NBA · resolved market

Magic vs. Pacers

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x780f9796bb6389755383a5bd24a4c7716e1c5f09707de1e9157dc0b520a46161

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Magicof Magic, Pacers
Resolved: Dec 31, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,613,580
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,680,076

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,613,580 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,274 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x060e…2384backed Pacers	37c	156,736$58,260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58,259.69	80	37.5%30 W · 50 L	-5.0wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x18d1…dbcbbacked Pacers	31c	81,202$25,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,000	96	41.7%40 W · 56 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Pacers	39c	71,089$27,516 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27,515.67	871	44.7%389 W · 482 L	+14.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b6c…6305backed Magic	61c	63,748$38,786 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,961.66	79	41.8%33 W · 46 L	+3.8wins	+0.05per pick	37cpaid	+20.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Pacers	38c	50,519$18,980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,979.85	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d3b…c46bbacked Magic	63c	47,640$29,980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,659.08	77	45.5%35 W · 42 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Magic	63c	41,583$26,181 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,401.42	483	43.7%211 W · 272 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Magic	60c	41,445$25,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,445.4	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8980…d4f4backed Magic	63c	40,000$25,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,800	219	51.1%112 W · 107 L	+7.4wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Magic	63c	38,212$24,121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,090.29	1,003	34.7%348 W · 655 L	-44.7wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Magic	62c	36,500$22,630 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,870	1,204	55.3%666 W · 538 L	+52.0wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x062a…c2a3backed Pacers	37c	30,000$11,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,099.98	190	48.4%92 W · 98 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf5…b4f8backed Magic	72c	28,180$20,307 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,873.2	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.35per pick	65cpaid	+56.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Magic	62c	22,581$14,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,580.64	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Magic	58c	20,623$11,918 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,705	446	54.3%242 W · 204 L	+21.5wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Magic	49c	20,426$10,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,425.79	340	62.1%211 W · 129 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06c0…e618backed Pacers	39c	18,372$7,165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,165	134	55.2%74 W · 60 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pacers	45c	17,362$7,761 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,761.39	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Magic	57c	16,078$9,208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,869.72	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Magic	60c	15,230$9,128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,101.54	2,298	51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L	+65.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Magic	59c	15,064$8,830 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,233.86	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf9e…a250backed Pacers	39c	15,037$5,844 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,843.51	152	47.4%72 W · 80 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa996…8aacbacked Magic	61c	15,033$9,170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,862.81	142	43%61 W · 81 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Pacers	39c	14,336$5,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,600	356	51.1%182 W · 174 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Pacers	47c	13,649$6,446 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,445.79	1,045	49%512 W · 533 L	+21.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Magic	65c	13,634$8,894 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,740.39	1,341	29.9%401 W · 940 L	-53.8wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Magic	48c	12,167$5,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,267.27	478	56.7%271 W · 207 L	+11.6wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Magic	62c	11,982$7,411 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,570.92	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Pacers	37c	11,803$4,367 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,367	59	47.5%28 W · 31 L	+3.6wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+24%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Magic	66c	10,741$7,099 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,642.44	830	39.4%327 W · 503 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2487…fa80backed Pacers	37c	10,000$3,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,700	180	45%81 W · 99 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Magic	69c	10,000$6,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,100	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa392…1415backed Magic	47c	10,000$4,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,299.99	142	45.1%64 W · 78 L	-5.0wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Magic	69c	9,778$6,747 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,031.18	1,096	40.9%448 W · 648 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Magic	51c	9,134$4,665 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,468.55	768	50.3%386 W · 382 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Pacers	39c	9,059$3,533 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,533.01	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Pacers	35c	7,763$2,731 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,730.76	1,409	40.2%567 W · 842 L	-40.5wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44b9…0598backed Pacers	55c	7,414$4,055 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,054.83	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4a3…0848backed Magic	39c	7,368$2,864 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,503.62	71	49.3%35 W · 36 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Pacers	47c	7,171$3,390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,389.9	121	43%52 W · 69 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Pacers	37c	6,502$2,406 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,405.78	1,139	48.3%550 W · 589 L	+3.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Pacers	40c	6,309$2,497 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,496.8	480	46%221 W · 259 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Magic	62c	5,656$3,507 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,149.29	346	54%187 W · 159 L	+13.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Pacers	36c	5,612$2,047 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,047.37	1,048	41.1%431 W · 617 L	+23.6wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7702…9791backed Magic	61c	5,246$3,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,045.9	241	51.9%125 W · 116 L	-7.7wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Pacers	39c	5,050$1,970 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,969.5	265	44.9%119 W · 146 L	-8.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Pacers	51c	5,016$2,555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,555.11	488	45.3%221 W · 267 L	+18.9wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8b…77d4backed Magic	60c	5,001$3,001 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,000.4	112	44.6%50 W · 62 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35bd…1ecfbacked Pacers	39c	5,000$1,950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,950	149	45.6%68 W · 81 L	-6.3wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x49d1…2a44backed Magic	61c	5,000$3,050 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,950	24	50%12 W · 12 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0ed4…4547backed Pacers	37c	5,000$1,850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,849.97	193	51.8%100 W · 93 L	-5.1wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cb4…48e3backed Magic	44c	4,621$2,033 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,587.8	155	47.1%73 W · 82 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Magic	64c	4,613$2,959 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,654.89	894	44.4%397 W · 497 L	+8.