NHL · resolved market
Red Wings vs. Bruins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75c7ca364ca2f0bd02cae14954f9b09e289a6c58e425494c427f3c77dc79989b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bruinsof Red Wings, Bruins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $531,490
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $533,969
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $531,490 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 729 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Red Wings | 60c | 121,677$72,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72,804.14 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Red Wings | 55c | 60,103$33,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,096.16 | 177 | 49.2%87 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Red Wings | 41c | 60,000$24,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,749.99 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Bruins | 51c | 42,345$21,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,909.46 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Bruins | 40c | 41,660$16,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,996.13 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Bruins | 43c | 40,000$17,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,799.99 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Red Wings | 0c | 28,648$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Bruins | 43c | 17,200$7,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,869.69 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f98…f178backed Red Wings | 13c | 15,500$2,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,015 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Red Wings | 58c | 15,000$8,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,700 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed Bruins | 40c | 12,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,200 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Red Wings | 57c | 11,293$6,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,436.78 | 170 | 57.6%98 W · 72 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Bruins | 42c | 10,014$4,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,808.14 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Bruins | 40c | 9,600$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,760 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Red Wings | 57c | 8,995$5,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,127.13 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd123…d341backed Bruins | 74c | 8,888$6,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,310.88 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Bruins | 41c | 8,774$3,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,176.55 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Bruins | 44c | 8,575$3,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,823.5 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Red Wings | 1c | 8,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 217 | 4.1%9 W · 208 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Red Wings | 55c | 6,711$3,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,685.29 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Bruins | 40c | 6,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,599.99 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Bruins | 40c | 5,307$2,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,168.07 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Red Wings | 56c | 4,996$2,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,814.36 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Bruins | 43c | 4,687$2,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,648.98 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Red Wings | 56c | 4,571$2,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,559.7 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Bruins | 44c | 4,545$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,545.45 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Bruins | 43c | 4,444$1,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,533.08 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Red Wings | 58c | 4,238$2,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,444.67 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Bruins | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,280 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Red Wings | 59c | 3,966$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked Bruins | 40c | 3,914$1,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,347.77 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Bruins | 74c | 3,598$2,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.78 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Bruins | 41c | 3,349$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,989.76 | 318 | 51.9%165 W · 153 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Red Wings | 58c | 3,005$1,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,742.65 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bruins | 41c | 2,825$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,669.83 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bruins | 40c | 2,808$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,685 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bruins | 40c | 2,788$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,672.81 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Bruins | 41c | 2,684$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.44 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Red Wings | 47c | 2,529$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.56 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Red Wings | 59c | 2,500$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,475 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Bruins | 41c | 2,439$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.02 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Bruins | 41c | 2,419$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,427.46 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Bruins | 49c | 2,348$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.48 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Bruins | 42c | 2,291$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,335.77 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Red Wings | 1c | 2,222$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Bruins | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bruins | 49c | 1,782$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.81 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Bruins | 43c | 1,769$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.55 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Bruins | 44c | 1,708$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.38 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Bruins | 42c | 1,675$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.51 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Bruins | 40c | 1,665$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Bruins | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Bruins | 43c | 1,400$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Bruins | 50c | 1,155$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.14 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…3b5dbacked Bruins | 42c | 1,144$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.71 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -6.2wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Red Wings | 62c | 1,013$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -6.6wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -28%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Red Wings | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed Bruins | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d4…ad20backed Bruins | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ebf…a9d3backed Bruins | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8139…f37dbacked Bruins | 47c | 966$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.98 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c97…0851backed Red Wings | 53c | 966$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Bruins | 73c | 910$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.53 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Bruins | 44c | 910$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.6 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7e…0d81backed Red Wings | 53c | 824$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.72 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f09…8f68backed Bruins | 47c | 824$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.72 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 47cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Bruins | 47c | 800$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd642…c499backed Red Wings | 57c | 799.99$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.12 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b8…87c1backed Bruins | 74c | 786.39$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…849ebacked Bruins | 40c | 750$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3c…e8c1backed Bruins | 47c | 741$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.73 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae71…3c2dbacked Red Wings | 53c | 741$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.73 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 51cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Red Wings | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Red Wings | 58c | 700$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa68…94a7backed Red Wings | 55c | 697.94$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.8 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd356…bfbfbacked Bruins | 47c | 635$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.55 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 48cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xef56…268abacked Red Wings | 53c | 635$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.55 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a37…9108backed Red Wings | 53c | 620$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c2…0274backed Bruins | 47c | 620$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Bruins | 43c | 597.93$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.83 | 439 | 44.6%196 W · 243 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Red Wings | 54c | 591.48$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.4 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Red Wings | 59c | 576.27$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed Bruins | 44c | 572.73$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.73 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba2…9458backed Red Wings | 53c | 551$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.03 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71b9…2e98backed Bruins | 47c | 551$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.03 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Red Wings | 58c | 546.41$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.92 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x439a…c68ebacked Bruins | 47c | 545$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.85 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aad…92a7backed Red Wings | 53c | 545$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.85 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x190a…4be9backed Red Wings | 53c | 542$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.26 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bfe…0cd8backed Bruins | 47c | 542$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.26 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Red Wings | 29c | 508$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.32 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf491…aa1ebacked Bruins | 47c | 508$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e9…f645backed Red Wings | 53c | 508$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.24 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Bruins | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x834b…60e0backed Red Wings | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb9…c20dbacked Bruins | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10ad…1d6cbacked Bruins | 47c | 492$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.76 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe63b…cdcbbacked Red Wings | 53c | 492$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.76 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7026…598fbacked Red Wings | 53c | 486$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.58 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xab7a…c68cbacked Bruins | 47c | 486$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.58 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Red Wings vs. Bruinsthis page
- Red Wings vs. Bruins: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Red Wings (-1.5)Bruins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.