398ebacked Hofstra Pride | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d24…6564backed Hofstra Pride | 50c | 183$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb8…233cbacked Hofstra Pride | 11c | 112$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29ad…29b8backed Hofstra Pride | 11c | 112$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Hofstra Pride | 16c | 105.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Towson Tigers | 52c | 102.49$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.94 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Hofstra Pride | 60c | 47.25$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe12…93aebacked Hofstra Pride | 59c | 22.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x741e…9014backed Hofstra Pride | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.