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x019d…2b01backed Magic	50c	4,500$2,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,250	290	37.9%110 W · 180 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2f6d…4ad5backed Magic	60c	4,115$2,489 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,626.13	79	43%34 W · 45 L	+4.3wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	+26.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ae…7b92backed Pacers	37c	4,000$1,480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,480	181	42%76 W · 105 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Magic	68c	3,995$2,717 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,278.49	224	58.9%132 W · 92 L	+10.0wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pacers	37c	3,891$1,457 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,457.35	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Pacers	37c	3,871$1,442 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,442.16	379	44.3%168 W · 211 L	-10.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x360d…5e0fbacked Magic	55c	3,818$2,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,718.18	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Magic	63c	3,354$2,097 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,257.32	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Magic	61c	3,279$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,278.75	161	30.4%49 W · 112 L	-6.8wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Magic	57c	3,270$1,869 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,400.99	563	48.5%273 W · 290 L	-7.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3a…67cabacked Magic	64c	3,245$2,077 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,168.18	508	38.2%194 W · 314 L	+22.3wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc7c…d86fbacked Magic	63c	3,207$2,036 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,170.83	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-11%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Pacers	25c	3,204$790 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$789.52	344	56.7%195 W · 149 L	+9.2wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e10…6a89backed Magic	69c	3,029$2,075 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$953.62	63	52.4%33 W · 30 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1147…da78backed Magic	63c	3,008$1,895 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,112.85	55	58.2%32 W · 23 L	+2.1wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Magic	60c	3,000$1,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,200	470	43.8%206 W · 264 L	-22.2wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Magic	52c	3,000$1,550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,450	443	37.9%168 W · 275 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed Pacers	35c	2,900$1,015 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,015	20	70%14 W · 6 L	+3.1wins	+0.16per pick	54cpaid	+28.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Pacers	35c	2,878$997 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$997.21	342	27.2%93 W · 249 L	-8.4wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7972…594fbacked Magic	75c	2,867$2,150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$716.67	43	58.1%25 W · 18 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	61cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Magic	63c	2,777$1,747 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,029.97	1,190	32%381 W · 809 L	-58.1wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa095…aca5backed Pacers	58c	2,746$1,587 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,586.83	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Pacers	21c	2,708$578 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$577.61	815	29.4%240 W · 575 L	-37.0wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-43%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Pacers	38c	2,692$1,023 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,022.97	444	59.7%265 W · 179 L	+12.4wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Magic	61c	2,674$1,623 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,051.31	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Pacers	3c	2,666$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.98	298	10.4%31 W · 267 L	+22.5wins	+0.08per pick	3cpaid	+230.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbe21…2f9cbacked Pacers	38c	2,600$988 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$987.97	50	40%20 W · 30 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Pacers	37c	2,500$925 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$925	851	47.5%404 W · 447 L	-7.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x414b…73bcbacked Pacers	40c	2,500$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	147	53.1%78 W · 69 L	+8.6wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x128a…f49ebacked Magic	62c	2,500$1,550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$950	30	70%21 W · 9 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	65cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Pacers	6c	2,500$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	390	18.2%71 W · 319 L	+27.6wins	+0.07per pick	11cpaid	+62.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked Pacers	37c	2,500$920 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$919.99	87	42.5%37 W · 50 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Magic	39c	2,500$980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,519.96	426	40.4%172 W · 254 L	+13.9wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x708d…8a09backed Magic	51c	2,460$1,251 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,209.2	219	23.7%52 W · 167 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3ff2…49febacked Pacers	42c	2,441$1,016 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,015.55	246	34.6%85 W · 161 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7bb…a9f7backed Pacers	38c	2,432$936 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$935.84	38	44.7%17 W · 21 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Pacers	1c	2,400$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.5	882	0%0 W · 882 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x864f…025bbacked Pacers	39c	2,400$936 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$936	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.09per pick	57cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Pacers	43c	2,326$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	161	36%58 W · 103 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Pacers	38c	2,294$864 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$864.5	2,796	50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L	+27.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Magic	61c	2,171$1,333 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$838.36	619	39.6%245 W · 374 L	-17.8wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Pacers	32c	2,126$671 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$670.75	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x50c9…a86ebacked Magic	62c	2,114$1,310 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$803.14	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.45per pick	55cpaid	+84.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x234d…a1cdbacked Pacers	38c	2,100$798 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$798.14	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1802…d00fbacked Pacers	50c	2,025$1,009 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,008.64	162	43.8%71 W · 91 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca47…3ef4backed Pacers	53c	2,000$1,060 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,060	35	48.6%17 W · 18 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Pacers	38c	2,000$760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$760	386	49.7%192 W · 194 L	+10.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Magic vs. Pacers

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event