NBA · resolved market

Spread: Magic (-4.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ab6d242230e0149242c8deba53f95cfd35e20a2ea672e506c9e5cade3d83670

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Pacersof Magic, Pacers
Resolved: Dec 31, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $250,747
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $303,505

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $250,747 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb889…a430backed Magic	49c	51,284$25,129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,129.12	92	63%58 W · 34 L	+9.8wins	+0.11per pick	52cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x18d1…dbcbbacked Pacers	51c	49,020$25,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,019.61	96	41.7%40 W · 56 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Pacers	50c	44,125$22,063 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,062.5	1,046	51.1%534 W · 512 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Pacers	52c	41,220$21,362 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,858.59	168	46.4%78 W · 90 L	-13.2wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Magic	50c	34,017$17,008 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,008.4	483	43.7%211 W · 272 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Magic	48c	21,537$10,332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,331.88	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Magic	49c	9,163$4,535 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,535.48	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Magic	50c	5,820$2,910 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,909.8	890	50.4%449 W · 441 L	+4.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Magic	48c	5,000$2,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,400	691	49.1%339 W · 352 L	-8.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Pacers	50c	4,964$2,473 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,491.59	2,298	51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L	+65.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Magic	47c	3,992$1,896 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,895.98	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Magic	50c	3,869$1,920 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,919.81	1,139	48.3%550 W · 589 L	+3.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Magic	50c	3,654$1,827 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,827	1,715	44.5%764 W · 951 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Magic	49c	3,446$1,695 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,695.25	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Magic	47c	3,167$1,495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,494.81	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa45d…b413backed Pacers	40c	2,963$1,185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,777.53	116	53.4%62 W · 54 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Pacers	52c	2,601$1,353 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,248.6	354	50.8%180 W · 174 L	+12.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0500…6158backed Pacers	52c	2,517$1,309 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,208.31	121	51.2%62 W · 59 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Pacers	50c	2,500$1,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,250	851	47.5%404 W · 447 L	-7.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf699…14adbacked Magic	47c	2,268$1,066 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,065.96	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-1.9wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdc…2454backed Pacers	53c	2,268$1,202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,065.96	23	65.2%15 W · 8 L	+3.4wins	+0.15per pick	51cpaid	+31.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Magic	47c	2,184$1,027 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,026.62	277	35%97 W · 180 L	-30.7wins	-0.11per pick	46cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Pacers	52c	2,000$1,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$959.99	480	54.2%260 W · 220 L	+14.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc87b…51d4backed Pacers	48c	1,960$942 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,017.38	210	55.2%116 W · 94 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Magic	48c	1,810$872 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$871.73	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Magic	48c	1,458$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$699.84	2,753	50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L	+47.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56be…57eebacked Magic	60c	1,167$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	211	43.1%91 W · 120 L	-6.4wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Magic	48c	1,145$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$549.6	2,736	46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L	-67.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Pacers	59c	1,100$649 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$451.01	489	57.5%281 W · 208 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Magic	47c	1,000$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$470	587	40%235 W · 352 L	+24.3wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2bd5…26ccbacked Pacers	53c	1,000$530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$470	516	51%263 W · 253 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Pacers	53c	943.4$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$443.4	476	51.7%246 W · 230 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee7e…b1e0backed Pacers	42c	922.97$389 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$533.96	14	71.4%10 W · 4 L	+2.7wins	+0.19per pick	52cpaid	+43.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Pacers	53c	908.49$481 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$426.99	462	58.2%269 W · 193 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Magic	50c	851$423 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$423.18	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Magic	48c	825$396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$396	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Magic	60c	733.33$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440	503	47.9%241 W · 262 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89fd…da5dbacked Magic	49c	706.98$346 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$345.64	42	31%13 W · 29 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f6a…04ebbacked Pacers	49c	684.24$335 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$349.26	354	47.7%169 W · 185 L	-10.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2c7…2e93backed Pacers	53c	660.38$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$310.38	211	52.6%111 W · 100 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0623…4e38backed Pacers	47c	637.19$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$337.19	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Pacers	43c	620.69$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$351.11	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Pacers	50c	574$287 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$287	2,796	50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L	+27.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Magic	49c	558.15$273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$272.78	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedf9…5c67backed Magic	66c	545.45$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Magic	47c	542.15$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255.6	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1021…e648backed Pacers	59c	508.47$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208.47	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Pacers	39c	500$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$305	591	44.5%263 W · 328 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Magic	47c	500$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235	1,911	45.4%868 W · 1,043 L	+22.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Magic	48c	416.67$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	1,259	48.7%613 W · 646 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1802…d00fbacked Pacers	65c	400$258 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142	162	43.8%71 W · 91 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6909…36b5backed Pacers	53c	375.61$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175.61	53	50.9%27 W · 26 L	-3.5wins	-0.07per pick	58cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x101c…7df8backed Magic	50c	343$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.5	86	44.2%38 W · 48 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfa1a…d9abbacked Magic	48c	331.65$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	83	44.6%37 W · 46 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Pacers	52c	299.99$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144	617	47.8%295 W · 322 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78a2…d0a5backed Pacers	38c	263.16$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.16	183	43.7%80 W · 103 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Magic	49c	244.39$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Magic	47c	235.85$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.85	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Magic	49c	204.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	293	46.4%136 W · 157 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Magic	49c	203.78$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.86	1,695	44.7%758 W · 937 L	-30.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed Magic	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	470	48.5%228 W · 242 L	-18.6wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Magic	47c	199.99$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94	118	40.7%48 W · 70 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Magic	66c	172.99$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.9	1,384	39.4%545 W · 839 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcda0…a51abacked Pacers	53c	158.58$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.53	296	52.7%156 W · 140 L	-6.2wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Magic	51c	137$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.6	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc0c1…18c7backed Pacers	53c	135.85$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.85	140	42.9%60 W · 80 L	-9.1wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-13%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Pacers	50c	119.2$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.13	1,786	53.2%950 W · 836 L	+52.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pacers	47c	118.7$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.93	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1df…4404backed Magic	48c	108.86$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.81	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-3.0wins	-0.17per pick	39cpaid	-61.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Magic	45c	100$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	563	48.5%273 W · 290 L	-7.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e57…21cbbacked Pacers	53c	100$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47	56	55.4%31 W · 25 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Magic	48c	100$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	745	47.2%352 W · 393 L	-13.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Magic	47c	95.32$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.15	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Pacers	52c	91.85$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.75	888	45.7%406 W · 482 L	-12.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd6d…c733backed Pacers	56c	90$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.6	93	58.1%54 W · 39 L	+7.6wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x102f…9b6ebacked Pacers	52c	89$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.72	60	53.3%32 W · 28 L	+2.7wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x936b…c603backed Magic	48c	83.33$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.23per pick	48cpaid	-68.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4dc…d394backed Pacers	53c	82$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.54	69	52.2%36 W · 33 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3901…41b5backed Magic	50c	80$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	22	68.2%15 W · 7 L	+4.4wins	+0.20per pick	48cpaid	+58.9%equal weight	61+0.09 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Pacers	50c	78$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39	271	44.3%120 W · 151 L	-9.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd00…7a45backed Magic	50c	70$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	380	50.8%193 W · 187 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Magic	21c	61.69$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.82	1,096	40.9%448 W · 648 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89a7…e7dbbacked Magic	49c	61.22$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	111	43.2%48 W · 63 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Magic	48c	57.74$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	456	51.1%233 W · 223 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Pacers	70c	57.14$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.14	145	51%74 W · 71 L	-6.3wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7e…b805backed Pacers	78c	56.69$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.47	99	58.6%58 W · 41 L	+9.5wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Magic	44c	54.9$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.2	637	45.8%292 W · 345 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Magic	48c	50$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	2,657	49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L	+42.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Magic	48c	50$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	553	16.5%91 W · 462 L	-10.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b9e…0db0backed Magic	48c	49.5$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	72	45.8%33 W · 39 L	-4.0wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x15ca…0a0dbacked Pacers	50c	48.4$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.2	126	48.4%61 W · 65 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x86b6…2c52backed Pacers	54c	47.22$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.72	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	31cpaid	-56.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Magic	47c	42.55$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	290	46.9%136 W · 154 L	-9.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3552…f07bbacked Magic	47c	42.55$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	168	49.4%83 W · 85 L	+4.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97b8…0f5dbacked Magic	49c	41.1$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	139	53.2%74 W · 65 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90aa…5f6cbacked Magic	49c	40.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	218	49.5%108 W · 110 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked Magic	49c	40$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.4	288	52.8%152 W · 136 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67bc…4d94backed Magic	60c	40$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	210	51.4%108 W · 102 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7802…d5b4backed Pacers	40c	40$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.1	107	58.9%63 W · 44 L	+7.6wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd5ff…af12backed Pacers	53c	37.74$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.74	136	51.5%70 W · 66 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Magic (-4.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event